HURRICANE WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR, NC TO NC/VIRGINIA STATE LINE AT 11 P.M. ADVISORY

National Hurricane Center, Miami ^ | Sept. 16, 2003 | National Hurricane Center, Miami

[varina davis]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 44

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 16, 2003

...Isabel heading for the mid-Atlantic U.S. Coast...

at 11 PM EDT...0300z...a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina northward to the North Carolina/Virginia state line including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from the North Carolina/Virginia state line northward to Chincoteague Virginia including Chesapeake Bay and the tidal Potomac.

<,p>A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Cape Fear southward to Little River Inlet South Carolina.

A tropical storm watch is in effect from north of Chincoteague to Little Egg Inlet New Jersey...and from south of Little River Inlet to South Santee River South Carolina.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are possible within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located near latitude 28.5 north...longitude 71.7 west or about 520 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 145 miles from the center ...And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 260 miles.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by USAF reconnaissance aircraft is 957 mb...28.26 inches. Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 10 inches are likely along the path of the hurricane. Large ocean swells and dangerous surf conditions are being experienced along portions of the U.S. Eastern Seaboard. These conditions will also continue over portions of the Bahamas for the next few days.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...28.5 N... 71.7 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...110 mph. Minimum central pressure... 957 mb. For storm-related information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office...and statements from local emergency management officials.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Lawrence

[varina davis]

Hurricane watches to the south and north of the warnings.

[Corin Stormhands]

I'm beginning to think that the waiting and speculating is worse than the actual storm.

[ScuzzyTerminator]

I'm beginning to think that the waiting and speculating is worse than the actual storm.

Yes. That's what I like about earthquakes.

[steveegg]

I'm beginning to think that the waiting and speculating is worse than the actual storm.

Unless, of course, you actually happen to be hit by it.

[Rudder]

I'm beginning to think that the waiting and speculating is worse than the actual storm.

Well, not really. I went through one in the late 70's on my boat out in the Atlantic (to avoid being smashed against the docks)--absolutely awesome and terrifying.

[Corin Stormhands]

Unless, of course, you actually happen to be hit by it.

Heh...current tracking has it going right across my back deck...

[steveegg]

Heh...current tracking has it going right across my back deck...

Ouch. Stay safe.

[netmilsmom]

Can we elect you to be the official FR photographer for the storm???

[Ramius]

Got a handy mast and some lashing material? :-)

[dogbyte12]

Hope you remembered to weather proof your deck this year ;)

Stay safe.

[Corin Stormhands]

Will you buy me a digital camera?

[Corin Stormhands]

Heh...we're in the midst of finishing up a claim for about $10,000 for a leak in an upstairs bathroom...ruined our piano. Otherwise I'd kinda hope for a new deck...

I can hear my premiums going up already.

[Corin Stormhands]

er...it leaked down on the piano...the piano was not in the bathroom...

[netmilsmom]

If you survive ;-)!

[Blue Scourge]

This is all very interesting...I've been through Hugo, Fran, Bertha, and one more that I can't recall... Hugo was the first, and I rode that one out in Charleston...after that the rest seemed kinda weak...

[Nexus]

The storm looks like a not-so-tightly coiled snake at this point; whatta strange sight.

[rllngrk33]

I'm beginning to think that the waiting and speculating is worse than the actual storm.

I predict that schools in the DC area will be closed Thursday and Friday.

Milk, bread, and toilet paper will disappear from store shelves by noon Wednesday.

[netmilsmom]

>>er...it leaked down on the piano...the piano was not in the bathroom...<<

Gee, I thought what a fun house you must have. Tinkling the keys while...oh never mind.

[LynnHam]

I live in Manassas , got the staples, will most likly get lots of rain here

[Blue Scourge]

BTW, a bit off the topic. But during Hugo I slept through the first half upstairs, during the eye they woke me and made me stay downstairs. Well, not 10 minutes into the backhalf of it 3 trees fell onto the house, one branch went through the roof and pierced the bed I was/would have been sleeping in right in the middle. And people wonder sometimes why I believe in God...