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Polls: U.S. Misjudged Iraq Resistance
Associated Press ^ | March 28, 2003 | Will Lester

Posted on 03/28/2003 3:40:07 PM PST by AntiGuv

WASHINGTON - More than half the Americans think the United States underestimated how much resistance the Iraqi army would put up against a U.S. invasion, and even more expect this country to face a significant number of casualties in a war that could last months, new polls say.

Public support for the war remains strong. At least seven in 10 back the effort now that U.S. troops are fighting in Iraq.

More than half, 55 percent, say the United States underestimated Iraqi resistance to invasion, according to a CBS News poll. Two-thirds in that poll said they think the war will last months, up from four in 10 late last week who expected that duration.

Eight in 10, 82 percent, said they think a significant number of casualties will result, up from 37 percent in the opening days of the war, according to an ABC-Washington Post poll. Before the war, almost two-thirds in that poll said they thought there would be a significant number of casualties.

The growing worries about casualties and the length of the war won't immediately affect public support as long as people think the U.S. military is making progress, said Robert Shapiro, a public opinion specialist at Columbia University.

"The public will accept casualties as long as there are indications of success in the war effort," Shapiro said. "What's really crucial here are the perceptions of effectiveness and performance."

Six in 10, 62 percent, in the CBS poll said removing Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein is worth the potential costs of the war, including the loss of life. About three in 10, 28 percent, said they feel nervous or edgy about the war.

Just over half in a new CNN-Time poll said they believed the war against Iraq has been successful, 8 percent said unsuccessful, and 37 percent said somewhere in between.

But people indicated they are uneasy about the potential impact on the economy.

Two-thirds in the ABC-Post poll said they support the Senate's proposed reduction to $350 billion of President Bush's proposed tax cut of $726 billion. They were evenly split on whether to eliminate the proposed tax cut altogether.

The ABC-Post poll of 508 adults and the CNN-Time poll of 1,014 adults were taken Thursday. The CBS poll of 868 adults was taken Wednesday and Thursday. The error margin for the CBS and the CNN-Time poll was plus or minus 3 percentage points, and it was 4.5 percentage points for the ABC-Post poll.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: iraq; iraqifreedom; polls; pollsoniraq; publicopinion; publicopinionlist; war; warlist
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Wasn't sure how to classify this. I've rarely posted anything aside from international news.
1 posted on 03/28/2003 3:40:08 PM PST by AntiGuv
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: AntiGuv
"Wasn't sure how to classify this."

It's a push poll. It shows the effect of their propasganda campaign and measures the susceptibility of those polled to the propaganda.

4 posted on 03/28/2003 3:44:45 PM PST by spunkets
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To: AntiGuv
More than half, 55 percent, say the United States underestimated Iraqi resistance to invasion, according to a CBS News poll.

And 99.99 percent have absolutely no knowledge of the actual plan.

5 posted on 03/28/2003 3:48:07 PM PST by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: AntiGuv
If we did, we did. So let's hitch up our pants and say, "OK boys, we took your best shot, here it comes back at you ten-fold." Unfortunately, I think there is a "shoot the messenger" element out there who goes crazy if anyone even hints at the possibility that we may have misjudged the strength of this enemy. Again, the president said, "As long as it takes," and I take him at his word. If it takes six more hours, days, weeks, months or years to get this job done, so be it. And unfortunately, casualties are an inherent cost of warfare, but should not dissuade us from our objective ... I think it's time a large portion of the American populace was reacquainted with that reality and that concept.
6 posted on 03/28/2003 3:50:18 PM PST by GB
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To: AntiGuv
significant number

What oh what is that? 100,000? 80,000? 50,000? According to the media its 20. Significant.

7 posted on 03/28/2003 3:51:05 PM PST by Naspino
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To: AntiGuv
"Though, God before, tell him we will come on...." --Henry V
8 posted on 03/28/2003 3:53:20 PM PST by onedoug
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To: AntiGuv
It's amazing how hard people will fight when they're children are being held at gunpoint!
9 posted on 03/28/2003 3:53:34 PM PST by The Scorpion King
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To: The Scorpion King
Whoops! they're= their
10 posted on 03/28/2003 3:54:12 PM PST by The Scorpion King
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To: AntiGuv
This is a result of the left-wing media's anti-Bush, deceptive, reporting and not a reflection of our war in Iraq...and it is inexcusable.

For the record, a FoxNews opinion dynamics poll yesterday showed almost the opposite...that over 60% of the FoxNews polled did not think the resistance was greater than expected. The fact that Will Lester and AP, CNN, ABC, CBS got these results condemns them, not the administration. Lying weasel pessimists choosing to believe Iraqi Info propaganda rather than CENTCOM, President Bush and SOD Rumsfeld. Ptui!

E-mail AP.

11 posted on 03/28/2003 4:00:11 PM PST by Ragtime Cowgirl (“A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity.." - Winston Churchill)
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To: AntiGuv
Geezzz, sounds like my kids.

are we there yet? .

are we there yet? .

