Posted on 10/15/2012 2:06:39 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Why is Obama still leading Mitt Romney in Ohio, but trailing in Florida? This puzzle might be explained by the early blitz of attack ads the Obama campaign laid down against Romney in Ohio back in May and June, which created a sort of opinion deficit that Romney has had to try to make up during the past four months.
Yet Obama also hit Mitt early in Florida, and Romney has bounced back pretty strong there in the past two weeks.
Is it Libya? And is it possible that the deadly Bungle in Benghazi has raised concerns about the administrations Middle East policy among a key constituency in Florida? A friend on Twitter called attention to an article by my American Spectator colleague Jay Homnick:
MIAMI The Jewish outreach of the Romney campaign leaves a great deal to be desired, about which more on another day. One good thing this wing of the overall effort has been doing is involving Ambassador John Bolton in presenting to Jewish groups. His powerful pro-Israel record and reputation make his name a good draw in the circles of the more knowledgeable Jewish voters. It does not hurt that he has astonishing breadth of knowledge, pristine clarity of thought, and crystalline clarity of expression.
Sunday night he appeared here in Miami at a synagogue bordering the two communities of Surfside and Bal Harbor. The biggest concentrations of Jews in the Miami area are not near that spot, but its equidistance from Miami Beach and North Miami Beach situate it perfectly for such events.
The room was packed to the rafters, and there were no hecklers or provocateurs. The crowd listened raptly and applauded lustily. It is difficult to extrapolate from this to voting patterns on Election Day, but this much was clear: there is a strong Romney-Ryan contingent among both the religious and secular Jews of Florida. . . .
Go read the whole thing. And while were at it, remember during last weeks debate, when Joe Biden laughed while Paul Ryan talked about the seriousness of the Iranian nuclear threat?
(VIDEO AT LINK)
Bidens dismissive attitude toward the danger of a nuclear Iran, accusing Republicans of reckless warmongering for taking that threat seriously how did that play with Jewish voters? Bidens bulldozing aggression against Ryan may have cheered up demoralized Democrats, but the unseriousness of Bidens attitude hurt Democrats among undecided voters. Jim Geraghty examines a poll that found the Republicans gained a 3-to-1 advantage from last weeks debate.
But why trust the polls, when weve got the word of the Lord?
And I will make of thee a great nation, and I will bless thee, and make thy name great; and thou shalt be a blessing: And I will bless them that bless thee, and curse him that curseth thee . . .
You never want to get on the wrong side of a thing like that.
UPDATE: The big problem with the scandal now becoming known as BenghaziGate is that the Obama administration evidently decided to tell The Big Lie from the start, and so many officials repeated that lie so often that, once it became obvious they were lying, coming up with a plausible new lie was difficult. Ultimately, however, their problem is not their shifting lies, but rather the ugly truth of the administrations failure. Even such a master of deceit as David Axelrod cant hide from the facts:
Q. How soon after the attack did the President meet with the National Security Council, with people from state, with people from the , the Director of National Intelligence, with all of the various people to try to sort out what happened in Benghazi? A. Look. We are sorting out what happened there. Understand that the President the day after the attack called it an act of terror and charged everyone with responsibility for getting to the bottom of what happened. . . . Q. Yes, the president made a statement and then he went to a fundraiser in Nevada. Question: Before he went to the fundraiser in Nevada, did he meet with his National Security Council to try to sort out the shifting stories. Because State says they never said it was a spontaneous demonstration; Intel, you are quite right, did. Did he meet with the National Security Council before he went campaigning in Nevada? A. Chris, I assure you that the president was in contact with all those who had information and responsibility in the national security chain about this incident.
(VIDEO AT LINK)
Via Memeorandum.
Any Jew who votes for Obama has a death wish.
If Josh Mandel takes a decisive lead in OH Senate race, it’s over for Zero. That would show dissatisfaction with his limp-wristed foreign policy.
I’m seeing some Josh signs out here in the Nordonia area. No Brown signs.
I sure don't!
Only the deceived, or wicked would.
Further proof of G-d's love for us by giving us free will. Some will choose poorly. Pity and pray for them.
I agree with the sentiment of this thread but had a question about your statement:
“Some will choose poorly. Pity and pray for them.”
Which is very kind, but if they have free choice, why would you pray for them? Would you pray for them to choose differently? In which case is their choice no longer free?
I do pray for the salvation of others, don’t get me wrong.
Plenty of Josh Mandell signs in Clermont County (SW Ohio).
North Miami Beach? Those days are long gone. Many more Haitians now live in North Miami Beach than Jews.
Sadly some seed falls into bad ground, and will never have the chance to bear.
Since 2004, Ohio passed Florida in terms of being more difficult to win for the GOP. Obama is polling better in Ohio than Florida, because Florida has a larger GOP tilt.
In 2004, Bush won Florida by about 5 points, but Ohio only by about 2. In 2008, Obama won Florida by between 2 and 3 points, but Ohio by between 4 and 5. So Ohio was always going to be a tougher fight than Florida. Similarly, Iowa and Wisconsin should be tougher than Ohio.
Since Obama did a couple of points worse in Ohio then he did nationally, if Romney wins the popular vote, he should win Ohio. It’s possible for propaganda and their being supportive auto workers to help some, but usually the states don’t swing a lot from one election to the next in terms of how supportive they are of one party vs. another, although changes do happen (e.g., New Mexico has really moved left).
Colorado was actually the state that put Obama over, however, not Ohio. That is, Obama would have won without Florida or Ohio (or Virginia, Indiana, or North Carolina), assuming the other states’ results were the same.
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