Posted on 10/31/2004 4:43:32 AM PST by Pikamax
Bush down 1, Kerry unchanged
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I will post this as many times as I have to.......
This happend to me yesterday! Read on and enjoy!!
I live in a sKerry state. :^{
I am a Republican and for the first time in my life, I volunteered (free of charge! Take THAT you paid sKerry volunteers!!) to help my party.
Six Republicans (self included) went door to door in two local towns to GOTV of our fellow Republicans and here's how that experience shook out for me:
We were in groups of 3 teams of two people and given a list of adresses of registered Republicans to contact.
Homes I visited: 77
Of those homes about 60 people were home.
There is a high turnover of residents in this area so some on the list no longer live there or were renting to others.
ALL of the Republicans contacted are going to or have already voted for President Bush!! Only ONE Republican was undecieded!
We came across SEVEN democrats now living where Republican once did, and of those, FOUR were going to vote for President Bush!! ONE even wanted to know how to get a B/C 04 yard sign!!! I got goose bumps! Almost cried! (well not really).
From what it looked like to me, is the dems have taken this state for granted. The looks on the faces of the democrats we did encounter that were voting for sKerry was priceless!!
Can you imagine being a dem and having a Republican show up at your door step asking you to vote for Bush!?!
To get to my point, Take Heart and don't believe the POLLS!! I know of no Republican voting for sKerry. I now know of at least SEVEN dems who are voting for Bush/Cheney!! And this is in a sKerry State!!!!
Remember that in Friday's polling, Kerry made up two to three points on the President. That day is still included in this tracking poll. I'm sure it has some impact. The other fraud Zogby has it tied today, a one point improvement for the President. Also, I read somewhere that the WaPo increased their sample size on Friday (what a shock - increasing the sample size on Kerry's best day of polling), but that this has given Kerry a statistical adavantage, since this day is weighted greater.
This is the ABC/WA PO poll..AP/IPSOS is different.
Oddly though ABC and WAPo use the same study, ABC has another methodology for "likely voters"..thus
Poll: Bush-Kerry Race Closing ClosePresident Bush takes 49-48 percent edge into final weekend, ABC News tracking poll finds.
R
Thanks for the info...ABC/WaPo, all the more reason to mistrust it, LOL.
Which political party do these people belong to? (Rhetorical question!)
Plus it's Halloween weekend (subtract everyone who's going Trick-Or-Treating with the kids or who is attending a Halloween party.)
The IEM vote share market last had George Bush futures at 52.4% asked, which is actually better than my estimate (51.7%) of the actual vote!
ABC/WaPo Pleasuring themselves by inceasing sample size over the weekend. Look under "Methosology" to see an actual skewed situation
10/30: 2,615 likely voters; 3,165 self-identified registered voters Oct. 27-30.
10/29: 2,347 likely voters; 2,832 self-identified registered voters Oct. 26-29.
10/29: 2,047 likely voters; 2,488 self-identified registered voters Oct. 25-28.
10/28: 1,747 likely voters; 2,145 self-identified registered voters Oct. 24-27.
10/27: 1,709 likely voters; 2,107 self-identified registered voters Oct.23-26.
10/26: 1,666 likely voters; 2,084 self-identified registered voters Oct.22-25.
10/25: 1,631 likely voters; 2,079 self-identified registered voters Oct. 21-24.
10/24: 1,638 likely voters; 2,085 self-identified registered voters Oct. 20-23.
10/23: 1,222 likely voters; 1,575 self-identified registered voters Oct. 20-22.
10/22: 1,238 likely voters; 1,592 self-identified registered voters Oct. 19-21.
Tom, would you tell us what city/state you are in?
Maryland!
Regarding your tagline, it's called DIPS (Democrat Induced Profanity Syndrome.)
Well, Shazaam! I pray a lot of people are shocked Wednesday morning. And, Tom, many many thanks for your hard work from all of us.
DIPS!!
Thank you! Thank you! Thank you!
I now have a name for my condition. I feel I'm not alone in my suffering anymore. ;^]
We will be surprised by how much Bush wins by. These polls are nothing. Polls, polls, polls. Everywhere.
It's the least I could do.
Any man who would run down the GOOD NAME of the armed forces and President of the United States deserves the extra effort to keep from getting into office.
Right. This WaPost poll is wishful thinking. Bush will win the electoral vote quite comfortably.
There is something fishy here about the timing. The Washington Post just released a poll at 5 PM Eastern time Saturday night that showed Bush up 49 to 48 for Kerry. Now they come out with a new tracking poll just 13 hours later? It must be Saturday night polling only which is notoriously skewed to Democrats.
Only 1? See what I mean.
Nope. It's a 4 night tracking poll. If you go look at the chart you can see the pattern that moves this poll to Kerry EVERY Fri/Sat/Sun. Like clockwork, it moves back to Bush during weekdays.
Now, for those who prefer to see the glass half empty, they can presume the weedDAY numbers are off. But the internals invariable show odd statistics on the Kerry weekends...like Kerry leading among men or some such. Maybe the electorate really is in flux where men are going to be RAts and women are turning pubbie. But I'm not buying it.
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