Posted on 07/19/2023 2:31:56 AM PDT by RomanSoldier19
Select Language Commercial Real Estate Troubles Call for 1980s, S&L Style Solution .By Jim SmallJuly 17, 2023 Commercial Real Estate Troubles Call for 1980s, S&L Style SolutionLuca Bravo An upcoming commercial real estate crisis could negatively affect the US economy in a way not seen since the real estate collapse of 2008. Workers aren’t returning to their offices at anywhere near pre-pandemic levels, leaving building owners and banks up against a looming default crisis.
That drag could in turn slow the entire US economy, bringing financial pain to a broad swath of the country. Preventing that may require a bolder national solution – possibly for policymakers to find a way to allow banks to take their commercial real estate assets off their books without penalty.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearmarkets.com ...
Crying for another bailout, which will bring financial pain to a broad swath of the country, instead of concentrating it where it’s most deserved.
Does anybody remember the term “moral hazard”? Buehler? ANYONE?
Turn it into prison space.
I smell another too big to fail event.
Last time, when they gave out ~2T in bailouts, even though those loans were repaid, that additional 2 trillion became part of the baseline budget, i.e., you’d think the next year’s federal budget wouldn’t have to start from +2T but it did and remained thereafter.
Same happened recently w/COVID spending which was probably worse since your state kept its covid funds in their baseline.
Too many Communists, Socialists in power, crippling fuel, WFH much more significant thanks to COVID-19(84)...plus who really wants to travel into cities any more?
I got tired of potholes and orange/white barrels.
Not to mention city earnings tax on top of the extra gas and drive.
If the right job came along (I suppose) and I got my cars back to 100%.
I have confidence in pResident Potato to do further damage to the economy and the Treasury Department via wanton spending
Better to let the market sort itself out.
Are those the right words for bailing out the rich?
Some might say we live in a Plutocracy, which is a kind of Oligarchy.
It’s not a bailout of the commercial market.
It’s a scheme that ends with saving Big City marxists and their unions
Government is not the answer
Remember the adjustable mortgage rates of the 1970’s and early 80’s? A fixed rate was unavailable during that time....a time of inflation.
Repeat, but worse coming??
We didn’t have a national debt in the trillions then. It was in the billions.
Relying on the Market, THAT would be the best solution. However, one can ALWAYS count on Government to make the absolute WRONG decision in just about every case.
I’m holding out for that one odd case where government makes the “RIGHT” decision. Delusional maybe, but they can’t be wrong 100% of the time, or can they?????
This is far worse than 2008.
An aside, I am never going back to an office.
There are millions in agreement with me.
So if it means letting the commercial real estate owners getting foreclosed and banks going belly up then I am all for a bailout.
If it means allowing current investors to hold onto their real estate that they leveraged too high to cover for a downturn, then NO I am not for it. If it means the banks that wrote the risky financing get made whole then NO I am not for it.
Sure explains why bank CEOs like Jamie Dimon have been so vocal, forceful and adamant about employees needing to return to the office.
The ultimate cost to taxpayers was estimated to be as high as $124 billion.
https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/savings-and-loan-crisis#resolution
This is what needs to happen:
If commercial office loans aren’t performing, banks need to seize and sell off the underlying assets. Other real estate managers will buy these properties from the banks manage them anew—or perhaps redevelop them as residential properties.
That is how the system is supposed to work and would work, if left to go through the intended process.
Otherwise, losers are rewarded, the moral hazard of careless bank loans is increase, and more responsible lenders are not relatively rewarded.
If some banks go under, so it goes. That is how the rest of the economy works.
An apt metaphor is a forest in which neither fires nor cutting of underbrush are allowed until full conflagration comes.
With a fiat currency like ours, the role of the government is to protect the value of the currency — even if it means artificially propping up non-performing assets that are collateral for loans. The government’s only interest in bailing out the borrower is to keep the lender solvent — thereby propping up the currency.
The wealthy win no matter what and the middle class and poor pay for it.
LET THEM FAIL !
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