Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Mark Steyn: If Clark wins — I’ll quit!
The Spectator (U.K.) ^ | 09/27/03 | Mark Steyn

Posted on 09/25/2003 7:11:33 AM PDT by Pokey78

Mark Steyn says General Wesley Clark cannot beat Bush, not least because he sounds like a paranoid narcissist

New Hampshire

It’s the poll that’s got ’em all hot: Wesley K. Clark: 49 per cent; George W. Bush: 46 per cent. CNN and USA Today conducted it, and on air this week, listening to her ‘senior political analyst’ declare that ‘President Bush is sinking’, Judy Woodruff looked as if she wanted to do her Meg Ryan When Harry Met Sally impression: ‘Yes, yes! Oh, God!! Yes!!! Aaaooooowwwwaaaooah!!!!’

I’d say it’s the poll that’s faking it. It’s comprised of 1,003 ‘national adults’, of whom 877 are registered voters. Whether the others have ever voted at all is unknown. But, as a general rule, polls of registered voters are less accurate than polls of ‘likely voters’, and polls of just any old adults are less accurate than polls of registered voters. And, by ‘less accurate’, I mean they tend to overstate Democrat support. And, given that 48 per cent of the sample identified themselves as Democrats, what this poll seems to have found is that Clark attracts the 48 per cent you’d expect him to plus a barely detectable smidgeonette of the rest.

You’d almost have thought they did it that way to get that particular result, wouldn’t you? Well, all credit to them, they did. And we should allow Judy and co. their moment of triumph: they’ve finally got some ‘hard’ ‘evidence’ that Bush is a one-termer. For a year now, the Democratic nomination has been a battle between joke candidates, led by the Reverend Al Sharpton, and dull senators, led by John Kerry of Massachusetts. Vermont’s Howard Dean briefly caught the media’s fancy — he’s anti-war and from the only state with legal gay sorta-marriage. But, after a while, they began to notice that the more they talked up Dean the more the folks in the White House seemed to be falling around splitting their sides. So eventually they figured he was this year’s George McGovern, and they needed a new ‘None Of The Above’.

And here he is: General Wesley Clark. That’s what he is to the public at the moment: ‘None Of The Above’ in a General’s uniform. Once they get to know him and he joins the ranks of ‘The Above’, Democrats will be back to Square One looking for a new ‘None’. But for now no one knows a thing about him. In fact, he doesn’t seem to know much about him. One day, he’s pro-war. Next day, he’s anti-war. Then, just to clarify, he says he can go either way: ‘I’ve said it both ways because when you get into this, what happens is you have to put yourself in a position.’

And when a man has to put himself into a position, the best thing to do is call an aide to tell him which one it is. ‘Mary, help!’ Clark called to his press secretary in front of reporters, and Mary did indeed come to his rescue, explaining to the General what his position is.

‘You said you would have voted for the [Congressional war resolution] as leverage for a U.N.-based solution,’ Mary reminded him.

‘Exactly,’ said Clark.

At the time of writing, Mary’s position is apparently no longer operational. By the time I stroll over to the percolator and refill my coffee, it may once again be operational. But, even if it is, as a weaselly evasion it’s not even Clark’s — or Mary’s — own weaselly evasion, but one swiped from John Kerry. For weeks now, Senator Kerry has been saying that he only voted for the Congressional resolution authorising war with Iraq in order to persuade Saddam to comply with Hans Blix. It never occurred to the Senator that anyone would mistake his vote in favour of war as a vote in favour of war. Why, that was the very last thing on his mind! For someone who’s supposed to be this season’s John McCain, Clark so far is doing a very good impression of the most tentative, equivocal and hair-splitting of the Democrat hacks he’s supposed to be the straight-talking alternative to.

