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Future of Conservatism: Darwin or Design? [Human Events goes with ID]
Human Events ^ | 12 December 2005 | Casey Luskin

Posted on 12/12/2005 8:01:43 AM PST by PatrickHenry

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To: RussP
"'Pigs can't fly' is falsifiable."

"Oh, is it? Can you prove that no pig is able to fly? I don't think so. You'd need to thorougly test every pig in the world.

To *falsify* 'Pigs can't fly' all you would need to do is show one pig fly. To *prove* pigs can't fly you would have to test a statistically significant number of pigs.

521 posted on 12/13/2005 7:54:45 AM PST by b_sharp (Science adjusts theories to fit evidence, creationism distorts evidence to fit the Bible.)
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To: RussP
"The irony is that as an evolutionist, you must be willing to concede that pigs may someday develop wings and start flying!

They would no longer be pigs. Just consider for a moment how many changes would be necessary.

522 posted on 12/13/2005 7:57:17 AM PST by b_sharp (Science adjusts theories to fit evidence, creationism distorts evidence to fit the Bible.)
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To: Stultis
You just got through saying that a thoroughly hoc theory (one that can account for anything) is a good theory . . .

A good theory explains the data. When organized matter is found to behave in accord with predicatable laws, then it is reasonable to attribute this to intelligent design. What is intelligent design but taking matter and then organizing it to behave according to predictable laws?

Testable predictions are largely the practice of emprical science, when, on a smaller scale, hypotheses are formed and tested. You are mistaking "theory" for hypotheses. "Theory" is merely a general way of explaining the available data, so intelligent design makes for a very good theory.

Are you saying it is not possible for science to test for the presence of organized matter that behaves according to predictable laws? Perhaps the theory of intelligent design is so self-evident you have tired of it and yearn for something new. Be my guest. But don't think you've "explained" something any better when you assume and conclude that only "natural" causes can be explored by science. You tell me the testable hypotheses that can explain the presence of organized matter that behaves according to predicatable laws while leaving intelligent design out of the picture.

523 posted on 12/13/2005 7:58:27 AM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: Pete
How can an evolutionist be anything but a nihilist and maintain a consistent worldview?

If my genes have inclined me to develop with a feeling that it's right to protect my family or wrong to kill someone, then how can I discount those feelings in order to become a nihilist without somehow 'ripping out' those genes and every effect they've had on me?

Or, to put it another away, knowing that my sex drive is only an adaptation produced by natural selection doesn't make me want to stop having sex, so why should knowing that my moral 'drive' is (at least partially) derived from the same source make me want to stop being moral?

524 posted on 12/13/2005 7:58:49 AM PST by moatilliatta
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To: antiRepublicrat
Your proposed hypothesis was not a case for ID . . .

No. I said, and have been saying, that intelligent design is a respectable theory. I've not introduced the word "hypothesis" except in response to others who have introduced it.

Someone asked what ID as a theory predicts, and I said, "That organized matter behaving according to predicatable laws will be found."

525 posted on 12/13/2005 8:02:37 AM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: Fester Chugabrew
so intelligent design makes for a very good theory

That's the first very good scientific theory I've ever heard of that does not have even one supporting hypothesis or proposed test.

I'll agree that ID is a theory in the vernacular, but not in the scientific.

526 posted on 12/13/2005 8:03:25 AM PST by antiRepublicrat
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To: Fester Chugabrew
I have a theory too. I call it Unintelligent Design. It says that the universe just *is*. One prediction of this theory is that organized matter behaving according to predictable laws will be found.
527 posted on 12/13/2005 8:06:02 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: RussP
Has anyone ever directly observed the "evolution" of a single-celled organism to a multi-celled organism?

Is a collection of cooperating unicellulars with no nervous system an organism? Like a fungus, or a jellyfish? How about ants and termites, that are incapable of breeding on their own? Is an ant colony one creature, or many creatures? Shared morphology, chemistry, and DNA structure is devastating evidence of the evolutionary link between unicellulars and multi-cellulars. Science is not required to jump thru some arbitrary hoop some cultist with a burr under his blanket and an obvious ax to grind holds up for it to jump thru before getting along with its business.

528 posted on 12/13/2005 8:09:42 AM PST by donh
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To: Right Wing Professor; betty boop; cornelis; hosepipe
Thank you for your reply!

Alamo-Girl extrapolates from methodological to metaphysical naturalism by saying that people who adopt naturalism as a mere working hypothesis often note that they never encounter a case where it is invalid, and thence extrapolate to naturalism as a metaphysical principle. I find that concession revealing, to start with. But arguing, never in thousands of instances having encountered an exception, that no exceptions are likely to exist, is hardly 'philosophy'; it's a valid application of induction that in any other case would be regarded as unexceptionable.

It is a tragic error to construct an ideology, philosophy or theology on a intentionally narrowed field of view.

For instance, we cannot say that something is random in the system if we do not know what the system "is". A string of numbers extracted from the extension of pi would falsely appear random where they are in fact highly determined.

Likewise, in the case of methodological naturalism, one cannot presume that conclusions drawn from an intentionally narrowed field of view reflect truths about the system, because they never ask nor answer what the system "is".

The blind men and the elephant parable is a metaphor for this phenomenon although in this case, the blindness was not intentional and thus, not as tragic:

The Blind Men and The Elephant

A number of disciples went to the Buddha and said, "Sir, there are living here in Savatthi many wandering hermits and scholars who indulge in constant dispute, some saying that the world is infinite and eternal and others that it is finite and not eternal, some saying that the soul dies with the body and others that it lives on forever, and so forth. What, Sir, would you say concerning them?"

The Buddha answered, "Once upon a time there was a certain raja who called to his servant and said, 'Come, good fellow, go and gather together in one place all the men of Savatthi who were born blind... and show them an elephant.' 'Very good, sire,' replied the servant, and he did as he was told. He said to the blind men assembled there, 'Here is an elephant,' and to one man he presented the head of the elephant, to another its ears, to another a tusk, to another the trunk, the foot, back, tail, and tuft of the tail, saying to each one that that was the elephant.

"When the blind men had felt the elephant, the raja went to each of them and said to each, 'Well, blind man, have you seen the elephant? Tell me, what sort of thing is an elephant?'

"Thereupon the men who were presented with the head answered, 'Sire, an elephant is like a pot.' And the men who had observed the ear replied, 'An elephant is like a winnowing basket.' Those who had been presented with a tusk said it was a ploughshare. Those who knew only the trunk said it was a plough; others said the body was a grainery; the foot, a pillar; the back, a mortar; the tail, a pestle, the tuft of the tail, a brush.

"Then they began to quarrel, shouting, 'Yes it is!' 'No, it is not!' 'An elephant is not that!' 'Yes, it's like that!' and so on, till they came to blows over the matter.

"Brethren, the raja was delighted with the scene.

"Just so are these preachers and scholars holding various views blind and unseeing.... In their ignorance they are by nature quarrelsome, wrangling, and disputatious, each maintaining reality is thus and thus."

Then the Exalted One rendered this meaning by uttering this verse of uplift,

O how they cling and wrangle, some who claim
For preacher and monk the honored name!
For, quarreling, each to his view they cling.
Such folk see only one side of a thing.

Jainism and Buddhism. Udana 68-69:
Parable of the Blind Men and the Elephant

529 posted on 12/13/2005 8:09:49 AM PST by Alamo-Girl
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To: Fester Chugabrew
But using the set of definitons often posted by evos on these threads, it is plain to see that intelligent design qualifies as a "theory,"...

It will qualify as a hypothesis or theory only if and when it suggests research.

This is not something that can be settled by reference to dictionaries. When ID people formulate a hypothesis that can be tested, it will be science.

530 posted on 12/13/2005 8:17:45 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: antiRepublicrat
That's the first very good scientific theory I've ever heard of that does not have even one supporting hypothesis or proposed test.

In what way would you expect science to test for the presence of organized matter that behaves according to predicatable laws?

531 posted on 12/13/2005 8:18:55 AM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: js1138
It will qualify as a hypothesis or theory only if and when it suggests research.

The presence of organized matter that behaves according to predictable laws is all that science has to research. The last time I checked, when intelligent design is employed, it consists in organizing matter so that it behaves according to predictable laws.

532 posted on 12/13/2005 8:21:15 AM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: BnBlFlag

"IOW, you will accept Socialism, the loss of American Soveriegnty and a UN tyranny over an argument that has no affect on your or your family's well being.
Absolutely brilliant."

No, he'll probably become a Libertarian, which while considerably more conservative than the Republican party, certainly isn't considered part of the "conservative base". Brilliant!

(BTW, the Libertarian party has no problem with either evolution or an over-affinity for religious fundamentalism. It could use a reality check when it comes to foreign policy and the military.)


533 posted on 12/13/2005 8:27:06 AM PST by PreciousLiberty
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To: CarolinaGuitarman
It was probably outsourced.

Hence the phrase, "Give the devil his due, or there'll be hell to pay."

I think we may have unearthed a coverup.

534 posted on 12/13/2005 8:27:13 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman
One prediction of this theory is that organized matter behaving according to predictable laws will be found.

That would not be a very good prediction, because unintelligent design would predict unorganized matter that behaves unpredictably.

535 posted on 12/13/2005 8:27:36 AM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: Fester Chugabrew

"That would not be a very good prediction, because unintelligent design would predict unorganized matter that behaves unpredictably."

But that's what I say it predicts. It's my theory, I get to make up any predictions I want for it. Why do you get to decide what the structure of my theory is? :)


536 posted on 12/13/2005 8:30:24 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: donh

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1538810/posts?page=464#464


537 posted on 12/13/2005 8:35:05 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: Alamo-Girl
Likewise, in the case of methodological naturalism, one cannot presume that conclusions drawn from an intentionally narrowed field of view reflect truths about the system, because they never ask nor answer what the system "is".

The question is, is the field intentionally narrowed, or do we in fact fail to observe phenomena that show indications of supernatural action? In my case, the answer would be the latter. I've been exposed to all sorts of dubious claims of the supernatural, including people who claimed to have ESP, fortune tellers and prophets who could predict the future, ghostly phenomena, spoon-bending abilities, etc. In every single case the claim turned out to have a natural and generally rather tawdry explanation. At one stage, in fact, I was quite willing to accept supernatural explanations for phenomena.

Methodological naturalism is the stance almost all of us adopt almost all the time these days. We put more confidence in physicians than in faith healers; in meteorologists rather than seers; in radar rather than divination. Our experience is, that as knowledge and understanding of our universe grows, so the domain of the supernatural shrinks.

538 posted on 12/13/2005 8:37:05 AM PST by Right Wing Professor
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To: Fester Chugabrew

When ID produces a hypothesis that suggests research, it will qualify as science. Science is an activity, not a list of facts.


539 posted on 12/13/2005 8:37:23 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: Right Wing Professor; steve-b
My mistake. Replace "Galileo" with "Copernicus."

People gave ear to an upstart astrologer who strove to show that the earth revolves, not the heavens or the firmament, the sun and the moon . . . This fool wishes to reverse the entire science of astronomy, but sacred Scripture tells us (Joshua 10:13) that Joshua commanded the sun to stand still, and not the earth.

--Luther

Some think it a distinguished achievement to construct such a crazy thing as that Prussian astronomer who moves the earth and fixes the sun. Verily, wise rulers should tame the unrestraint of men's minds.

Certain men, either from the love of novelty, or to make a display of ingenuity, have concluded that the earth moves . . . Now, it is a want of honesty and decency to assert such notions publicly and the example is pernicious. It is the part of a good mind to accept the truth as revealed by God and to acquiesce in it . . . The earth can be nowhere if not in the centre of the universe.

--Melanchthon


540 posted on 12/13/2005 8:37:50 AM PST by Aquinasfan (Isaiah 22:22, Rev 3:7, Mat 16:19)
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