China hid SARS patients - report

cnn.com ^ | Friday, April 18, 2003

[per loin]

Hong Kong: Hospitalized SARS (Chicom-Flu) Cases																								Chart by per loin perloin@email.com
Time			Cases				Increase			Disposition														Dead as % of prior time
Day	Date		Day	Week	Total		Day	Week		Got well			Dead			Total Gone			In Hospital			Hosp Days		Week	2 Week	3 Week	Of Gone
										Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%
Wed	03/12		10		10														10	10	100.0%	10
Thu	03/13		14		24		140.0%												14	24	100.0%	34
Fri	03/14		5		29		20.8%												5	29	100.0%	63
Sat	03/15		8		37		27.6%												8	37	100.0%	100
Sun	03/16		5		42		13.5%												5	42	100.0%	142
Mon	03/17		53		95		126.2%												53	95	100.0%	237
Tue	03/18		28	123	123		29.5%												28	123	100.0%	360
Wed	03/19		27	140	150		22.0%	1400.0%		5	5	3.3%	5	5	3.3%	10	10	6.7%	17	140	93.3%	500		50.0%			50.0%
Thu	03/20		23	149	173		15.3%	620.8%		0	5	2.9%	1	6	3.5%	1	11	6.4%	22	162	93.6%	662		25.0%			54.5%
Fri	03/21		30	174	203		17.3%	600.0%		2	7	3.4%	0	6	3.0%	2	13	6.4%	28	190	93.6%	852		20.7%			46.2%
Sat	03/22		19	185	222		9.4%	500.0%		0	7	3.2%	2	8	3.6%	2	15	6.8%	17	207	93.2%	1,059		21.6%			53.3%
Sun	03/23		25	205	247		11.3%	488.1%		0	7	2.8%	2	10	4.0%	2	17	6.9%	23	230	93.1%	1,289		23.8%			58.8%
Mon	03/24		13	165	260		5.3%	173.7%		5	12	4.6%	0	10	3.8%	5	22	8.5%	8	238	91.5%	1,527		10.5%			45.5%
Tue	03/25		26	163	286		10.0%	132.5%		2	14	4.9%	0	10	3.5%	2	24	8.4%	24	262	91.6%	1,789		8.1%			41.7%
Wed	03/26		30	166	316		10.5%	110.7%		2	16	5.1%	0	10	3.2%	2	26	8.2%	28	290	91.8%	2,079		6.7%	100.0%		38.5%
Thu	03/27		51	194	367		16.1%	112.1%		3	19	5.2%	0	10	2.7%	3	29	7.9%	48	338	92.1%	2,417		5.8%	41.7%		34.5%
Fri	03/28		58	222	425		15.8%	109.4%		6	25	5.9%	1	11	2.6%	7	36	8.5%	51	389	91.5%	2,806		5.4%	37.9%		30.6%
Sat	03/29		45	248	470		10.6%	111.7%		18	43	9.1%	1	12	2.6%	19	55	11.7%	26	415	88.3%	3,221		5.4%	32.4%		21.8%
Sun	03/30		60	283	530		12.8%	114.6%		21	64	12.1%	1	13	2.5%	22	77	14.5%	38	453	85.5%	3,674		5.3%	31.0%		16.9%
Mon	03/31		80	350	610		15.1%	134.6%		15	79	13.0%	2	15	2.5%	17	94	15.4%	63	516	84.6%	4,190		5.8%	15.8%		16.0%
Tue	04/1		75	399	685		12.3%	139.5%		5	84	12.3%	1	16	2.3%	6	100	14.6%	69	585	85.4%	4,775		5.6%	13.0%		16.0%
Wed	04/2		23	392	708		3.4%	124.1%		5	89	12.6%	0	16	2.3%	5	105	14.8%	18	603	85.2%	5,378		5.1%	10.7%	160.0%	15.2%
Thu	04/3		26	367	734		3.7%	100.0%		9	98	13.4%	1	17	2.3%	10	115	15.7%	16	619	84.3%	5,997		4.6%	9.8%	70.8%	14.8%
Fri	04/4		27	336	761		3.7%	79.1%		1	99	13.0%	0	17	2.2%	1	116	15.2%	26	645	84.8%	6,642		4.0%	8.4%	58.6%	14.7%
Sat	04/5		39	330	800		5.1%	70.2%		8	107	13.4%	3	20	2.5%	11	127	15.9%	28	673	84.1%	7,315		4.3%	9.0%	54.1%	15.7%
Sun	04/6		42	312	842		5.3%	58.9%		9	116	13.8%	2	22	2.6%	11	138	16.4%	31	704	83.6%	8,019		4.2%	8.9%	52.4%	15.9%
Mon	04/7		41	273	883		4.9%	44.8%		11	127	14.4%	1	23	2.6%	12	150	17.0%	29	733	83.0%	8,752		3.8%	8.8%	24.2%	15.3%
Tue	04/8		45	243	928		5.1%	35.5%		11	138	14.9%	2	25	2.7%	13	163	17.6%	32	765	82.4%	9,517		3.6%	8.7%	20.3%	15.3%
Wed	04/9		42	262	970		4.5%	37.0%		4	142	14.6%	2	27	2.8%	6	169	17.4%	36	801	82.6%	10,318		3.8%	8.5%	18.0%	16.0%
Thu	04/10		28	264	998		2.9%	36.0%		12	154	15.4%	3	30	3.0%	15	184	18.4%	13	814	81.6%	11,132		4.1%	8.2%	17.3%	16.3%
Fri	04/11		61	298	1,059		6.1%	39.2%		15	169	16.0%	2	32	3.0%	17	201	19.0%	44	858	81.0%	11,990		4.2%	7.5%	15.8%	15.9%
Sat	04/12		49	308	1,108		4.6%	38.5%		46	215	19.4%	3	35	3.2%	49	250	22.6%	0	858	77.4%	12,848		4.4%	7.4%	15.8%	14.0%
Sun	04/13		42	308	1,150		3.8%	36.6%		8	223	19.4%	5	40	3.5%	13	263	22.9%	29	887	77.1%	13,735		4.8%	7.5%	16.2%	15.2%
Mon	04/14		40	307	1,190		3.5%	34.8%		6	229	19.2%	7	47	3.9%	13	276	23.2%	27	914	76.8%	14,649		5.3%	7.7%	18.1%	17.0%
Tue	04/15		42	304	1,232		3.5%	32.8%		14	243	19.7%	9	56	4.5%	23	299	24.3%	19	933	75.7%	15,582		6.0%	8.2%	19.6%	18.7%
Wed	04/16		36	298	1,268		2.9%	30.7%		14	257	20.3%	5	61	4.8%	19	318	25.1%	17	950	74.9%	16,532		6.3%	8.6%	19.3%	19.2%
Thu	04/17		29	299	1,297		2.3%	30.0%		15	272	21.0%	4	65	5.0%	19	337	26.0%	10	960	74.0%	17,492		6.5%	8.9%	17.7%	19.3%
Fri	04/18		30	268	1,327		2.3%	25.3%		50	322	24.3%	4	69	5.2%	54	391	29.5%	-24	936	70.5%	18,428		6.5%	9.1%	16.2%	17.6%
Averages			35	260			16.5%	180.7%		10		12.0%	2		3.2%	13		15.2%	25		87.6%			9.1%	17.4%	36.1%	25.8%
										Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%
Day	Date		Day	Week	Total		Day	Week		Got well			Dead			Total Gone			In Hospital			Hosp Days		Week	2 Week	3 Week	Of Gone
Time			Cases				Increase			Disposition														Dead as % of prior time