Still, for a guy who had a lousy week, Clark had a fabulous week. If a Republican didn’t know his own position on what’s supposed to be his main area of expertise, the media would be running the too-dumb-to-be-President analyses. Instead, Clark’s leapt to the head of the pack. If there’s anyone else running, you’d hardly know. The history of the Democratic race to date was neatly summed up by a campaign event I went to just down the road the other week. The Good Ole Boys of Woodsville organised a meet-and-greet with Senator Kerry at the Barge Inn and pulled a pretty good crowd. By the time I got there, the Barge was packed and I had to grab a spot by the wall way over in the back next to the men’s room door. The Senator, with his eternally anguished eyebrows and over-bouffed hair and Massachusetts mien, arrived fashionably late and made an effective entrance. We all applauded and the local TV guys got good pictures of him against the backdrop of flags and bunting as he began to thread his way through the throng. But I couldn’t help noticing that he seemed to be pressing the flesh a little perfunctorily and heading not for the buffet tables from where he was supposed to deliver his speech but instead straight for me. ‘Hi,’ he said, grabbing my hand. ‘John Kerry. Good to see you.’ Then he squeezed past me and went into the toilet.

An aide explained to the crowd that the Senator would shortly be emerging to give his speech. Nonetheless, one could sense the energy level beginning to dissipate. Giving a guy a big hand up to the podium is one thing, giving a guy a big hand to the men’s room is another. Someone suddenly remembered the candidate had been pre-miked and called the girl from the TV crew over to make sure nobody was recording any flushing sounds — as happened, if memory serves, in the first Naked Gun movie. Kerry came out, squeezed past me again, and went into action:

‘How you doin’?’ he began. ‘Good?’

There were a few grudging North Country affirmative grunts.

‘But you could be doing better, right?’

That’s fine, but it’s a generic line, as more or less everything that followed was. Kerry’s entrance that day is the perfect précis of his campaign, and those of the other senators. They got into the race, they shook a few hands, and now they’re trying to persuade the media that that giant flushing sound isn’t what it sounds like. But, as far as the press is concerned, final confirmation that their campaigns are going down the toilet came in that spectacular poll bounce of General Clark’s.

One can never predict the future with complete confidence, and these are uncertain times. Bush could well be beaten by a combination of events and the right opponent. Even so, whatever happens, the 44th President will not be Wesley Clark.

Why’s that? First and foremost, Wes is a Friend Of Bill, as in Clinton. Bill gets through FOBs at an enormous rate and even those who don’t wind up dead, in jail or drowning in legal bills rarely prosper. As has been noted in this space many times, the Clintons’ Democratic party is great for the Clintons, disastrous for the Democratic party. From Arkansas, Bill went on to Washington; his successor as governor, Jim Guy Tucker, went on to jail. His party lost control of Congress, but Bill got re-elected. He survived the impeachment trial, but his vice-president lost the White House. He bequeathed a New York senate seat to his wife, but the Clinton flack he installed at the Democratic National Committee led the party to defeat in just about every competitive senate race last November.

Anyone spot the pattern here? If Bill and Hill were to demand a constitutional amendment to lower the age qualification so that Chelsea could run for President, I’d put better odds on that than Clark’s chances of success. In last year’s election, despite the usual media gushing about his ‘rock-star charisma’ enthusing his party, you could pretty much correlate the Democrats’ worst results with Bill’s travel schedule during the campaign. Unless Wes Clark marries Bill in a Vermont civil union and takes his husband’s name, he’s got a one-way ticket on the same oblivion express as Al and Jim Guy. If I were a Democrat, my main priority for the party would be to get the car keys back from Bill Clinton.

You don’t really need any other reasons after the Clinton curse, but here are a couple of others anyway: right now the principal casualty of the Clark surge is former Vermont governor Howard Dean. To date, he’s run a brilliant campaign and is the principal beneficiary of his party’s visceral loathing of Bush and all his works. He’s poised to kill off two Democrat bigshots in the first two votes — former House minority leader Dick Gephardt in the Iowa caucus and Senator Kerry in the New Hampshire primary. Is he going to sit back and let some Clinton stooge who’s never run for anything steal the nomination away from him? Not if he’s the same Howard Dean I’ve spent a decade watching from my side of the Connecticut River. When the going gets tough, Dean gets mean.

