Posted on 10/05/2016 4:12:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The two major presidential candidates remain in a dead heat, but Donald Trump has regained the edge.
The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch survey shows Trump with 42% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Hillary Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, it was the other way around, Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, and the day before Clinton had a 43% to 40% advantage. This is the first time Trump has been ahead since before the first presidential debate last week.
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) support in the latest survey, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein remains at two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Among the 82% of voters who say they are certain how they will vote, Trump leads 48% to 47%. Among those who say they still could change their minds, it’s Trump 32%, Clinton 30%, Johnson 27% and Stein 11%.
This survey was largely completed prior to last night’s debate between Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine and Trump’s running mate Mike Pence.
Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 2-4, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
[Rasmussen Reports analysts Amy Holmes and Fran Coombs are available for interested media. Please call 732-776-9777 ext. 205 for interviews.]
Voters are a bit more likely this year to say the vice presidential debate is important to their vote, putting it nearly even with the presidential debates in that regard. The next debate between Clinton and Trump is on Sunday.
Eighty-six percent (86%) of Trump voters and 88% of Clinton supporters say they are already certain how they will vote. But 52% of voters who back Johnson and 76% of those who favor Stein say they still could change their minds.
Both Clinton and Trump earn near 80% of the vote from those in their respective political parties. The GOP nominee continues to hold a small lead among voters not affiliated with either major party. Johnson and Stein have low single-digit support among voters in the major parties, but the Libertarian earns 17% of the unaffiliated vote.
Trump continues to lead among men, whites and those 40 and over. Clinton is still ahead among women, blacks and younger voters. The candidates are tied among other minorities.
Among voters who support Clinton, 21% say their political opinions are influenced by friends and family on social media like Facebook and Twitter. That compares to only 12% of Trump supporters.
Just 29% of all voters think the country is headed in the right direction. Forty-nine percent (49%) approved of President Obama’s job performance in September; 50% disapproved.
Voters think Clinton and the president are more likely to side with the protestors in situations like the recent one in Charlotte, N.C., but strongly believe Trump is on the side of the cops.
Nearly one-third (32%) of American Adults say they are less likely to watch a National Football League game because of the growing number of Black Lives Matter protests by players on the field. Only 13% say they are more likely to watch a game because of the protests.
The 8% for Johnson is way off. Nadar was far more known in 2000, and all he could muster was 2.74%, with all third party candidates totaling 3.75%. I think 3.5% is the cumulative top end for all of the 3rd party candidates, which is far higher than the last three elections (under 2% cumulative).
With the idiot Timmy last night, not only do we DO NOT want anymore Clintons, Bushes, Obumas, but we do not EVER want a Timmy Kaine in there!!!
Amen and a-m-e-n.
Excellent.
Read into it what you will, but if memory serves me correctly, Rasmussen called the last two presidential elections within just a couple of percentage points. Much more reliable than many others. I don’t know what his/her/their politics are.
Why isn’t she 50 points ahead?
Following an LMSM event, support for Trump falls, but then when the public has a couple days to think about it, they go back to Trump. Seems like a an emotional knee-jerk followed by a reasoned correction.
Sorry....no.....alas.
Rasmussen was almost 5 points off in 2012. They said Romney nationally by 1, and Romney lost by 3.9. Rasmussen has to figure out a way to be more accurate this year. I have no idea if they have done so.
Here’s a link:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
I think you have hit on a detectable pattern there. We know it. Clinton knows it. The LMSM knows it.
How well will they be able to time their final push?
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