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Raisin Industry Relief
The California State Grange ^ | 10-14-02 | Walter A. Shubin

Posted on 10/15/2002 12:41:46 AM PDT by farmfriend

A REQUEST FOR AN EMERGENCY DECLARATION OF RELIEF FOR THE RAISIN INDUSTSRY

THE REQUEST
A request is made of the Governor to declare a state of emergency in Fresno County to allow relief for the raisin industry nearing a state of collapse. This request would allow Federal loan and loan guarantee programs and other institutions to roll over financing for repayment in future years, and to initiate additional financing on realistic repayment terms.

WHY THIS IS NEEDED NOW
In the past thirty-six months drastic decreases in domestic and world market prices for raisins are causing one-third of California’s 5,500 raisin growers to have gone out of business or who are in the process of closing down. These farm families who on average grow on forty-five acres were often referred to as the mainstays of their rural communities. Another third do not have the assets to survive more than one additional season, and perhaps within two years the industry will close. Four thousand agricultural workers have lost their jobs; another eight thousand are in jeopardy. Rural communities in Fresno County losing their major industry will suffer devastating losses of local businesses and jobs.

The growers have identified the causes of the market decline, developed a workable plan to cope with these, and now need one to two years to bring stability back to their industry, long noted as among the most stable of all California agricultural products. What they need is protection from creditors and lenders for a short-term period to allow them to work through situation. A declaration of an emergency would permit loan deferments to occur without the lenders or loan guarantee programs facing penalties from regulators.

SCOPE OF THE PROBLEM
More than 5,500 growers produce California’s 272,000 acres of raisin grapes, primarily in Fresno County. A historically stable market, income at the farm gate has ranged from $850,000,000 to $875,000,000 a year providing direct employment to 13,075 full time equivalent workers, and in fact providing the primary support for more than 25,000 industry employees.

During the past three years several converging factors have driven the prices raisin growers receive well below the cost of production. The problem is of a magnitude greater than simply individual farm families losing their assets, but is one of a potentially larger scale regional impact. The growers have identified the causes for this and have a practical program to address these. What they need is time to work out these issues, and protection from loses, their land and assets before they can do so.

There are five categories of loss: land value, annual income loss to growers, jobs, loss to others in the community, reduced tax collections.

Land value
Raisin grape land three years ago was selling for $10,000 to $12,000 an acre; current prices are in the $3,000 - $4,000 and acre range. Reduction in land value averages $7,500 an acre x 272,000 acres or $2,040,000,000 industry-wide. To the average farmer with 45 acres of raisin grapes this is a $337,500 loss of equity, leaving only $135,000 of real estate, often times less than the mortgage on the property. This widespread loss of land values if not promptly addressed has the potential of spilling over to land equity throughout the region.

Annual grower income
Prices paid at the farm gate have declined from a historic $3,500 to $3,650 an acre to less than $1,175 an acre. This is less than half the cost of production, and far less than expenses not including interest, depreciation and amortization. Since the decline in prices occurred three years ago, more than one-third of all grape growers have left the business either voluntarily or involuntarily, and the rate is accelerating as asset reserves dwindle. The annual decline in income to the industry is $2,400 x 272,000 acres or $652,000,000. The reduced gross income per grower exceeds $1,000,000 on average.

Jobs
Four thousand jobs a year are being lost to the industry and without intervention this rate will rapidly increase.

Community losses
Income from raisin grapes primarily stays in the community. The two major types of purchases manufactured out of the region, heavy equipment and chemicals, account for less than 20% of gross income. More than 75% of gross grower income is used within the region. A conservative estimate of the times income re-circulates is based on the percentage of primary income means a re-circulation of 3 times. Thus the loss of income to the community is nearly $2 billion a year. This could eventually impact the region by as many as 20,000 jobs.

Reduced tax collections
The state is losing payroll taxes on thousands of jobs, sales taxes on hundreds of millions of purchases, property taxes on future lower land assessments of several billion dollars, and excise taxes collected by Alcohol Beverage Control amounting to $12,500 for each acre of raisin grapes no longer processed to high proof products such as brandy.


Three years ago several factors converged simultaneously on the California raisin market.

  1. Apple juice from China and Argentina were dumped on the domestic market displacing grape juice as a commercial sweetener. Production from 20,000 California raisin grape acres became surplus.
  2. Recent plantings in Turkey matured and provided lower cost competition in the European market. Production from 15,000 California raisin grape acres became surplus.
  3. Major wineries overestimated the rate of growth in the market, offering rural land owners attractive contracts to plant wine grape varietals. Over planting of wine grape varietals along the California Coast and in Oregon brought an oversupply of more than 25,000 acres to the domestic market displacing the Thompson Raisin variety.
  4. The total surplus from these three issues equal 60,000 acres (150,000 tons) and is the basis for the problems.
  5. The oversight organizations for the raisin industry were slow to react to these severe threats after a long string of years in which supply and demand were in balance. A full growing season and one half of another passed before raisin growers took action to reinvigorate these organizations and develop a program to bring a balance to supply and demand.