Third, the Democrats have over-triangulated themselves. Getting an anti-war general sounds swell in theory as a means of inoculating yourself against the old soft-on-national-security charges, but in practice it means a guy whose career high-spots are Kosovo and Rwanda. Now, OK, that’s unfair: in Rwanda, Clinton may have stood idly by as a million unfortunates were slaughtered, but Wes Clark is said by some to have been ‘strongly’ opposed to his superiors’ inertia. But the point is Rwanda and Kosovo, like Somalia and Haiti, are a gazetteer of moral murkiness: even if General Clark was personally opposed to standing idly by during genocide, he was ineffectual, and in that sense he’s a perfect embodiment of American ineffectualness in the pre-9/11 world.

Fourth, Clark has a lot of loopy soundbites floating around suggesting he’s some sort of paranoid narcissist. For a while, he seemed to be claiming that on September 11 ‘people around the White House’ had got ‘a man from a Middle-East think-tank in Canada’ to call to pressure him into linking the attacks to Saddam Hussein. More recently, after being miffed at not being invited to join the post-9/11 national security team, he told the governor of Colorado and others in apparent seriousness that ‘I would have been a Republican if Karl Rove had returned my phone calls.’

Fifth, let’s assume Clark gets himself under control. He’s still the Arianna Stassinopoulos Huffington of the presidential campaign. Arianna’s running for governor of California as the people’s champion. But the only people who want her as their champion are a few Hollywood buddies: in the Wall Street Journal recently, I called it ‘trickle-down populism’. That’s Clark, too: it’s all top-down. The Clinton machine’s providing the money and the muscle, but in Iowa and New Hampshire the envelope stuffers and telephone diallers are already spoken for, and I wouldn’t bet on them switching. In my part of New Hampshire, there are no lawn signs for any other candidate but Dean, and those voters aren’t as fickle as the guys in that CNN poll.

In short, war is hell but, even for a battle-scarred veteran, politics can be just as hellish in its own way. The Clintons are using Clark as a place card, just to keep the seat warm for Hill in case, come the spring, Bush looks weak enough to be going down. By then, Clark may be happy to settle for being Senator Rodham’s running mate. But I’m sticking to my bet that he won’t be President in January ’05. If I’m wrong, I’ll quit writing about American politics for the entire Clark term. Or both of them.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; electionpresident; marksteyn; marksteynlist; wesleyclark
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-85 next last
To: MEG33; Peach; prairiebreeze; Mo1
Steyn nails the media for their phony polls.

Peach I told you that poll was cooked.

41 posted on 09/25/2003 8:31:40 AM PDT by Dog (How is my posting? Call 1-888-ITS-GOOD)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: conservatism_IS_compassion
A howler!

A howler, yes -- but I think the "car keys" line is spot-on. The D's are headed for a real war to see whether or not the Clintons will remain in control of the party.

That battle will have to take place before next summer's convention.

Should be a very interesting winter and spring.

42 posted on 09/25/2003 8:33:22 AM PDT by r9etb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78

November, 2004:
President Bush on the Road to Victory ...

43 posted on 09/25/2003 8:39:41 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Check out the Texas Chicken D 'RATS!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/keyword/Redistricting)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: r9etb

Dont touch me there!

44 posted on 09/25/2003 8:40:58 AM PDT by corkoman (did someone say cheese?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: thoughtomator
Believe me..you want the Meg visual..not the Judy one!
45 posted on 09/25/2003 8:45:48 AM PDT by MEG33
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78
That’s what he is to the public at the moment: ‘None Of The Above’ in a General’s uniform.

Now that is a perfect characterization of Clark's appeal!

46 posted on 09/25/2003 8:50:43 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78
On Howard Dean: To date, he’s run a brilliant campaign and is the principal beneficiary of his party’s visceral loathing of Bush and all his works. He’s poised to kill off two Democrat bigshots in the first two votes — former House minority leader Dick Gephardt in the Iowa caucus and Senator Kerry in the New Hampshire primary. Is he going to sit back and let some Clinton stooge who’s never run for anything steal the nomination away from him? Not if he’s the same Howard Dean I’ve spent a decade watching from my side of the Connecticut River. When the going gets tough, Dean gets mean.

Spot on. Howie ain't gonna go quietly. Look for an offensive against Clark next week. Dean will bloody and ravage anyone who tries to take the frontrunner spot away from him and he'll spoil the whole election for the Dims if that's what it takes. Howie is kind of a suicide-pact candidate. If he goes down, he'll try to take the rest down with him.

