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Andrew Sullivan: READ THE (WMD) REPORT
andrewsullivan.com ^ | 10/03/03 | Andrew Sullivan

Posted on 10/02/2003 9:33:18 PM PDT by Pokey78

If you think that David Kay's report on Iraqi WMDs can be adequately summarized by idiotic headlines such as: "No Illicit Arms Found in Iraq," then you need to read this report. If you believe the following "news analysis" by David Sanger in today's New York Times summarizes the findings of David Kay, then you need to read this report. Sanger's piece is, in fact, political propaganda disguised as analysis, designed to obscure and distort the evidence that you can read with your own eyes. His opening paragraph culminates in a simple, knowing, well-crafted lie:

The preliminary report delivered on Thursday by the chief arms inspector in Iraq forces the Bush administration to come face to face with this reality: that Saddam Hussein's armory appears to have been stuffed with precursors, potential weapons and bluffs, but that nothing found so far backs up administration claims that Mr. Hussein posed an imminent threat to the world.
That is not what the administration claimed. (The Times has even had to run a correction recently correcting their attempt, retroactively, to distort and misrepresent the administration's position.) The administration claimed that Saddam had used WMDs in the past, had hidden materials from the United Nations, was hiding a continued program for weapons of mass destruction, and that we should act before the threat was imminent. The argument was that it was impossible to restrain Saddam Hussein unless he were removed from power and disarmed. The war was based on the premise that Saddam had clearly violated U.N. resolutions, was in open breach of such resolutions and was continuing to conceal his programs with the intent of restarting them in earnest once sanctions were lifted. Having read the report carefully, I'd say that the administration is vindicated in every single respect of that argument. This war wasn't just moral; it wasn't just prudent; it was justified on the very terms the administration laid out. And we don't know the half of it yet.

THE MONEY QUOTES: If you don't have time, here are my highlights. First off:

We have discovered dozens of WMD-related program activities and significant amounts of equipment that Iraq concealed from the United Nations during the inspections that began in late 2002. The discovery of these deliberate concealment efforts have come about both through the admissions of Iraqi scientists and officials concerning information they deliberately withheld and through physical evidence of equipment and activities that ISG has discovered that should have been declared to the UN.
Translation: Saddam was lying to the U.N. as late as 2002. He was required by the U.N. to fully cooperate. He didn't. The war was justified on those grounds alone. Case closed. Some of the physical evidence still remains, despite what was clearly a deliberate, coordinated and thorough attempt to destroy evidence before during and after the war. Among the discoveries:
* A clandestine network of laboratories and safehouses within the Iraqi Intelligence Service that contained equipment subject to UN monitoring and suitable for continuing CBW research.

* A prison laboratory complex, possibly used in human testing of BW agents, that Iraqi officials working to prepare for UN inspections were explicitly ordered not to declare to the UN.

* Reference strains of biological organisms concealed in a scientist's home, one of which can be used to produce biological weapons.

* New research on BW-applicable agents, Brucella and Congo Crimean Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), and continuing work on ricin and aflatoxin were not declared to the UN.

* Documents and equipment, hidden in scientists' homes, that would have been useful in resuming uranium enrichment by centrifuge and electromagnetic isotope separation (EMIS).

* A line of UAVs not fully declared at an undeclared production facility and an admission that they had tested one of their declared UAVs out to a range of  500 km, 350 km beyond the permissible limit.

* Continuing covert capability to manufacture fuel propellant useful only for prohibited SCUD variant missiles, a capability that was maintained at least until the end of 2001 and that cooperating Iraqi scientists have said they were told to conceal from the UN.

* Plans and advanced design work for new long-range missiles with ranges up to at least 1000 km - well beyond the 150 km range limit imposed by the UN. Missiles of a 1000 km range would have allowed Iraq to threaten targets through out the Middle East, including Ankara, Cairo, and Abu Dhabi.

* Clandestine attempts between late-1999 and 2002 to obtain from North Korea technology related to 1,300 km range ballistic missiles --probably the No Dong -- 300 km range anti-ship cruise missiles, and other prohibited military equipment.
Would you be happy, after 9/11, if the president had allowed such capabilities to remain at large, and be reinvigorated, with French and Russian help, after sanctions were removed? I wouldn't. But the New York Times and Dominique de Villepin would have happily looked the other way rather than do anything real to enforce the very resolutions they claimed to support.