THE PROGRAM OF CORRECTIVE ACTION
An effective program of corrective action requires immediate steps to bring production and consumption into line, and longer range solutions to increase demand and establish a system to assure that accurate market forecasts are recognized within the industry, and that action early in a production year can be taken to prevent (or at least minimize) oversupply. These steps include:

For implementation in the short term

For development and implementation over time

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We would like to acknowledge the following information sources: The California Department of Food and Agriculture, the California Employment Development Department, the University of California Cooperative Extension Service, the Raisin Bargaining Association, and the Raisin Administrative Committee.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: agriculture; calgov2002; farm; government
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1 posted on 10/15/2002 12:41:46 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: shaggy eel; Carry_Okie; Saundra Duffy; AAABEST; TonyWojo; Fearless Flyers; Iowa Granny; AuntB; ...
ping
2 posted on 10/15/2002 12:43:15 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: countrydummy; marsh2; hedgetrimmer; christie; SierraWasp; madfly; B4Ranch; sasquatch; ...
ping
3 posted on 10/15/2002 12:47:09 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: 68-69TonkinGulfYatchClub
ping
4 posted on 10/15/2002 12:49:27 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: farmfriend
This is great news!

The Senate Democrats' program will move forward now that their new and improved Soylent Green with Raisins recipe has been presented to the AlGore Foundation's Harvard School of Environmentally Efficient Chefs for approval...
5 posted on 10/15/2002 12:50:41 AM PDT by Vidalia
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To: Vidalia
Anyone see anything wrong with NAFTA yet? There is no level playing field when we have our enviro restrictions/regulations/labor costs/binding arbitration in CA compared to off shore countries without the above. There is no way we can compete!
6 posted on 10/15/2002 5:44:01 AM PDT by PARKFAN
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To: farmfriend
Bumping...
7 posted on 10/15/2002 7:00:43 AM PDT by hedgetrimmer
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To: hedgetrimmer
Thanks for the bump. These kind of posts rarely get the play they deserve.
8 posted on 10/15/2002 8:09:45 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: farmfriend
I think people are generally unaware about how close to the edge of disaster many California farmers live. I also think that people generally would very much regret the demise of agriculture in California-- all the while, the Agenda 21 folks would consider it a victory for their side--
9 posted on 10/15/2002 8:19:21 AM PDT by hedgetrimmer
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To: farmfriend; *calgov2002; Grampa Dave; Carry_Okie; SierraWasp; Gophack; eureka!; ElkGroveDan; ...
So what would a different Governor do?

...to see what bad, bad things Davis has done... - CLICK HERE

calgov2002:

calgov2002: for old calgov2002 articles. 

calgov2002: for new calgov2002 articles. 

Other Bump Lists at: Free Republic Bump List Register




10 posted on 10/15/2002 8:36:39 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: farmfriend
BUMP for Raisinets!
11 posted on 10/15/2002 8:38:47 AM PDT by kellynla
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To: kellynla
I've never eaten raisins as good as the ones Mr. Shubin provided for our convention. I maintain that I don't like raisins but I ate 2 bags they were that good.
12 posted on 10/15/2002 10:06:19 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: farmfriend; Ernest_at_the_Beach; JustAmy
Thanks for a diversion form the sniper and political threads. My sister and her husband own 40 acres and lease about 80 more south of Fresno near JustAmy . They will give up the leased acreage and their son will probably lose his 30 acres near Fowler. They still have raisins in reserve from 3 years ago I think. Maybe Amy can shed some light on the reserve system for raisins.
13 posted on 10/15/2002 10:09:45 AM PDT by tubebender
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To: farmfriend
I've never eaten raisins as good as the ones Mr. Shubin provided for our convention. I

During the depression my mothers idea of a treat was a cup of raisins and walnuts. Give it a try.

BTW...The winning "pumpkin" at the Half Moon Bay wiegh off was 1173 Pounds and a new HMB record. That is not the world record.

14 posted on 10/15/2002 10:16:11 AM PDT by tubebender
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To: tubebender; JustAmy
Walt said these were number 1s. They were number 1 in my book.

Bump and add to this thread at will.

15 posted on 10/15/2002 10:28:08 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: tubebender; JustAmy
Walt is sending a letter to Ann Veneman. Maybe I can post that as a supliment and other letters can be added to it. Maybe we could get a giant raisin to match the bucket and shovel.
16 posted on 10/15/2002 10:39:16 AM PDT by farmfriend
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To: tubebender
The state of Fresno County Raisin and Wine Industries is on the very brink of disaster. (I'm so glad we retired!) Lending companies on having to foreclose on many vineyards. They then hire someone to manage the acres and try to sell the property in a depressed market.
I will look for some statistics to post later but my BIL has a small vineyard with the grapes used for wine. The winery came out with a price of $75.00 to $80.00 per ton. It cost him $65.00 per ton to harvest and haul the grapes. That leaves $10 to $15 per ton for property taxes, water costs, tractor expense, labor for pruning and tying, etc.
To get by grape farmers in the Central Valley must get a second job to feed his family.

I'm sorry to hear about your nephew. Hope this program will save the property for him and many more who have poured their lives into farming.
17 posted on 10/15/2002 10:44:13 AM PDT by JustAmy
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To: JustAmy
I'm sorry to hear about your nephew. Hope this program will save the property for him and many more who have poured their lives into farming.

He has declared bankruptcy. Trying to save money he clipped the vines and was drying on the vine.

18 posted on 10/15/2002 11:11:30 AM PDT by tubebender
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To: farmfriend
Sounds like it's time to resurrect these guys:


19 posted on 10/15/2002 11:17:02 AM PDT by dfwgator
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DUMP DAVIS RALLY Sacramento

Saturday Oct. 19 from 1-3 PM

FReePouT on the South steps of the Capitol

Jim Robinson, "e-Gray Hooker" (RonDog) and many more FReePers will be there! Anybody seen the "chicken" lately ;-?

See the World Famous DUMP DAVIS DUMP TRUCK (If it makes it up the Sunol Grade ;-P )

Bring signs, banners, whatever! Be creative. FReeper daviddennis will be video doc'ing the event.

20 posted on 10/15/2002 11:18:01 AM PDT by NormsRevenge
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