Cuyahoga is 52% reported and the President is behind by 94,000 votes.
What does this mean?
So what does this mean for the overall picture? We've been getting very good county by county results from Florida all night, but next to nothing on Ohio...
behind 94K? what does that mean overall?
So we can expect he might lose 50,000 out of nearly 200,000 vote lead. No problem.
The big thing to note is that Hamilton county, which trends GOP, is way behind.
Voted late in Cuyahoga today in a DEM town and everyone must have voted early. No wait for my wife and me.
Bush will WIN!!!
Statewide: 65% reporting, Bush up by 180,000... his lead is growing, not shrinking. Bigtime uphill for Kerry to pull this out.
Estrich ignored the fact that Hamilton county, which is marginally GOP, has tons of votes out, as well as hyper GOP Warren and Clemont County. Kerry is on the razors edge in Ohio. His chances of winning are poor, but not quite yet impossible, since one doesn't know where the precincts are coming in from Cuyhoga, and Cuyahoga is only 52% counted, while the state is 68% counted.
If it makes any difference, Bush is up in Ohio by 132,000. If he drops another 90,000 in Cuyahoga, he still has a margin of 42,000. What about the remaining unreported votes? How are they likely to split?
Extrapolating the count Kerry will make up about 90,000 of his deficit from Cuyahoga. He'll make up a few more in Mahoning and possibly Franklin, but W is ahead by about 134,000 so I think W will squeak by.