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1 posted on 04/14/2003 8:22:43 AM PDT by per loin
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To: aristeides; InShanghai; riri; EternalHope; CathyRyan; blam; flutters; Petronski; Domestic Church; ..
Sheet1
Time Cases Increase Disposition Dead as % of prior time
Day Date New Week Total One Day Week Got Well % Dead % Total Gone % Still In Hosp % Elapsed Hosp-Days Week 2 Week 3 Week
Wed 03/12 10 10 10 100.0% 10
Thu 03/13 14 24 140.0% 24 100.0% 34
Fri 03/14 5 29 20.8% 29 100.0% 63
Sat 03/15 8 37 27.6% 37 100.0% 100
Sun 03/16 5 42 13.5% 42 100.0% 142
Mon 03/17 53 95 126.2% 95 100.0% 237
Tue 03/18 28 123 123 29.5% 123 100.0% 360
Wed 03/19 27 140 150 22.0% 1400.0% 5 3.3% 5 3.3% 10 6.7% 140 93.3% 500 50.0%
Thu 03/20 23 149 173 15.3% 620.8% 5 2.9% 6 3.5% 11 6.4% 162 93.6% 662 25.0%
Fri 03/21 30 174 203 17.3% 600.0% 7 3.4% 6 3.0% 13 6.4% 190 93.6% 852 20.7%
Sat 03/22 19 185 222 9.4% 500.0% 7 3.2% 8 3.6% 15 6.8% 207 93.2% 1,059 21.6%
Sun 03/23 25 205 247 11.3% 488.1% 7 2.8% 8 3.2% 15 6.1% 232 93.9% 1,291 19.0%
Mon 03/24 13 165 260 5.3% 173.7% 12 4.6% 10 3.8% 22 8.5% 238 91.5% 1,529 10.5%
Tue 03/25 26 163 286 10.0% 132.5% 14 4.9% 10 3.5% 24 8.4% 262 91.6% 1,791 8.1%
Wed 03/26 30 166 316 10.5% 110.7% 16 5.1% 10 3.2% 26 8.2% 290 91.8% 2,081 6.7% 100.0%
Thu 03/27 51 194 367 16.1% 112.1% 19 5.2% 10 2.7% 29 7.9% 338 92.1% 2,419 5.8% 41.7%
Fri 03/28 58 222 425 15.8% 109.4% 25 5.9% 11 2.6% 36 8.5% 389 91.5% 2,808 5.4% 37.9%
Sat 03/29 45 248 470 10.6% 111.7% 43 9.1% 12 2.6% 55 11.7% 415 88.3% 3,223 5.4% 32.4%
Sun 03/30 60 283 530 12.8% 114.6% 64 12.1% 13 2.5% 77 14.5% 453 85.5% 3,676 5.3% 31.0%
Mon 03/31 80 350 610 15.1% 134.6% 79 13.0% 15 2.5% 94 15.4% 516 84.6% 4,192 5.8% 15.8%
Tue 04/1 75 399 685 12.3% 139.5% 84 12.3% 16 2.3% 100 14.6% 585 85.4% 4,777 5.6% 13.0%
Wed 04/2 23 392 708 3.4% 124.1% 89 12.6% 16 2.3% 105 14.8% 603 85.2% 5,380 5.1% 10.7% 160.0%
Thu 04/3 26 367 734 3.7% 100.0% 98 13.4% 17 2.3% 115 15.7% 619 84.3% 5,999 4.6% 9.8% 70.8%
Fri 04/4 27 336 761 3.7% 79.1% 99 13.0% 17 2.2% 116 15.2% 645 84.8% 6,644 4.0% 8.4% 58.6%
Sat 04/5 39 330 800 5.1% 70.2% 107 13.4% 20 2.5% 127 15.9% 673 84.1% 7,317 4.3% 9.0% 54.1%
Sun 04/6 42 312 842 5.3% 58.9% 116 13.8% 22 2.6% 138 16.4% 704 83.6% 8,021 4.2% 8.9% 52.4%
Mon 04/7 41 273 883 4.9% 44.8% 127 14.4% 23 2.6% 150 17.0% 733 83.0% 8,754 3.8% 8.8% 24.2%
Tue 04/8 45 243 928 5.1% 35.5% 138 14.9% 25 2.7% 163 17.6% 765 82.4% 9,519 3.6% 8.7% 20.3%
Wed 04/9 42 262 970 4.5% 37.0% 142 14.6% 27 2.8% 169 17.4% 801 82.6% 10,320 3.8% 8.5% 18.0%
Thu 04/10 28 264 998 2.9% 36.0% 154 15.4% 30 3.0% 184 18.4% 814 81.6% 11,134 4.1% 8.2% 17.3%
Fri 04/11 61 298 1,059 6.1% 39.2% 169 16.0% 32 3.0% 201 19.0% 858 81.0% 11,992 4.2% 7.5% 15.8%
Sat 04/12 49 308 1,108 4.6% 38.5% 215 19.4% 35 3.2% 250 22.6% 858 77.4% 12,850 4.4% 7.4% 15.8%
Sun 04/13 42 308 1,150 3.8% 36.6% 223 19.4% 40 3.5% 263 22.9% 887 77.1% 13,737 4.8% 7.5% 16.2%
Mon 04/14 40 307 1,190 3.5% 34.8% 229 19.2% 47 3.5% 276 23.2% 914 76.8% 14,651 5.3% 7.7% 18.1%
Averages 35 256 18.1% 203.0% 10.6% 2.9% 13.6% 89.2% 9.3% 19.2% 41.7%

