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A Soft Landing for the Boomers
New York Times ^ | July 13, 2003 | Fred Brock

Posted on 7/24/2003, 9:22:15 PM by gcruse



A S baby boomers face retirement, they have a problem of their own making. This often-pampered and self-indulgent generation is unprepared financially. Instead of saving, too many of them have mortgaged their futures for a BMW lifestyle.

The latest figures from the Federal Reserve show that the median net worth — or difference between assets and liabilities — is $123,684 for families whose household heads are 45 to 54 years old. That means that half the families have more than this amount and half have less. The average net worth for the group is $419,073, but the median is probably more representative because income distribution in the United States is heavily skewed toward the top, a trend that has been accelerating in recent years.

These assets, especially the median figure, do not point to lavish retirements, and the clock is ticking. Boomers are turning 50 at the rate of seven every minute and will continue to do so until 2014, according to American Demographics magazine.

Of course, it's wrong to generalize excessively about this generation of 70 million or so people. Dr. Robert N. Butler, the president of the International Longevity Center-USA, a research organization in Manhattan, has observed that the quintessential upscale baby-boomer lifestyle often depicted in the media tends to be a coastal phenomenon; in the center of the country, boomers are almost indistinguishable from the rest of the population.

No one should generalize, either, about how much money people need to retire comfortably, despite the mutual fund industry's self-serving estimate that it will take at least 70 percent of your annual preretirement income.

Deena Katz, 53, an independent financial adviser and the president of Evensky, Brown & Katz, a financial planning firm in Coral Gables, Fla., has some definite opinions about her generation. She says the fundamental difference between baby boomers and their parents is in the philosophy of and approach to "things."

"The big issue for baby boomers is that they live in the immediate now," she said. "They have always given themselves everything they thought they were entitled to. When my folks needed a refrigerator, they saved money and bought it. Notice I said `needed,' not `wanted.' Now, when boomers want a refrigerator, they buy it and pay it off over time.

"So the boomers are absolutely going to have a hard time making an adjustment to a downsized lifestyle, because they haven't saved enough to continue as they have been living."

But many will have to make that adjustment, and she expects the boomers to solve the problem in a way typical of their generation: they will change the rules.

"I don't think the boomers will be a generation of traditional retirees," Ms. Katz said. "We will be a generation of repositioning."

"Repositioning" is another way of saying that the boomers will continue to work in some fashion and will stay very active in their version of "retirement" — as has been indicated in most surveys.

 
UT what about the generation's resistance to giving up "things" and living a less expensive life?

"They are going to have to make some sacrifices and changes," Ms. Katz said. "And that will work for them if they are convinced these changes are positive rather than negative."

She also says that many baby boomers and others who maintain that they don't want to move to a less expensive part of the country when they retire will actually do so when the time comes. A recent survey by Harris Interactive for Del Webb, the big builder of retirement communities, may support that notion. In the April survey, 59 percent of baby boomers aged 44 to 56 said they would relocate in retirement; in a similar survey in 1999, only 31 percent of those from 48 to 52 said they would do so.

"We'll see a great exodus from the cities into a simpler, less complicated lifestyle," she said. "But it will be a positive thing for the boomers — not, `You're going to have to sacrifice and downsize!' but, `I want to make my life simpler and the plus in that is that it's going to cost me less.' This will be their salvation from the problem of not having saved enough. When the mutual fund industry says you can't retire on less than 70 percent of your preretirement income, the boomers will say, `Not me, baby; I'm going to figure it out.' "

The differences in housing prices around the country show why boomers might be willing to move.

Whenever I check home prices on the Internet, in newspapers or in real estate booklets, I am astounded by the low prices outside major metropolitan areas, particularly when I look away from the East or West Coasts. That $300,000 you might pay for a small house in the New York or San Francisco areas will buy much more in Arkansas or New Mexico.

Last winter, I took a car trip through the eastern part of West Virginia, then south through the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia. I picked up several real estate booklets along the way. While plenty of homes were listed in the $200,000-to-$300,000 range, there were also these:

• A new home on a one-acre wooded lot. It had three bedrooms, two baths, vaulted ceilings, a fully equipped kitchen, a fireplace, a basement and a deck with a hot tub. The asking price was $149,900.

• A two-story log home on five acres. Three bedrooms and two baths. $95,000.

• A ranch house on 1.77 acres. Three bedrooms, two baths, a fireplace, deck and a double garage. $119,000.

Of course, these houses have probably been sold by now, and comparable houses may have risen a bit in price. They may not match your personal tastes or be in areas where you want to live, but you get the idea.

A good Web site for home prices nationwide is www.realtor.com. To compare costs of living, including home prices, among most cities and towns, try www.BestPlaces.net. It's an eye-opener for coastal boomers. 



TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: babyboomers; retirement
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1 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:22:15 PM by gcruse
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To: gcruse
"Repositioning" is another way of saying that the boomers will continue to work in some fashion and will stay very active in their version of "retirement" — as has been indicated in most surveys.

The whole idea of "retirement" is preposterous.

Retire from what?

Life?

There is a reason so many people kick the bucket within months of "retiring."

You're supposed to do something productive with your time, not play golf.

