[AmericanInTokyo]

Time to go rent the movie "Outbreak" with Kevin Spacey and Dustin Hoffman and Cuba Gooding, Jr. Get a little taste of what is going down in the Middle Kingdom over Sarsmania.

[week 71]

Sars and rumors of Sars

[George W. Bush]

I don't think we have a clue about how many cases are in rural China. A vast disaster in the making, I think. India is also ripe for being hit hard as are Africa (as usual) and South America. In short, a disaster for the overpopulated countries who outbreed their ability to provide any decent medical care for themselves.

[BureaucratusMaximus]

OK...from all the thread about SARS, and upon researching this myself...I can only come up with the following conclusions (speculative of course):

1) The U.S. health care system can deal with, and treat Americans who come down with this disease effectively with minimal loss of life

2) Asian people seem to be less immune from this disease than Americans; more Asians are catching it and dying from it. This may have to do with the quality of health care or immune differences across races OR a combination of both (its a stretch I know)

3) China has "accidently" created and proliforated this virus as a means of subtle population control.

[_Jim]

New Zealand's National Business Review -- Sars: Plenty of precedents in history

Nothing new under the sun ...

[cake_crumb]

4,000 people 'quarantined' for SUSPECTED SARS, a virus which has no higher a death rate than other forms of Asian flu. A lot LOWER in some cases.

I rarely ever go into even remotely tinfoil hat mode so I oughtta have earned ONE tinfoil hat theory....

Does anyone besides me get the feeling China is using the UNinspired media hysteria-hyping to round up political dissidents, who will then conveniently die of SARS? They don't all even have to be dissidents. I see a perfect way for good comrades to kill off competition.

Murdering dissidents under cover of the manufactured SARS scare will protect China from - in this instance - further accusations of crimes against humanity.

[adam_az]

I am more worried about a deadly outbreak of FUDS in North America than I am about SARS.

Get a grip, the health system in the US is more than just a teensy bit better than that in China.

Note to Hitlery Clinton: CHINA has nationalized "single payer" health care, we don't.

[Democratic_Machiavelli]

Why are they putting college students in a military training camp? Why aren't they being isolated in their dorms, or inside a local hospital?

[TexasRepublic]

Listen to this

[montag813]

GOD FORBID WE DEFEND OUR BORDERS AGAINST NEW AND DEADLY DISEASES...WE MIGHT OFFEND SOMEONE.

[Future Useless Eater]

My analysis says the SARS death rate is much higher than widely reported.

I believe the various areas differ for two main reasons:

• Some areas have better/worse treatement and life-support facilities.
• Some countries choose to report only their more SERIOUS cases as SARS.

SARS Mortality Rates Based on World Health Organization data                 (Revised: 4/27am)
Area	Recoveries to date	Deaths to date	Recent** Death Rate		Active Cases still in Danger	Projected Future Deaths	Projected Final Mortality
Hong Kong	632	121	12.9%		774	100	14.5%
Singapore	126	21	16.1%		51	8	14.8%
China	1285	122	28.2%		1346	380	18.2%
Canada	77	18	20.7%		47	10	19.5%
World-wide	2239	293	18.5%		2304	426	14.9%
**  ( Deaths in the last 7 days) / ( Deaths + Recoveries in the last 7 days)

Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger
Date	Hong Kong	Singapore	China	Canada	World-wide
Apr 19	914	61	307	66	1616
Apr 20	893	64	497	66	1694
Apr 21 (est.)	872	66	686	66	1771
Apr 22	874	60	708	61	1783
Apr 23	831	58	968	58	2005
Apr 24	812	55	1058	58	2059
Apr 25	781	50	1209	51	2169
Apr 26	774	51	1346	47	2304
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery)

My observations:

• Hong Kong 'might' be getting a handle on their problem.
  • It's average new cases per day is smaller than cases resolved per day.
  • It apparently has the best treatment rate.
• Singapore and Canada MAY be the close to controlling their active caseloads:
  • Canada's higher death rate MAY be because more patients truly had SARS,
    instead of something else like flu.
  • OR MAYBE Canada has poorer healthcare
  • OR MAYBE Canada is ONLY reporting it's more-severe cases.
• China appears to be terribly out of control by every measure.