Posted on 11/02/2004 8:47:55 PM PST by zaggs
Contrary to Fox's "expert" (Gloria something, friendly with Dems) Cuyahago county is 1/3 of the way counted, Franklin county Ohio is 93% counted
Yep...Keep Praying!!
Remember, Gore won that county by 166,000, so Kerry has to surpass that
Gore took that county by 160,000, so Kerry will make up some ground, but it shouldn't be enough.
The marriage amendment is winning by 62%. You would think that if they are voting in favor of that, they would be voting for Bush. What is up with that?
Well - thus far, BUsh is still up at least 180K votes in Ohio....
The numbers are looking good.
If he can maintain close to this margin, no lawsuit or challenge should have a chance.
One caveat. Urban precincts always come in late in cleveland.
Estrich ignored the fact that Hamilton county, which is marginally GOP, has tons of votes out, as well as hyper GOP Warren and Clemont County. Kerry is on the razors edge in Ohio. His chances of winning are poor, but not quite yet impossible, since one doesn't know where the precincts are coming in from Cuyhoga, and Cuyahoga is only 52% counted, while the state is 68% counted.
Only 12.5% is counted in Hamilton County according to Fox News due to the write in for prosecuting attorney which was to late to get names on the ballot as the prosecuting attorney which was in office withdrew from race because of an sexual harassnent suit.
I don't get it.. you mean 100,000 in addition to the 94,000?
If it makes any difference, Bush is up in Ohio by 132,000. If he drops another 90,000 in Cuyahoga, he still has a margin of 42,000. What about the remaining unreported votes? How are they likely to split?
Extrapolating the count Kerry will make up about 90,000 of his deficit from Cuyahoga. He'll make up a few more in Mahoning and possibly Franklin, but W is ahead by about 134,000 so I think W will squeak by.
The Bush team should have used this issue more. There were some great direct mail pieces by the Bush team, but otherwise the issue was not exploited.
Hamilton County is solid republican so if the race is anywhere close it's over for Kerry as he will get crushed here.
no...100,000 in total assuming kerri percentage of lead doesn't change.
see post #29
Bring that lead down here to Hamilton County and will start partying.
I'm thinking more like 30,000 statewide.
Is this the place where the battle is won or lost??????
HAHAHA. No. Bush won in 2000 by only 110,000! And they haven't counted the South yet. It's over.
If Bush is up 180,000 it's getting close to the fat lady singing for Bush. Just get that lead to Hamilton County and it's over for Kerry. This is solid republican territory.
Perhaps you need to have a look at Wisconsin.
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