As we have noted on FR for quite some time now, containment can beat this thing, at least if containment is started early enough and done vigorously enough.
Also as we have noted, the long term impact of SARS:
...will depend on such factors as how long survivors of the infection retain natural immunity, the effect of seasonal changes on transmission rates, and whether the virus can live in other animals.
The article did not mention China and Taiwan. Taiwan will provide a model of how well we can do once SARS becomes widespread.
China is a special case, and the world's worst problem. SARS is widespread in China, but we have no reliable information. Western style containment, such as this article envisions, is not going to work in rural China.
To: EternalHope
Glad I'm not diligent, that and Russian Vodka will protect me.
2 posted on
05/23/2003 8:36:30 AM PDT by
Conspiracy Guy
(If you're looking for a friend, get a dog.)
To: EternalHope
Of course if the various governments listened to _Jim types, we'd be in trouble next year. I'm glad WHO and others are paranoid. Rather err on the side of life.
To: EternalHope
How did SARS get into the diligence, and how do we get it out?
4 posted on
05/23/2003 8:47:10 AM PDT by
Consort
To: EternalHope
That's just it. We already know that SARS can be contained in a modern city with excellent medical facilities, although the new reports out of Toronto prove that it's not a one-time battle.
What we don't know is how the disease will progress in rural areas without effective isolation tools. The presumption should be that it would be a disaster.
5 posted on
05/23/2003 8:49:39 AM PDT by
Dog Gone
To: EternalHope
I could be wrong, but this looks like a stand pattern in diseases. The more deadly and the higher the death rate, the more quickly it is brought under control. It's partly a matter of motivation.
6 posted on
05/23/2003 8:54:03 AM PDT by
js1138
To: EternalHope
China is a special case, and the world's worst problem. SARS is widespread in China, but we have no reliable information. Western style containment, such as this article envisions, is not going to work in rural China. Especially that the public health care is to the big extent dismantled in China. Most of hospitals were built in 1950's with Soviet help and in the present free market condition poor people (who are the most likely conduit for epidemics) cannot afford modern medical care.
8 posted on
05/23/2003 6:50:12 PM PDT by
A. Pole
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