THERE'S MORE: One of the crazy premises of the "Where Are They?" crowd is that we would walk into that huge country and find large piles of Acme bombs with anthrax in them. That's not what a WMD program is about; and never was. Saddam was careful. He had to hide from the U.N. and he had to find ways, over more than a decade, to maintain a WMD program as best he could, ready to reactivate whenever the climate altered in his favor. Everything points to such a strategy and to such weapons being maintained. The bio-warfare stuff is particularly worrying:

With regard to biological warfare activities, which has been one of our two initial areas of focus, ISG teams are uncovering significant information - including research and development of BW-applicable organisms, the involvement of Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS) in possible BW activities, and deliberate concealment activities. All of this suggests Iraq after 1996 further compartmentalized its program and focused on maintaining smaller, covert capabilities that could be activated quickly to surge the production of BW agents.
Mustard gas in a matter of months. And concealment all the time:
A very large body of information has been developed through debriefings, site visits, and exploitation of captured Iraqi documents that confirms that Iraq concealed equipment and materials from UN inspectors when they returned in 2002. One noteworthy example is a collection of reference strains that ought to have been declared to the UN. Among them was a vial of live C. botulinum Okra B. from which a biological agent can be produced. This discovery - hidden in the home of a BW scientist - illustrates the point I made earlier about the difficulty of locating small stocks of material that can be used to covertly surge production of deadly weapons. The scientist who concealed the vials containing this agent  has identified a large cache of agents that he was asked, but refused, to conceal. ISG is actively searching for this second cache.
When you read this kind of information, you can see why the president has ordered more money to go to this effort. We need every cent. We have to show to the world - and to the appeasers at home - the extent of the threat that this monstrous regime potentially represented.

FOR THE FUTURE: But Kay makes a more important point at the end. He notes that our ability to examine this entire edifice in a liberated Iraq, to see where our intelligence failed and where it succeeded, is a hugely helpful task in the broader war on terror. Over to Kay:

[W]hatever we find will probably differ from pre-war intelligence. Empirical reality on the ground is, and has always been, different from intelligence judgments that must be made under serious constraints of time, distance and information. It is, however, only by understanding precisely what those differences are that the quality of future intelligence and investment decisions concerning future intelligence systems can be improved. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is such a continuing threat to global society that learning those lessons has a high imperative.
Of course it has. I've waited a long time for this report, and kept my peace until it came out and we had some empirical data to measure. What we now see may not impress those who are looking for any way to discredit this administration and this war. But it shows to my mind the real danger that Saddam posed - and would still pose today, if one president and one prime minister hadn't had the fortitude to face him down. We live in a dangerous but still safer world because of it. Now is the time for the administration to stop the internal quibbling, the silence and passivity, and go back on the offensive. Show the dangers that the opposition was happy for us to tolerate; show the threat - real and potential - that this war averted; defend the record with pride and vigor; and fund the reconstruction in ways that will make it work now not just for our sake but for the sake of those once killed in large numbers by the weapons some are so eager not to find.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Editorial; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: andrewsullivan; andrewsullivanlist; davidkay; davidkaywmd; iraq; weapons; wmd
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To: Pokey78
You know, in my more bitter moments (read: all of the time), I think that most liberals would rather die in a 9/11-scale attack than admit we were right to launch the War on Terror, or admit anything which vindicates Bush in any fashion, on any topic. Ironically, as they lay dying, they will finally have the WMD proof they denied, right in their faces, literally. Is this what they mean when they say 'hoisted by your own petard'?
21 posted on 10/02/2003 10:05:30 PM PDT by TrappedInLiberalHell (Hillary walks into a bar. Let's hope it leaves a nice bump on her forehead.)
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To: Pokey78
..
22 posted on 10/02/2003 10:10:24 PM PDT by Calpernia (Innocence seldom utters outraged shrieks. Guilt does.)
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To: Pokey78
Awesome post. Thanks.
23 posted on 10/02/2003 10:11:12 PM PDT by AHerald
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To: Pokey78
bump
24 posted on 10/02/2003 10:12:45 PM PDT by clintonh8r (A gentleman should know something about everything and everything about something.)
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To: Howlin; Pokey78
I love this man, and this is why.

Same here, Howlin. So glad he's on our side.

25 posted on 10/02/2003 10:13:28 PM PDT by nutmeg ("The DemocRATic party...has been hijacked by a confederacy of gangsters..." - Pat Caddell, 11/27/00)
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To: Tribune7
we won't find this in the Phila. Inquirer.

Nor the LA Times-owned Hartford Courant!

26 posted on 10/02/2003 10:14:34 PM PDT by nutmeg ("The DemocRATic party...has been hijacked by a confederacy of gangsters..." - Pat Caddell, 11/27/00)
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To: MHGinTN
I'm not about to trust the Deans, Gephardts, Kerrys, Daschles, Leahys, Schumers, and proven feckless clintons with the war against terrorists at this juncture. Losing Bin Laden proves how close degenerate clinton came to abetting our final demise. Scary reading, that!]

Me either

27 posted on 10/02/2003 10:14:46 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: TrappedInLiberalHell
Why would that surprise you.

These are the very same people who hoped we'd have huge numbers of body bags coming back from Iraq -- for political reasons.
28 posted on 10/02/2003 10:16:13 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: nutmeg
Nor the LA Times-owned Hartford Courant!