Howie will play the mad-dog role quite effectively, I think.

Dean is the nominee.
47 posted on 09/25/2003 8:51:24 AM PDT by George W. Bush
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: conservatism_IS_compassion
If I were a Democrat, my main priority for the party would be to get the car keys back from Bill Clinton. "

The pundits have been saying recently that this is the one thing that Howie can do for the Dims. All the others will be Bill's puppets, leading up to Hillary's disastrous run for the White House.
48 posted on 09/25/2003 8:53:43 AM PDT by George W. Bush
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78
The Clintons are using Clark as a place card, just to keep the seat warm for Hill in case, come the spring, Bush looks weak enough to be going down. By then, Clark may be happy to settle for being Senator Rodham’s running mate.
49 posted on 09/25/2003 8:54:32 AM PDT by joesnuffy (Moderate Islam Is For Dilettantes)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MeeknMing
Now if you could just photo shop a tatoo on his forearm.. Heart with MOM in it
and a cigarette behind W's ear.....
50 posted on 09/25/2003 8:56:23 AM PDT by joesnuffy (Moderate Islam Is For Dilettantes)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78
For weeks now, Senator Kerry has been saying that he only voted for the Congressional resolution authorising war with Iraq in order to persuade Saddam to comply with Hans Blix. It never occurred to the Senator that anyone would mistake his vote in favour of war as a vote in favour of war. Why, that was the very last thing on his mind! For someone who’s supposed to be this season’s John McCain, Clark so far is doing a very good impression of the most tentative, equivocal and hair-splitting of the Democrat hacks he’s supposed to be the straight-talking alternative to.

THANK YOU THANK YOU for posting another of Steyn's brilliant pieces!

51 posted on 09/25/2003 8:57:20 AM PDT by alwaysconservative ("If you can't change your mind, are you sure you still have one?" Maxine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: scholar; Bullish; linear; yoda swings
Ping
52 posted on 09/25/2003 9:12:15 AM PDT by knighthawk (And we all cry for freedom with your fists in the sky)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pokey78
[ polls of registered voters are less accurate than polls of ‘likely voters’ ]

Hmmmmmm... sounds like a lot of dead people are voting.. multiple times maybe.. maybe a few illegals thrown in.

53 posted on 09/25/2003 9:24:52 AM PDT by hosepipe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Tacis
I disagree about your percolator comment. Nearly everyone who's gone camping has used a percolator, as it's the only way to make decent coffee over a fire. It keeps *most* of the grounds out. (BG)
54 posted on 09/25/2003 9:35:56 AM PDT by Don W (Lead, follow, or get outta the way!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: corkoman
Judy Woodruff has a whole new face since the last time I noticed her. That must have hurt!
55 posted on 09/25/2003 9:37:32 AM PDT by Tax-chick (Did I say that? Quotes only, no paraphrasing, please!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: beaversmom
Better than that, there's a Mark Steyn website where you can find the "One Man Global Content Provider":

http://www.marksteyn.com/index.cfm
56 posted on 09/25/2003 9:37:49 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: dwilli
Clark has been referred to as "our Eisenhower" on several posts I have read on demo underground.

Never underestimate a DUher's shameless ability to compare World War 2 to everything Clinton did.
57 posted on 09/25/2003 9:38:11 AM PDT by Democratshavenobrains
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: joesnuffy
LOL !!

58 posted on 09/25/2003 9:42:57 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Check out the Texas Chicken D 'RATS!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/keyword/Redistricting)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: corkoman
Your picture does not accurately show the drooping, drippy mascara like she's been crying for a month and lipstick that slides off the down-turned edges of her lips, like we all saw in November when Republicans everywhere kicked butt in the elections! It's like her whole face slid south like runny cake frosting.
59 posted on 09/25/2003 9:48:51 AM PDT by alwaysconservative ("If you can't change your mind, are you sure you still have one?" Maxine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: Cicero
Thank you. I had been to his site before but I had forgotten about it. I'm spoiled about coming to FR and getting all my news. I don't even go to Drudge that much anymore.
60 posted on 09/25/2003 9:54:02 AM PDT by beaversmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 56 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-85 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson