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Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
OMG!!!!!!!! My tummy hurts looking at that picture. Check out his back pocket!
wind sheer, colder water, something to steer it to a less populated area - are any of these things in the cards now?
Howlin posted this last night.
http://www.sitesatlas.com/Maps/Maps/TX1.htm
Is there a northerly jog in the last couple of loops......Anybody????
That will give him more brush and stuff to clean when he goes down there. He digs that stuff...back to reality for a little bit...
I personally am partial to "unnngh".
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1235991/posts
Rita, over the last 2.5 hours has made a pronounced move toward the northwest. It looks like she has found a weakness in the upper-level ridge to her north and is starting the northward turn earlier than forecast. IMO, folks along the upper Texas coast and SW Louisiana are going to be at much greater risk than people along the mid and lower Texas coast.
I sure thought I saw a couple of them but I didn't want to say anything because I've been wrong before. I'm not the only one this time I guess...:-)
Amen to that. Also, with evacs still ongoing from the shoreline areas (which would be evacuated for Cat 1-2 hurricanes), and roughly 3 full days until landfall, it makes no sense to jump the gun.
I'm looking at the updated modeling tracks, and they all seem to be converging on the shoreline about 50 miles south of Houston.
This puts Houston/Galveston on the NORTH side if the storm!
How far up the ship channel can surges go??
FEMA presser on.....all reporters want to talk about is Katrina. Shep on Fox is stuck on stupid about communications being inadequate because all equipment is being used in Iraq.....
That's what I saw, too. Not enough to say for sure it's path is shifting...
Let us know! I may have a house full of Aggie 'evacuees' over the weekend afterall!
Yes, northerly jog. And their talking about it on the EasternUS weather forum now too. Could be significant, might not be.
I see a more WNW motion in the past few frames. I believe this was predicted earlier today to occur within 12 hours.
are you sure not a wobble?
you can buy a satellite phone on the internet in about 5 minutes.
From: Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html
Updated: 6:38 PM GMT on September 21, 2005
The 1:53 eye report from the hurricane hunters found a 920 mb pressure and flight level winds of 153 knots (176 mph). These numbers plus the satellite intensity estimates would ordinarily support upgrading Rita to a Category 5 hurricane, but NHC is being conservative, and calling Rita a strong Category 4 hurricane with 150 mph surface winds.
There are two hurricane hunter aircraft in Rita this afternoon. The NOAA hurricane hunters found a central pressure of 934 mb at 11:17 am, and the Air Force hurricane hunters found a central pressure of 923 mb at 1:02pm. This incredible drop of 11 mb in 105 minutes is the fastest pressure fall I can ever recall seeing in a hurricane, and exceeds the 10 mb drop in 100 minutes we saw in Hurricane Charley last year. With an eye diameter of 25 miles, an eyewall replacement cycle is not likely today, and Rita may intensify to a level close to Katrina's strongest point--902 mb.
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