Prediction-Saddam to announce to world that sleeper cells will release WMD upon his arrest or death!

9/28/2002 | M. Peach

[mikegi]

If something like this were to happen, it wouldn't be Saddam himself making the threat. It would be far better for him to have Al Qaeda or some "new" terror group make the threat. They'll say they were doing it to protect fellow Muslims, etc...

I expect Saddam to have another surprise up his sleeve, a la blowing up the wells in Kuwait to limit our air power. I believe we're going to take airfields in Iraq as part of our invasion. What would happen to our plans if Saddam deliberately contaminates his airfields with radioactive waste as his forces withdraw? Or leaves chemical warheads with time delay or remote controlled fuses on them?

[M. Peach]

But what good will it do him if he waits until it's too late?

[Illbay]

Oh, sure. But I think he's into funding ANYONE who might be willing to kill Americans.

I don't think the guy has a religious bone in his body. His idol is himself.

[M. Peach]

I think you're on to something - It may be better for him to have his surrogates announce it. And you're probably right about his defense strategies. I just hope we aren't giving him ideas here.

Is it possible he's got people monitoring out site for ideas? FR is the ultimate think-tank in my opinion. Such brilliant experienced minds with such diverse opinions. And then there's the liberals...

[RightOnline]

"That's blackmail, and even the Democrats will stampede to support regime change."

I'd like to think you're correct, my friend, but unfortunately.........I'll have to side with those who predict the Dems would howl, tuck tail, and run like hell.

[boomop1]

Yawn

[M. Peach]

Whatsamatta? Too much I and I last night? (intercourse and intoxication)

[sinkspur]

I'll have to side with those who predict the Dems would howl, tuck tail, and run like hell.

Well, I would hope you'd be right. It would stigmatize the party as cowards for a generation.

[Maigrey]

That's blackmail, and even the Democrats will stampede to support regime change.

No they won't. Their MO is to "Let's forgive them and understand why they want to kill us. Let's appease them so they won't try to kill us anymore."

-Maigrey-

[Dave S]

What other choice does he have at this point? Death or what else?

Exile. He is one of the worlds wealthiest individuals with money located in secret accounts arround the world. He is getting up there in age and could live out his few remaining years in luxury.

[M. Peach]

Since he's got 3 decoys, you know he's super paranoid. I think he realizes that he would be taken out if he went into exile.

[mitchbert]

OK, here's one out of the box.

Saddam should threaten to destroy Mecca the moment any ordinance falls on Bagdhad. He should demonstrate a weapon so the Muslim world knows he has it and must be taken seriously (seriesly?). The Arab world would then put enormous pressure on the U.S. not to attack.

Won't happen, of course. I don't think he has a nuke yet (at least I sincerely hope not) and besides, I doubt he'll live long once the red white and blue fireworks start going off (here's hoping, anyways) but if he really wanted to throw a camel wrench into the mix, this could do it.

Just musing, and waiting for qualifying at Indy to start.
mitchbert

[M. Peach]

Very clever - I just hope we're not giving him ideas here. I know, I know - I started it.

[mitchbert]

I was thinking the same thing but I couldn't resist throwing it out there.
Thanks.

[tip of the sword]

You must have been reading too much DEBKA lately..not good for peaceful sleep!

[PISANO]

If Hussein is stupid enough to do as you suggest, the entire world will unite against him. That's blackmail, and even the Democrats will stampede to support regime change

Uhhhhh.......agreed the world will unite against him, but the Gimmies will still NOT be UNITED as a party against him. Remember all the handwringing, cry baby socialists reside in that party.

[Bad~Rodeo]

He already did, West Nile...L~

[Bon mots]

Who know what the wacko will really do.

But I would guess that he alread has Anthrax, Smallpox, Botulism, Sarin, Malaria, Spanish Flu and other goodies strategically placed throughout America and the west waiting for the start...

When it happens, just remember, Islam is peace. Islamic people are our friends. Mosques are not enemy headquarters.

[jtrowbr212]

"That's blackmail, and even the Democrats will stampede to support regime change"

...but only till they 'permission' from the U.N.

[dark_lord]

Predictions:
6 to 10 weeks from now, when it is crystal clear that the US is starting the attack, then:
(a) He realizes he has nothing to lose and launches all his missles with chemical and biological warheads on Israel, and the American staging areas. He then fights to the death, or see next option.
(b) There is an internal coup, he and his cronies are killed or
(c) He goes into exile like Idi Amin.
I rate option "a" alone at 85%, option "a" & "b" together at 98%, option "b" alone at 13%, and option "c" at 2%. (If you want to do the math, then a+b+c = 100, and (a+b)+c = 100 also.)
But clearly I think "a" is most likely. After all, once we attack he knows he is dead. Therefore, his optimal strategy is to maximize damage. To do that - kill as many Israelis and US troops as possible, and cast chemical and biotoxins to the winds where they will do the most damage. He is a solopsist - once he dies the world ends anyway, from his perspective.