[ambrose]

I find these poll numbers hard to believe. I want to believe them, but I still find them pretty hard to believe. I'd say that Gray Davis can be found to have cannibalized young children between now and election day and he'll still get that 35% of the hard core yellow dog rat vote.

[gsrinok]

You're right, Ambrose; those numbers will definitely firm up quite a bit by October 7th. It will take a huge swing, though, to keep Davis in office. If I were a betting man, I'd say that Davis is history.

The numbers that I really don't trust are Arnold's. As we get a lot closer to the actual election, if he hasn't campaigned in a way that shows he might actually know something about the job he so covets, a lot of people are going to think twice and look toward someone with more experience. That could mean a lot more prospective Republican voters leaning toward Simon or McClintock. If that happens, the dim votes just might put in Bustamente, who, in my opinion, is at least as incompetent than Davis.

[cinFLA]

I'd say that Gray Davis can be found to have cannibalized young children between now and election day and he'll still get that 35% of the hard core yellow dog rat vote.

Not when the layoff notices are going out to state employees who have been denied their promised pay raise this year and have to pay $700 registration for that new SUV they bought last Xmas .....

[capitan_refugio]

"I'd say that Gray Davis can be found to have cannibalized young children between now and election day and he'll still get that 35% of the hard core yellow dog rat vote."

Agreed; however, much of the dumbocrap base is dis-spirited and may not fall into the "likely voter" category.