But thanks to the net people are going to know about it. This will be a bad week for Dems.

29 posted on 10/02/2003 10:17:39 PM PDT by Tribune7
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To: GOPJ; Pharmboy; reformed_democrat; RatherBiased.com; nopardons; Tamsey; Miss Marple; SwatTeam; ...
Media Fraud Alert! (Especially The New York Times, surprise!

This is the Mainstream Media Shenanigans ping list. Please freepmail me to be added or dropped.
Please note this is a medium- to high-volume list.
Please feel free to ping me if you come across a thread you would think worthy of this ping list. I can't catch them all!


30 posted on 10/02/2003 10:18:39 PM PDT by Timesink (For a good time, visit clark2004.meetup.com. Ask for Mary!)
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To: Pokey78
It sure doesn't help when Senator Roberts says he was disappointed by Kay's findings. What was he thinking, what was he listening to? It takes one biological agent, smuggled over a border that we are now demonstrating can't be controlled, handed off to a network of terrorists that remind us regularly that they are there...and you have a disaster. In just these short excerpts, which have been purified for public consumption, who couldn't conclude the reality of this threat?
31 posted on 10/02/2003 10:18:53 PM PDT by Dolphy
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To: Pokey78
bump
32 posted on 10/02/2003 10:21:34 PM PDT by nkycincinnatikid
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To: StarFan; Dutchy; alisasny; Black Agnes; BobFromNJ; BUNNY2003; Cacique; Clemenza; Coleus; DKNY; ...

Please FReepmail me if you want on or off my infrequent ‘miscellaneous’ ping list.

33 posted on 10/02/2003 10:22:20 PM PDT by nutmeg ("The DemocRATic party...has been hijacked by a confederacy of gangsters..." - Pat Caddell, 11/27/00)
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To: Pokey78
Great Catch. Hopefully some pasting wizard can put a collection of this stuff together.
34 posted on 10/02/2003 10:24:19 PM PDT by cookcounty
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To: Howlin
These are the very same people who hoped we'd have huge numbers of body bags coming back from Iraq -- for political reasons.

All I have to say is .. I pray that God can forgive me for the feelings I have right now about the Liberals

They make me sick

35 posted on 10/02/2003 10:25:25 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: Tribune7
But thanks to the net people are going to know about it. This will be a bad week for Dems.

Isn't it interesting how EVERY SINGLE TIME the Democrats try to lie and screw over conservatives, it blows up in their faces?

1) They claim Saddam was no threat whatsoever and create a false "CIA leak" scandal to attempt to destroy Bush. Within days, a report comes out proving Saddam was a massive threat.

2) They attempt to destroy Rush Limbaugh with a two-pronged attack, one of which was intended to put him in jail, and the only result is going to be that the ESPN show's ratings will collapse and his radio ratings will increase.

3) They specifically time an attack on Arnold Schwarzenegger in an attempt to destroy him. The result? In a few days he will be elected governor of the largest state in America, by a much wider margin than anyone was expecting.

They ALWAYS lose! BWA-HA-HAAA!

36 posted on 10/02/2003 10:27:58 PM PDT by Timesink (For a good time, visit clark2004.meetup.com. Ask for Mary!)
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To: Pokey78
One of the few articles to which my response is simply, "yes".
37 posted on 10/02/2003 10:29:12 PM PDT by Timm
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To: Howlin; MHGinTN; nutmeg; Pokey78; Tribune7; Temple Owl; Mo1
I love this man, and this is why.-Howlin

To the extent peace-loving people are going to succeed in preventing 9/11s, we are going to have to improve the intelligence gathering. Iraq presents a case study complete with before and after pictures.

Whatever we find will probably differ from pre-war intelligence. Empirical reality on the ground is, and has always been, different from intelligence judgments that must be made under serious constraints of time, distance and information. It is, however, only by understanding precisely what those differences are that the quality of future intelligence and investment decisions concerning future intelligence systems can be improved. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is such a continuing threat to global society that learning those lessons has a high imperative.-David Kay

Now is the time for the administration to stop the internal quibbling, the silence and passivity, and go back on the offensive. Show the dangers that the opposition was happy for us to tolerate ... -Andrew Sullivan

Talking point: Read The Report. Do not accept the lie of "Ho hum. No Weapons found."

38 posted on 10/02/2003 10:29:40 PM PDT by NutCrackerBoy
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To: Dolphy
It sure doesn't help when Senator Roberts says he was disappointed by Kay's findings.

Hardly anyone outside of Kansas even knows Roberts exists. Don't worry about him.

39 posted on 10/02/2003 10:30:29 PM PDT by Timesink (For a good time, visit clark2004.meetup.com. Ask for Mary!)
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To: Pokey78
I want to gloat, but I just have a sense of relief.
40 posted on 10/02/2003 10:35:43 PM PDT by jmcclain19
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