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[Nate Silver] Democrats are slightly favored to win the Senate (69%)
538 ^ | 9.6.2022 | Nate Silver

Posted on 09/06/2022 6:59:29 AM PDT by libh8er

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President Hillary Clinton is in full agreement with Nate Silver.


21 posted on 09/06/2022 7:22:17 AM PDT by laconic (l)
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To: libh8er

Damn!
I was hoping for 90%, like they had for Hillary.


22 posted on 09/06/2022 7:22:44 AM PDT by oldbill
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To: libh8er

Well that settles it, no need to vote.


23 posted on 09/06/2022 7:24:26 AM PDT by MrBambaLaMamba (The only good commie is one that's dead - Country Joe McDonald)
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To: Bshaw
Yeah, with all due respect Nate, I don’t think so.

Partner, I give the DemonRats a Chinaman's chance to win this next election.

Biden has %#&@$ up this election cycle and from now on it will be Christian principles that will win elections.

24 posted on 09/06/2022 7:25:56 AM PDT by TheConservativeTejano (The Business of America is Business)
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To: libh8er

Silver has never been within the margin of error. He makes a living telling the left what they want to hear.


25 posted on 09/06/2022 7:26:15 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: libh8er

Disinformation to set the stage for the steal.


26 posted on 09/06/2022 7:26:27 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ( We need to “build back better” on the bones and ashes of those forcing us to “Build Back Better.")
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To: libh8er

I could set my watch to this guy.

He predicts a huge dem victory about 90% of the time. As the election draws nearer, the odds start to narrow. The day of, he adjusts on the fly to get it right and then proclaims himself a genius.

69% though!?! Whoa, that is a huge shift toward the GOP by this guy. Usually, its 90%.


27 posted on 09/06/2022 7:26:36 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: libh8er

I think Nate is being careful in his words. In fact, the statistics show Dems are overwhelming favs to keep the Senate, thanks to the Turk and the idiot ballplayer.


28 posted on 09/06/2022 7:30:15 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Bshaw

He is just looking at the average of polls, and at the moment that’s what they are saying. But remember many of the polls haven’t switched over to “likely voters” yet, and when they do the numbers will move 3+ towards republicans.

This is one of the main reasons Rasmussen “seems” to have a republican bias. It’s because they always use likely voter models.


29 posted on 09/06/2022 7:33:22 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: libh8er

I see he is dropping from the 75% of two weeks ago. Come election day, he will say it is 50/50 either way, and then claim he was absolutely correct no matter what happens.


30 posted on 09/06/2022 7:38:27 AM PDT by Codeflier (I am just going to assume you are a Democrat if you call me a Putin supporter and ignore you.)
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To: Bshaw

In general I would say, Republicans are not remotely pressing their advantage effectively so far this cycle... This should be an absolute blow out election by any measure... however GOP actions seem to be trying to mitigate it.

However, If Biden’s puppet masters, continue down the path of “my political opposition are enemies of the state” which appears to be their campaign strategy... The gross GOP incompetence may not matter.

About the only saving grace about last weeks Biden speech for democrats, was that the networks actually declined to carry it live.... Protecting these idiots from themselves.

We shall see... GOP has put up some crap candidates, but after the puppet masters decided to drop any pretext of not out to destroy those who disagree with them.... it may not matter how crappy the GOP candidates, or how mismanaged the GOP communication is... they may wind up with a route regardless.

9 Week to go...


31 posted on 09/06/2022 7:41:47 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Hostage
Nate Silver, the Joe Isuzu of political polling.
------------------------------------------------

Or this guy...


32 posted on 09/06/2022 7:46:53 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: TokarevM57

Hope not. Ron Johnson is a good egg.


33 posted on 09/06/2022 7:54:00 AM PDT by kelly4c
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To: libh8er

Georgia and Nevada look like gains and holding Wisconsin. We have hope in other places too like Arizona, New Hampshire and now there is a new closer poll in Washington.


34 posted on 09/06/2022 8:00:59 AM PDT by Midwesterner53
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To: libh8er

Lil Natie had Hillary 98% favored to win on Election morning 2016, and still had her at 70% at 7 PM.

Lil Natie always has his prediction percentages end in an odd number like a “scientist” in a soap opera.

Maybe he wears a white coat when he is “working.”

Natie bases his predictions on polls from the same people that over poll Democrat/communists cycle after cycle.


35 posted on 09/06/2022 8:11:58 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: Bshaw
Yeah, with all due respect Nate, I don’t think so.

Mitch McConnell is doing everything he can to make it so. He spent all the donation money trying to defeat MAGA candidates in the primaries, so the senate reelection committee is broke. He also demanded that GOP candidates stand for absolutely nothing and not criticize democrats. Finally, he made sure Biden got every damn thing he wanted in the past two years.

He has given the country ZERO reason to show up to vote for republicans.

36 posted on 09/06/2022 8:12:30 AM PDT by pepsi_junkie ("We want no Gestapo or Secret Police. FBI is tending in that direction." - Harry Truman)
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To: Skeptical constituent

This is called propaganda. Bidens approval falls again but the congressional ballot narrows? Makes no sense, the left is tied to Joes sinking stone. Its inescapable. Theyve done nothing to pump up the independents. So wheres the extra support supposedly coming from? The echo chamber?


37 posted on 09/06/2022 8:12:31 AM PDT by MrRelevant
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To: Skeptical constituent

To the dems, it’s party über alles. They are rock-solid guaranteed 49% of the vote in any national election.


38 posted on 09/06/2022 8:12:32 AM PDT by ScottinVA (To hell with Putin; to hell with Russia)
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To: libh8er
Democrats currently have the lead in the race for the Senate. This is in part because in a few key races, Republicans have selected weak candidates, hurting their chances of taking the chamber in November.

This is the talking point of both the Democrats and their establishment Republican brethren. So, Silver and other propaganda pollsters create push polls to push the narrative.

The amusing thing is that Mehmet Oz is fits the mold of the more moderate Republican and he's the one probably struggling the most in a competitive race. Yet, if he loses it will be Trump's fault for pushing a radical candidate.

39 posted on 09/06/2022 8:24:41 AM PDT by Kazan
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To: RatRipper

More women than men identify as pro life.

Also the price life increment at the voting booth works in our favor. Search “pro life increment.” - pro life position is a net gain at the polls historically.


40 posted on 09/06/2022 8:37:50 AM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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