[per loin]

For the first time, the number of hospitalized has dropped.

[Judith Anne]

The number of hospitalized has dropped for the first time...doesn't include military hospitals as I recall--they don't report case numbers...and lo and behold, it's just in time for the import/export show taking place in two weeks (thanks to mabelkitty for pointing this out).

[blam]

"For the first time, the number of hospitalized (reported) has dropped.

Correction.

[EternalHope]

This is an absolutely stunning article.

Everyone who knows anything whatsoever about SARS should read it.

[per loin]

I should have been more clear. I was speaking only of Hong kong.

[aristeides]

And at a military hospital, 40 SARS patients were said to have been moved to a hotel for the duration of the WHO tour, in an apparent attempt to deceive inspectors about the true extent of the outbreak.

I sure wouldn't have wanted to be staying at this hotel.

[Judith Anne]

Sorry if I gave you a wrong impression. I'm aware you were speaking only of HK. Please excuse me, I really need more coffee! I'm a little fuzzy this am...

[SauronOfMordor]

Soldiers tend to live in conditions where diseases easily spread. The 1918 Spanish flu is said to have started on military bases.

And got here from soldiers returning home from WWI in 1918

[per loin]

This is a bit off topic, but has any one here read a novel called "The Black Death" by Gwyneth Cravens and John S. Marr? It was published back in 1976 and tells of a wild outbreak of plague in New York City. The City is isolated in time to keep it from getting out, and then VX gas is dropped to kill all humans rats and fleas in the city. The interesting thing is that the gas is dropped on 9/11. The doctor who brought the disease to Hong Kong stayed at room 911 of the Metropole. And we all remember that other 9/11.

[blam]

"And got here from soldiers returning home from WWI in 1918."

Actually, It started at an army base in Kansas and was spread around the world by the 'doughboys' going off to WW1. It is called the Spanish flu because the Spanish were the first to identify the virus.

[aristeides]

Interesting article on contagion: How one person can fuel an epidemic .

[per loin]

It was first reported at Camp Funston in Kansas on March 11, 1918, but was in Guangdong in February, perhaps earlier.

[blam]

Good article, thanks.

[aristeides]

Four more SARS deaths in Hong Kong .

[per loin]

That's the second article I've seen today that says the number of patients still in the hospital is 1005. I supect they get that figure by subtracting the 322 discharged from the 1327 admitted. But that ignores the 69 dead, unless Hong Kong has been including those dead in the discharged figure. If that so, my chart is overstating the number of recovered patients. There would then be 253 recovered to 69 dead, a ratio of only 3.7:1.

[per loin]

I should add that WHO is interpreting Hong Kong's figures the same way I have been.

[EternalHope]

Someone in China says they are about to come clean. (They've said this before..)

China to admit far more SARS cases

Supposedly they will admit to 300 confirmed cases in Beijing, and 500 suspected cases. They will raise the number of admitted deaths to 73 (not clear in the article where the deaths were).

No word if they will update numbers on Guangdong, allow outsiders to inspect military hospitals, or allow free access to WHO personnel in Beijing and Guangdong.

Gotta go, back Monday.

[Eric in the Ozarks]

If ever an agency had been politicized, its the CDC. A shame.

[flamefront]

In this country it is avaoiding bad publicity in hospitals that could be leading to the same kind of neglect if a radio interview last night of a patient in Virginia is to be believed.