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Pollster Who Called 2016 Correctly Says Trump Win Likely as 'Shy Voters' Shun Shutdowns
Newsweek ^ | November 2, 2020 | Megan Roos

Posted on 11/03/2020 5:13:35 AM PST by goodn'mad

One of the few pollsters who accurately predicted that President Donald Trump would win the 2016 presidential election told Newsweek he feels "more confident every day" that Trump will also win his bid for re-election.

Key to Trump's path to victory are his "shy" supporters who aren't necessarily telling most pollsters the truth about who they will vote for because of societal pressures that have only grown in the last four years, according to Robert Cahaly, a pollster and senior strategist with the Atlanta-based polling company Trafalgar Group.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: cahaly; shyvoters; trafalgar
Geezers turning away from Trump is disappointing to me. I can say this since I'm a geezer. I've always thought that wisdom comes with age but not necessarily true, I guess.
1 posted on 11/03/2020 5:13:35 AM PST by goodn'mad
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To: goodn'mad

I’m a geezer too. But I’m disappointed in the gummers and fossils. And don’t even get me started on the old coots. I can suffer the old bags and old farts, but the codgers are downright annoying.


2 posted on 11/03/2020 5:23:14 AM PST by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: goodn'mad

That was a myth, the old people are sticking with Trump.


3 posted on 11/03/2020 5:29:53 AM PST by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: bray

Glad to hear it.


4 posted on 11/03/2020 5:33:21 AM PST by goodn'mad
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To: goodn'mad

A Trump “rally” at the polls.


5 posted on 11/03/2020 5:38:43 AM PST by nonsporting (Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: goodn'mad

Because media is pushing ONLY number of testing positive and completely ignoring the plummeting mortality rate from covid-19.

If 20 million were tested for influenza during flu season, that number would be very high as well. And it is mostly old people who die from flu.

Point is testing positive asymptomatic is normal during season and more important number is how many are actually getting sick and much more important how many are recovering.

So it boils down to scaring the uninformed seniors. Majority of seniors are under-informed, sadly Fear mongering works with them!


6 posted on 11/03/2020 5:52:05 AM PST by entropy12 (No president of past kept as many promises as PDJT.)
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To: goodn'mad

Late last night as we were wrapping preparations for tonight’s webcast DecisionUSA2020online.com Richard Baris said his polling had flipped in PA and Trump was now up.

Said late deciders were 3:1 Trump


7 posted on 11/03/2020 5:56:32 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: goodn'mad

Maybe they only spoke to retired teachers and government workers. Who else can afford to retire?


8 posted on 11/03/2020 5:58:05 AM PST by steve8714
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To: entropy12
The natural disposition is always to believe. It is acquired wisdom and experience only that teach incredulity, and they very seldom teach it enough. The wisest and most cautious of us all frequently gives credit to stories which he himself is afterwards both ashamed and astonished that he could possibly think of believing. — Adam Smith, Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759)

9 posted on 11/03/2020 6:03:11 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (Socialism is cynicism directed towards society and - correspondingly - naivete towards government.)
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To: goodn'mad

Not quite geezer material here on the sunny side of my 50’s, but it is beyond disappointing to me to see the way some old folks have reacted. Many of the very ones that claim Trump is not shutting the country down enough flock to TJ Maxx with a paper mask. And that is actually great because they are not getting infected at the grocery store or the hardware store or their local restaurant-—they are overwhelmingly getting infected in their homes or residential facilities. The disconnect is stunning.


10 posted on 11/03/2020 6:06:03 AM PST by hcmama
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To: LS
late deciders were 3:1 Trump
Too bad there was so much early voting then!

(I myself voted early, in person, in case today might turn out to be highly atypical of Election Day. Straight Republican, of course).


11 posted on 11/03/2020 6:09:48 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (Socialism is cynicism directed towards society and - correspondingly - naivete towards government.)
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To: LS

*squeals*


12 posted on 11/03/2020 6:10:00 AM PST by Salamander (Clap for that, you stupid bastards!)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

This is a myth: there WASN’T much early voting in PA. As states go, it is still largely “out there.” PA is like “absentees” more than VBM.


13 posted on 11/03/2020 6:22:25 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS
This is a myth: there WASN’T much early voting in PA. As states go, it is still largely “out there.” PA is like “absentees” more than VBM.
Well, anecdotally, there was hardly any other voters in sight when I voted early in person. I attributed that to my being an early bird, but who knows? I’m in a college town.

14 posted on 11/03/2020 8:37:36 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (Socialism is cynicism directed towards society and - correspondingly - naivete towards government.)
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To: goodn'mad
I met a 49 year old man today at the poll that stated he registered to vote five years ago ONLY because he decided (for the first time in his life) to actually listen to politicians and in particular Trump.

He voted Trump today

Rush floated the "shy Republican" is really a democrat who can't let it be known that he's voting for Trump

15 posted on 11/03/2020 2:49:43 PM PST by knarf
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