Posted on 04/24/2003 10:02:03 AM PDT by ex-Texan
SARS Death Rate Increases to 16% - 25% and the Mutating Virus Attacks Many Vital Organs
There is more evidence that SARS may be much worse than World Health Officials are admitting. In fact, my research convinces me that health officials are very worried about this deadly new virus.
I am deeply concerned about the correct computation of the death rate percentage. Thus far, authorities are simply dividing the number of deaths by the total number of SARS cases. That causes the death rate to be understated in my view. Some medical experts in public health agree with my position. SARS often requires a long hospital stay and intensive care before the patient is deemed to be "cured." Many patients have been hospitalized for three weeks.
Dividing the number of deaths by the number of cured patients results in a death rate percentage of 16% or even higher. In Canada, the adjusted rate has been computed to be about 25%.
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But there is more bad news emerging about this Chinese mystery virus. Doctors are beginning to fear the virus may be mutating into an even more deadly form as it spreads around the world. From a report in New Scientist any mutation in the virus is a genuine cause for even more concern.
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CBN News has a new report up on April 24th from the AP. SARS has caused one hospital in Beijing to lock its doors. New deaths have caused the local authorities to raise the "official" death rate percentage to 7% but health officials openly talk about a 10% death rate.
More disturbing information about Chinese genetic experiments with viruses appeared on ABS-CBN News today. Now the reports about SARS as bio-weapon are appearing all over the Internet. (See My Reports Below)
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The Age.com reports on April 21st that the deadly SARS virus acts on several vital organs and acts like a bio-weapon. A medical expert in Hong Kong worries openly about its bio-weapon potential.
A Wired News report filed on April 21st says that a medical scientist has determined that the SARS death rate may be above 18% and might be as high as 25% in Canada. That is truly scary indeed.
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SMH.com confirms reports virus has mutated and now causes major intestional damage.
(Excerpt) Read more at newspundit.net ...
What's the incubation period?
Perhaps it is a completely different bug, not SARS, but presents very similar manner. It's highly unlikely that two similar bugs, with similar pathologies break out at nearly the same time in different parts of the world, but it isn't an complete impossibility.
Ebola broke out in africa as well about this same time, but looks to be "winding down"
I pray you get the last laugh
I am thinking SARS could be a very serious health peoblem for a very large number of people. If say a billion people get SARS over the next couple years then at a 5% mortality rate we are talking in the neighborhood of 50,000,000 deaths. If we are talking a 16% mortality rate then we are talking about 160,000,000 dead over a two year period. I do not know if it will develop into that big a pandemic but it is a concern. However given the disease I do not see a whole lot that can be done to avoid this happening.
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