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Biden and Hagel...in 2002
pajamasmedia ^ | Mar. 29, 2007 | Michael Ledeen

Posted on 03/29/2007 6:07:06 PM PDT by nuconvert

Biden and Hagel...in 2002

Every U.S. Senator believes he or she should be president. Just listen to them talk, and watch the way they walk; it’s obvious. They’re rarely called to account, but every now and then they write something, and it goes into the record, and then someone googles it out. So take a look at this very statesmanlike op-ed that Biden and Hagel wrote four and a half years ago. Notice they had no clue what would happen after the overthrow of Saddam. Notice that they bought into the Saudi view of life, namely that nothing of merit can be accomplished until there is some deal with Israel and the Palestinians. And notice they knew, long ago, that this would be slow,and we’d have to remain for quite a while. Ten years anyway.

So here goes, from the WaPo, December, 2002:

OP-ED: Iraq: The Decade After

This op-ed originally appeared in THE WASHINGTON POST on December 20, 2002.

IRAQ: THE DECADE AFTER

By Joseph R. Biden and Chuck Hagel

The United States will face enormous challenges in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, as well as broad regional questions that must be addressed. These are both matters that members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee have been focusing on for some time. During a week-long trip to the region, we came away with a better understanding of the possibilities and perils that lie ahead.

In northern Iraq we saw the extraordinary potential of Iraqis once they are out from under Saddam Hussein’s murderous hand. New hospitals, schools, roads and lively media are testimony to the determination of Iraqi Kurds and to the bravery of coalition air crews patrolling the no-fly zone. Just a few hours’ drive from the oppressive rule in Baghdad, a freely elected regional government and legislature (which we were honored to address) are embarked on a path of clear-eyed realism. While neighboring countries fear an independent Kurdistan, Kurdish leaders appear committed to working together for a united Iraq. They realize they could lose everything they have built in the past decade by pursuing independence.

Although no one doubts our forces will prevail over Saddam Hussein’s, key regional leaders confirm what the Foreign Relations Committee emphasized in its Iraq hearings last summer: The most challenging phase will likely be the day after — or, more accurately, the decade after — Saddam Hussein.

Once he is gone, expectations are high that coalition forces will remain in large numbers to stabilize Iraq and support a civilian administration. That presence will be necessary for several years, given the vacuum there, which a divided Iraqi opposition will have trouble filling and which some new Iraqi military strongman must not fill. Various experts have testified that as many as 75,000 troops may be necessary, at a cost of up to $ 20 billion a year. That does not include the cost of the war itself, or the effort to rebuild Iraq.

Americans are largely unprepared for such an undertaking. President Bush must make clear to the American people the scale of the commitment.

The northern Iraqi city of Kirkuk is an example of the perils American forces may encounter. It sits atop valuable oil fields and is home to a mixed population of Arabs, Turkmen and Kurds. In recent years, Saddam Hussein has expelled Turkmen and Kurds as part of an “Arabization,” or ethnic cleansing, campaign. We toured a refugee camp housing 120,000 displaced people and heard countless stories of brutality and the loss of loved ones. Kirkuk could become the Iraqi version of Mitrovica, the volatile city in Kosovo where the U.N.-led administration has faced the dilemma of forcibly resettling people from various ethnic communities who have been evicted from their homes.

This is one reason why we will need our allies to help rebuild Iraq. Cementing a broad coalition today will keep the pressure on Hussein to disarm, build legitimacy for the use of force if he refuses, reduce the risks to our troops and spread the burden of securing and reconstructing Iraq. Going it alone and imposing a U.S.-led military government instead of a multinational civilian administration could turn us from liberators into occupiers, fueling resentment throughout the Arab world.

Iraq cannot be viewed in a vacuum. Disarming and stabilizing that country will be all the more difficult because of the unsettled regional environment, in particular the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. While it is essential that the United States aggressively pursue Israeli-Palestinian peace on its own merits, doing so has ancillary benefits for the disarmament of Iraq. Simply put, we will make it easier for Arab governments to participate in, or at least support, our actions in Iraq if they can show their people we are engaged in the peace process.

Meetings with Israeli officials and Palestinian reformers led us to believe new opportunities exist for American diplomacy. Recent polling shows that nearly three-quarters of Israelis and Palestinians seek reconciliation and a two-state solution. For the first time since the violence began, a majority of Palestinians support a crackdown against terrorism as part of a peace process. A large majority have no confidence in Yasser Arafat.

The key is to empower Palestinian reformers and encourage Arab moderates. President Bush should lose no time in publicly endorsing the “road map” developed by the Quartet — an informal group of mediators on the Middle East from the United States, the United Nations, the European Union and Russia. The road map provides for a series of reciprocal steps to jump-start a renewed peace process. That would give hope to Palestinian reformers and send a clear message to the Arab world that the United States remains determined to pursue an Israeli-Palestinian settlement even as we deal with Iraq.

Working on multiple fronts poses a difficult test for American leadership, but there is no escaping the fact that we face several related, interlocking crises in the region. As the bulwark of freedom and democracy, the United States faces the need to disarm Saddam Hussein and set the stage for a stable Iraq, win a protracted war on terrorism and engage fully on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Working with our friends and allies, it is a challenge we can, and must, meet.

