Posted on 10/22/2004 11:16:47 PM PDT by familyop
And for those of you who like to see electoral analysis maps.
http://presidentelect.org/e2004.html
What is this, three different polls where Bush is above 50% and Kerry can't break through 46%?
We are looking at a 52-46 election.....
How, in the name of God, do most people think that the laziest Senator, a giggolo twice over and currently married to a billionaire understands "average" Americans better than Bush???
Bingo! Kerry seems to hit a ceiling at around 46% of the vote. Bush's floor seems to be in the 47-48% range (still better than Kerry's ceiling), but lately he is consistently hitting 50% and better. In the Washington Post tracking poll, he has been at 50% or better for about a week. I am predicting that the final result will be something like 52-53% for President Bush and only 45-46% for Kerry -- pretty close to the current Gallup numbers and to this latest Time poll.
Good, let President Bush's number keep rising. I am working like it is a close one but I am praying for a Huge Bush/Cheney Victory.
I agree. I alway's thought Kerry can't get over 46% even with voter fraud.
How, in the name of God, do most people think that the laziest Senator, a giggolo twice over and currently married to a billionaire understands "average" Americans better than Bush???
I don't know. But he is way, way too high in some of these state polls. We are a dumbed down nation. Shallow thinkers abound. One of them makes a complete sentence such as "It would be better to elect anybody but Bush." and the rest think he or she is a high priest or prophet.
What shall we do?
Soldier on.
The aspect of fraud is what bothers me too. Only a huge GOP victory will lessen the chances of it, but I still worry that the dems will litigate and cheapen yet another institution (even more than they already have).
§ Likely voters reported party identifications are: 35% Democrat, 35% Republican, 23%
Independents.
§ Registered voters party affiliations are: 35% Democrat, 33% Republican, 23% Independent.
I'd say this is a pretty accurate poll
It's getting harder and harder for the media to spin this as a close race.
I'm starting to get the warm-and-fuzzies about all of this; though I won't relax until I see Dan Rather looking like someone just ran over his dog as he reads that final CBS News projection on Election Night.
I also saw that, but I don't get it... 35%+35%+23%=93%... there can't be that many Greens and Libertarians. Maybe the other 7% are refusals?
In 2000, VNU reported 39% Dem, 35% Rep, and 27% Independent. Probably reasonable to assume a 4% shift from Dem to Independent after 9/11.
I agree...that should put Bush between 330 and 350 EVs...
If it ain't close...they can't cheat...
I hope you're right. If so then that should be enough to overcome all the dead, non-citizen, and multiple voters the Democrats will enjoy. At least so says John Fund of the WSJournal who just released a book on vote fraud.
It would also be more than enough to carry the electoral college safely into Bush's category.
The red is not New Hanpshire, but proportional votes from Maine.
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National Polls: 3 Way Race | Head-to-Head | Chart: 3-Way RCP Average | RCP Electoral Count | Battleground State Polls
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*Maine's 2nd Congressional District is currently list as a "toss up," which subtracts 1 electoral vote from Kerry's overall total.
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