Before tonight there were 867 delegates remaining. To reach 1237 delegates Trump required 56% of the remaining delegates. To reach 1237 delegates Cruz required 88% of the remaining delegates. After tonight there are 825 delegates remaining. To reach 1237 delegates Trump requires 58% of the remaining delegates. To reach 1237 delegates Cruz requires 89% of the remaining delegates.
Cruz is nearing elimination.
#PainfulEliminations
Wisconsin did not help Tedtanic.
Wake up and smell the coffee. Neither of them are going to walk into Cleveland with 1,237. That dream is over. The denial around here is just sad. It’s a contested convention whether you like it or not.
“With 16 primaries and caucuses remaining, Donald Trump has to win 70% of the delegates to secure the 1,237 needed to win a first ballot at the Republican convention.”
70%?
Common Core math? Cruz has to win more, but according to his article, Cruz has a lock.
Ray76,
Many thanks for the statistics!
Bears repeating:
Ray76 wrote:
Before tonight there were 867 delegates remaining.
To reach 1237 delegates Trump required 56% of the remaining delegates.
To reach 1237 delegates Cruz required 88% of the remaining delegates.
After tonight there are 825 delegates remaining.
To reach 1237 delegates Trump requires 58% of the remaining delegates.
To reach 1237 delegates Cruz requires 89% of the remaining delegates.
Cruz is nearing elimination.
How many more holes in that sinking Cruz ship do they have to plug before they finally abandon it?
I've looked at the data from RCP ... even if Cruz gets half the NY delegates (very unlikely) ... he will be mathematically eliminated.
His path to 1237 ends in two weeks.
All the analysis that predicts Trump won't get there assumes that people will still vote for someone who cannot secure 1237. Cruz's support will evaporate to Kasich levels ... 10-20% ...
We are right now at the point where the Cruz campaign's essential message is "I cannot get there, but if you vote for me, Donald won't get there either."
“After tonight there are 825 delegates remaining.
To reach 1237 delegates Trump requires 58% of the remaining delegates.
To reach 1237 delegates Cruz requires 89% of the remaining delegates.
Cruz is nearing elimination.”
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Please don’t rain on the Cruz parade with facts. He won Wisconsin and his path to the presidency is now clear for all to see.
All hail Ted Cruz!