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?.

are we there yet?

12 posted on 03/28/2003 4:13:05 PM PST by Falcon4.0
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To: Falcon4.0
Same old, same old from the idiots in the media


13 posted on 03/28/2003 4:23:06 PM PST by clouda
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To: AntiGuv
Stupid liberal idiot Poll!!
14 posted on 03/28/2003 4:28:03 PM PST by johnfl61
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To: AntiGuv
What the story doesn't tell you, unless my quick read missed it, was that the reaction to the perception of having underestimated the Iraqi resistance and not having sent/used enough force was to send/use MORE force. IOW, do whatever it takes to get the job done.

15 posted on 03/28/2003 4:31:27 PM PST by El Gato
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To: AntiGuv
I don't think the military did, but I think the talking heads did. And who is feeding the information to the general public? Not the military heads, but the talking heads.
16 posted on 03/28/2003 4:33:21 PM PST by b4its2late (I'm really easy to get along with once you people learn to worship me.)
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To: johnfl61
"Stupid liberal idiot Poll!!"

Yeah, but part of the blame comes from having the embedded reporters with the troops. While I would like to think in the long run having the embeds was a good idea (if for nothing more than to prove that we are not the ghouls in this or any war), the ups and downs of the reporting and the selective reporting does not give people the whole picture. I don't believe we are seeing the best that our troop are accomplishing (and for good reason), but we are hearing about casualties and POWs.

17 posted on 03/28/2003 4:57:53 PM PST by CatOwner
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The only thing remarkable about this blatant propaganda hit piece, is that NBC doesn't seem to have been in on it.  The other usual suspects, CNN-Time, ABC, CBS and the Associated Press were.

Propaganda doesn't just involve the art of lying so cleverly that people don't realize it.  It also involves the art of telling the truth so cleverly people don't pick up on the real agenda.

Propaganda, by my definition, is the introduction of information in such a way as to reshape public opinion.  Let's look at this article.

Polls: U.S. Misjudged Iraq Resistance
Associated Press ^ | March 28, 2003 | Will Lester

Why this title?  Inside we find that seven in ten citizens of the United States back the war effort.  That could have been the lead, but it's impact would have been positive.  Instead we are told 5.5 in ten think United States' leadership goofed.  That's the message they want to come through loud and clear.

Title: Negative (non-supportive of the war effort / a blatant attack on morale)

WASHINGTON - More than half the Americans think the United States underestimated how much resistance the Iraqi army would put up against a U.S. invasion, and even more expect this country to face a significant number of casualties in a war that could last months, new polls say.

Here we are told the majority think the United States' leadership goofed, significant casualties are coming and this could last months.

First Paragraph: Three negatives either substantiated or introduced (non-supportive of the war effort/ a blatant attack on morale)

Public support for the war remains strong. At least seven in 10 back the effort now that U.S. troops are fighting in Iraq.

Here is the obligatory positive, but note the disclaimer.  There are two important things to note here.  One is fairly obvious, in that it says, "...now that US troops are fighting in Iraq."  Antoherwords, sure it's over seventy perecent, but that's because our troops are on the ground.  The implication is some of the respondants wouldn't support this effort otherwise.  That's another off-handed attack on support.

Next I'd like to propose that these agencies are in this for the long haul.  By reporting the seventy percent support figure now, these orgs are setting a pretty high mark that will contrast very well to meet their goals, later on.  When support wains to 62%, these folks will have a field day pointing it out.  More to follow...

Second Paragraph: One postive comment that had the sparkle tarnished by a disclaimer. (This is another example of being non-supportive of the war effort, even the good news was "suspect" / another blatant attack on morale)

More than half, 55 percent, say the United States underestimated Iraqi resistance to invasion, according to a CBS News poll. Two-thirds in that poll said they think the war will last months, up from four in 10 late last week who expected that duration.

This is simply a rehash of paragraph one.  The negativism in paragraph one wasn't enough if only stated once, so they left out the exact percentages and repeated it here.  Message: Bad news is worthy of repeating, good news is reported once and explained away.

Third Paragraph: Here two negatives are repeated.  (non-supportive of the war effort/ a blatant attack on morale)

Eight in 10, 82 percent, said they think a significant number of casualties will result, up from 37 percent in the opening days of the war, according to an
ABC-Washington Post poll. Before the war, almost two-thirds in that poll said they thought there would be a significant number of casualties.

This is also a rehash of the first paragraph.  It buttresses the public perception of mass casualites ahead.  What possible good could the reporting of this figure produce?  Someone above mentioned push polls.  That is exactly what this is.  It's introducing a topic for the public to mull over.  This will be repeated in upcoming days to convince people that everyone else but them knows what's just ahead, they better get on the band wagon and accept more casualties are coming, if they want to be "with it".  This is just blatant mind numbing hysteria served up on a cold plate.