2 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:27:17 PM by E. Pluribus Unum (Drug prohibition laws help support terrorism.)
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To: gcruse
I'm a boomer (barely) and I want a lavish retirement.

What kind of crazy article is this?

I can't have it all?
3 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:29:56 PM by RJCogburn ("You have my thanks and, with certain reservations, my respect."......Lawyer J. Noble Daggett)
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To: gcruse
No problem for me, personally. Back when I was studying economic history at the tender age of 19, it appeared quite evident that there would be at least one bubble stock market in my productive years. I knew then that even if I did nothing else right, so long as I recognized the bubble near its advent and played it to the hilt until its peak, my heirs would have much to be grateful for... Then, in 1996 Chairman Greenspan gave his "irrational exuberance" speech - and the game was on!!

PS. I bailed in late February 2000, about three weeks prior the market crest..
4 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:30:15 PM by AntiGuv (™)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The whole idea of "retirement" is preposterous.

Try finding someone who'll employ you after 65. Not so easy.

5 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:31:51 PM by jlogajan
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To: jlogajan
Repositioning" is another way of saying that the boomers will continue to work in some fashion...

They will want the jobs, but the jobs won't want them. And we taxpayers will end up making up the difference.

6 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:36:11 PM by Mr. Jeeves
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To: jlogajan
Try McDondalds.
7 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:37:19 PM by jjm2111
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To: RJCogburn
I just hope mrs. lafroste doesn't see this article. She might promptly start comparing us to the "average" net worth (not the median net worth), decide that we are WAAAYYY behind the curve, and summarily slash our budget to the bone. I really, really don't want to eat rice three meals a day for the next year or two.
8 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:38:02 PM by lafroste
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To: gcruse
Of course, it's wrong to generalize excessively about this generation of 70 million or so people.

As this happy horsesh!t article does. Am I to believe that my wife and I are in some minority because we've been shrewd with a buck, invested wisely, and have never had short term debt beyond a car note? What do we win?

9 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:40:49 PM by w_over_w (TRUTH cannot take a lie continually propagated. ~Orville Wright~)
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To: jlogajan
"Try finding someone who'll employ you after 65. Not so easy."

I'm 58, and that will not be a problem for me. I've employed myself since 1972, and will always have a job for myself. In my opinion, the person considering retirement today should also consider a way to earn money without relying on a job with someone else. There are tons of ways to make money on your own.

When will I retire? Probably not until I die. I'll scale back a bit as time goes by, but not retire.
10 posted on 7/24/2003, 9:54:36 PM by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: RJCogburn
I'm a boomer (barely) and I want a lavish retirement.

I'm just past boomer on the long-tooth side.  I can't
decide where I want to spend this lavishness.  I do
know I can't afford the west coast, and wouldn't live
in the northeast with someone else's life.  Looking at
the desert southwest.
11 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:10:23 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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To: AntiGuv

PS. I bailed in late February 2000, about three weeks prior the market crest..

You and one other guy I know.  I hate you both.  ;)
12 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:11:51 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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To: jlogajan
Try finding someone who'll employ you after 65. Not so easy.

Hell, anymore if you're over fifty, fugheddaboudit!
13 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:13:03 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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To: gcruse
"We'll see a great exodus from the cities into a simpler, less complicated lifestyle," she said. "But it will be a positive thing for the boomers — not, `You're going to have to sacrifice and downsize!' but, `I want to make my life simpler and the plus in that is that it's going to cost me less.' This will be their salvation from the problem of not having saved enough.

Of course, this plan assumes that there will be massive numbers of buyers to purchase all their homes in the coastal suburbs so that they can buy the homes that have been setting unsold in the depopulating small heartland towns. Just like they assume that there will be massive numbers of buyers to purchase their hundreds of thousands of dollars of stocks when it comes time to liquidate their portfolios to fund their retirement.

14 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:13:11 PM by Stefan Stackhouse
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To: w_over_w
What do we win?

Sounds like us.  My wife and I took Jimmuh seriously when he advised
Americans to get out of debt.  We paid off the credit cards and stopped using
them mostly.  When we did use them, we paid in full every month.  I still
do it.  I owe nothing.   Stopped financing cars when interest expense
became nondeductible.  Everything is paid with cash.  I intend to do the
same for my retirement abode, soon as I find it.
15 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:16:49 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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To: Stefan Stackhouse
Yes, the demographics of this are going to be a force to deal with.
16 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:19:39 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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To: gcruse
The baby boom generation caused the eventual self destruction of the Social Security program when they chose to advocate and uphold the murder of an entire generation of children through abortion.

17 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:33:34 PM by Chewbacca (UAF Nanooks rifle team rules! Best in the nation.)
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To: gcruse
This is amazing! Do you realize that besides understanding your sense of humor, I also manage my money almost identically? Could it be? Were we separated at birth? ;^)
18 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:39:36 PM by w_over_w (TRUTH cannot take a lie continually propagated. ~Orville Wright~)
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To: w_over_w
I think so. Next time you see a stranger waving at you, wave back. Chances are...
19 posted on 7/24/2003, 10:44:27 PM by gcruse (http://gcruse.blogspot.com/)
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Comment #20 Removed by Moderator


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