2 posted on 04/14/2003 8:28:11 AM PDT by per loin
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To: per loin
This is precisely the same pattern found in the great influenza epidemic following World War One. It was especially cruel since many who had survived the horrors of the trenches succumbed to a virus after their return home.

This occurs because older people have been, through their lives, challenged by enough different varieties of virii to have built up a partial immunity to something just similar enough to help. Also, younger adults are more physically active and hence exposed to a wider variety of disease agents. Add international travel to the mix - as it was in 1919, it is much more so now - and you have a pandemic if you're not careful.

3 posted on 04/14/2003 8:30:02 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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4 posted on 04/14/2003 8:30:19 AM PDT by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: per loin
It's not so much that the death rate among young people is going up, as much as it's taking longer for young people to finally succumb
5 posted on 04/14/2003 8:34:11 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Heavily armed, easily bored, and off my medication)
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To: per loin
Walt Disney And Airlines Admit SARS Virus Is Crippling Business
11 posted on 04/14/2003 9:03:08 AM PDT by blam
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To: per loin
Breakthrough prompts vaccine hope for SARS

April 14 2003 at 09:52AM
IOL (South Africa)

A Canadian laboratory said its breakthrough discovery of the genetic sequence behind the deadly SARS virus could help develop an effective vaccine.

The Michael Smith Genome Sciences Centre in British Columbia said the genetic blueprint could also help develop a reliable diagnostic test for severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS, the respiratory virus that has killed 128 people and infected nearly 3 200 around the world.

"This will allow people who design specific antivirals, of which I admit there aren't that many out there, but they have the basic information they need to design those and test to see if they work," said Caroline Astell, projects leader at the Genome Science Centre.

"In the longer term, they could develop a sub-unit vaccine that might protect everyone."

Calling the discovery, announced on Saturday, a huge step forward in the fight to control the spread of SARS, the researchers said the results could eventually help scientists understand why the virus is so deadly.

The SARS virus has killed 13 people in Canada, which is the only country outside Asia where people have died from the disease.

Across Canada, 283 probable or suspected cases have been reported.

The scientists in British Columbia posted the information at www.bcgsc.bc.ca Sars can lead to severe pneumonia. About four percent of those infected die.

The condition of the Pretoria businessman who is feared to have contracted SARS has improved.

Netcare spokesperson Mande Toubkin said the man was still on a ventilator in the intensive care unit in the Pretoria East Hospital, but that there was a general improvement in his condition. The 62-year-old man was admitted to hospital last week. - Staff Reporter

This article was originally published on page 1 of The Cape Argus on 14 April 2003

14 posted on 04/14/2003 9:21:39 AM PDT by blam
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To: per loin
Title of article:
Young people predominate in latest Sars deaths
In body/text of article:
six of the people who died recently were relatively young
The *two* are not equivalent in my book ...
19 posted on 04/14/2003 10:53:07 AM PDT by _Jim ( // NASA has a better safety record than NASCAR \\)
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