Paragraph four: One massive disinformation effort from beginning to end.  (non-supportive of the war effort/ a blatant attack on morale, and a flagrant attempt to instill a public mindset regarding war casualties, and fear of what the war will turn into)

The growing worries about casualties and the length of the war won't immediately affect public support as long as people think the U.S. military is making progress, said Robert Shapiro, a public opinion specialist at Columbia University.

Here we have the introduction of a Public Opinion Speicialist from Columbia U.  Let me see, something like 90% of our university professors are avout leftsists, what could be gained by introducing this man into this discussion?  Let's continue and see.

"The public will accept casualties as long as there are indications of success in the war effort," Shapiro said. "What's really crucial here are the perceptions of effectiveness and performance."

Okay, there it is.  Shapiro doesn't really say much.  The imporant thing here is his framing of this subject.  You are now allowed to think of this in terms of "effectiveness and peformance".  That's what your guidelines should be.  Remember that.  Thanks Mr. Shapiro.  And who will shape our perceptions of that "effectiveness and performance"?  If you said CNN-Time, ABC, CBS and the Associated Press, you get a gold star.

Paragraph's five and six: These paragraphs saw the introduction of an "expert" on public opinion.  This man was trotted out to convince you that you need to keep a close eye on the Bush administration and the Generals running this war.  If they don't produce within a short period, you should rightly consider withdrawing support of this effort.

Once again... (non-supportive of the war effort/ a blatant attack on morale, the introduction of a tool that can be used to justify withdrawing support)

Six in 10, 62 percent, in the CBS poll said removing Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein is worth the potential costs of the war, including the loss of life. About three in 10, 28 percent, said they feel nervous or edgy about the war.

This is another obligatory "good news" offering that is once again tarnished with a worthless factoid.  Six in ten think we should be doing this, even if it means loss of life.  But almost one third of our fellow citizens are worried sick over it.

Paragraph seven: (mildly supportive of the war effort/ not reported as the real morale boost it should be, tarnished with a worthless factoid.

Note that the good is burried in the middle to later parts of this article, and is counterbalanced by negative or worthless information.

Note that the bad news isn't counterbalanced in the same sentence or paragraph the way the good news is.

Just over half in a new CNN-Time poll said they believed the war against Iraq has been successful, 8 percent said unsuccessful, and 37 percent said somewhere in between.

Once again, the push pole is at work here.  People are told to think of this in success/non-successful terms.  "Be critical folks, this Bush administration shouldn't get a free pass you know."

This is not supportive of the war effort.

Paragraph eight: (non-supportive of the war effort/a mild attack on morale by linking our judgements to immediate outcomes and not long term goals)

But people indicated they are uneasy about the potential impact on the economy.

Now they introduce the economy into the equasion.  This shameful approach is meant to instill unease with regard to what our financial situations will be like in six months, once again not what the long term goal for the Iraqi people should be.

Paragraph nine: (non-supportive of the war effort/ blatant attempt to link perceptions to a lagging economy) Implication: ("Isn't the economy more improtant than that far off place named Iraq?)

Two-thirds in the ABC-Post poll said they support the Senate's proposed reduction to $350 billion of President Bush's proposed tax cut of $726 billion. They were evenly split on whether to eliminate the proposed tax cut altogether.

Well, if you can't take Bush down one way, you can try another.  Typical liberal ideology at work

Paragraph ten: (non-supportive of the war effort/ blatant attempt to take Bush down any way possible)

The ABC-Post poll of 508 adults and the CNN-Time poll of 1,014 adults were taken Thursday. The CBS poll of 868 adults was taken Wednesday and Thursday.  The error margin for the CBS and the CNN-Time poll was plus or minus 3 percentage points, and it was 4.5 percentage points for the ABC-Post poll.

Blah blah blah...  And Gore was going to win the election running away.  These folks haven't had a poll right since Fred Flintston was running them.

There were about two positive notes to this whole song and dance.  Those were nipped in the bud.  All the rest was aimed at killing any good feelings about the war.  "Yeah sure, things may look decent today, but nothing but darkness is just ahead."

Our national media has come about as close as they can to treason and sedition as they can get without being called on it.  Frankly, I am sick of it!

Questions not asked. (Food for thought)

Are you amazed at the technological advancement of our armed services?
Are you glad our military has the capability to liberate people who have been living under terror for decades?
Are you proud to be a citizen of the United States knowing you are bringing freedom to tens of millions of humans?
Are you proud of Bush's stance on this war?
Are you glad to have such fine young men and women representing you in harms way?
Are you disgusted by people like us, who will do anything to try to deminish any rightous perceptions of this campaign, and kill any remnance of will to execute it?

18 posted on 03/28/2003 5:03:08 PM PST by DoughtyOne
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To: clouda
that is a good pic
19 posted on 03/28/2003 6:18:21 PM PST by Steve Van Doorn
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To: AntiGuv
Classify this as

Pollaganda


20 posted on 03/28/2003 6:27:08 PM PST by WOSG (Liberate Iraq! Lets Roll! now!-)
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