I personally do not give a damn anymore for jumping on the bandwagon that I “think” will win because of its “concern” for the likes of “other” voters.
Cruz because he’s the most conservative, period.
In spite of his being an effing Senator.
The critical question is not who is the most conservative. We can wind ourselves into pretzels arguing who is more conservative on what issue.
Also, who is more likely to win is just that...an opinion.
OTOH polls reflect whom the voters actually favor. That is why I am studying the polls. It is true polls are not the same as elections. However polls have generally have been a good indicator in history of how the election will turn out.