###

Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.) is chairman and Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.) a senior member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: biden; bidenandhagel; hagel; iraq; ledeen; michaelledeen; wot

1 posted on 03/29/2007 6:07:07 PM PDT by nuconvert
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To: Valin

pong


2 posted on 03/29/2007 6:21:15 PM PDT by nuconvert ([there are bad people in the pistachio business] (...but his head is so tiny...))
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To: nuconvert

3 posted on 03/29/2007 6:36:53 PM PDT by matt1234
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To: Bahbah; Mo1; pinz-n-needlez

PING


4 posted on 03/29/2007 7:05:55 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Txsleuth; pinz-n-needlez; onyx; ohioWfan; BigSkyFreeper; Dog; My2Cents; Howlin; nopardons; ...

Thanks for the ping Sleuth

Pinging others to a blast from the past


5 posted on 03/29/2007 7:22:02 PM PDT by Mo1 ( http://www.gohunter08.com)
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To: Mo1

Yes...I thought this one was so special...I posted the link at the Senate site...so we will have it handy.

I am thinking it should go to Rush, Hannity, Mark Levin.

AND to Mitch McConnell...

I think Mitch needs to read it on the Senate floor..especially the part about "10 YEARS".


6 posted on 03/29/2007 7:32:54 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Txsleuth

I think Mitch needs to make one of those HUGE charts of this article ... like the ones the Dems always use in the Senate :0)


7 posted on 03/29/2007 7:34:29 PM PDT by Mo1 ( http://www.gohunter08.com)
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To: Mo1

yep, words coming back to haunt them. Thanks for the ping.


8 posted on 03/29/2007 7:36:57 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (Iran needs a good swift kick in the teeth. Or ten.)
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To: Mo1

bttt


9 posted on 03/29/2007 10:00:51 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Txsleuth

My, my.

Well, given their behavior, I guess we have to assume that someone else wrote it for them and they never bothered to read it.


10 posted on 03/30/2007 3:50:05 AM PDT by Bahbah (Regev, Goldwasser & Shalit, we are praying for you.)
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To: Mo1

Oh my gosh! What a great find.

So they admitted in 2002 that we'd need to stay for 10 years and they were supportive of that then.

Now why isn't the administration talking about this?


11 posted on 03/30/2007 4:58:08 AM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's' pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: Bahbah

LOL...that is why I posted this thread also on the Senate thread...so we would have instant access if we see an opening to use it..

Of course it doesn't matter...because even Harry Reid was advocating the "surge" less than 2 weeks before he was holding that non-binding resolution vote for STOP the surge.


12 posted on 03/30/2007 6:46:05 AM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Txsleuth

There you are. I was just going to go looking for you as I watch the weather reports from your part of the world.


13 posted on 03/30/2007 6:52:19 AM PDT by Bahbah (Regev, Goldwasser & Shalit, we are praying for you.)
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To: Bahbah

So far, it is quiet here---very dark and cloudy, but no storms.

Last night we just had rain and thunder and lightening. I am praying for just that again today.

Thanks for thinking of me. Is your area going to be getting any bad weather?


14 posted on 03/30/2007 6:55:43 AM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Txsleuth
So far, it is quiet here...

Holy cow, just as I was reading that there was a crack of thunder that I thought at first was an explosion (reading too much about Iraq?). The cats actually ran in here to be with me. Nothing followed.

15 posted on 03/30/2007 7:01:48 AM PDT by Bahbah (Regev, Goldwasser & Shalit, we are praying for you.)
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To: nuconvert

Well well well. Isn't this...interesting.
Of course if confronted with this they would say that the situation on the ground is now completly different, and so we must cut and run.


16 posted on 03/30/2007 7:13:50 AM PDT by Valin (History takes time. It is not an instant thing.)
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To: Peach
Where do you get the idea that they're supportive? This reads to me like a cautionary piece about the potential consequences of attacking Iraq, including money, time, and lives. It advocates diplomacy, multilateralism, and a two state solution to the Arab-Isreali conflict, and cautions very strongly against the very policy that ended up being used. It rightly predicted the potential problems of sending our troops to such a volatile part of the world. Unlike Hillary, Kerry, Edwards, and many other current war critics who are all gung-ho to go to Iraq back in 2002, Biden and Hagel were always much more cautious. They knew that there were potential benefits to be drawn from the threat of force, but many problems with actually using it. To me, this enhances their credibility, not diminishes it.
17 posted on 03/30/2007 10:48:33 AM PDT by MinnesotaLibertarian
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To: MinnesotaLibertarian

They admitted we would need to be there for 10 years. Now they are pretending that 4 years is too long.

They admitted there was great potential. Now they are pretending there is no potential.

They admitted there was great heartbreak in Iraq before the war. Now they are pretending Iraq was a lovely little paradise before the war.

They gave advice that we tried to follow. That our allies abandoned or never joined the enterprise is not something Bush can do much about. When he did try to get more allies on board, the Democrats accused him of bribing the allies.

Both Hagel and Biden voted to go to war in Iraq. Now they are pretending the president lied his way into the war, which is hogwash.

As to their advising a two state solution in Israel and Palestine as related to the Iraq war, that entire section of their letter is a bunch of crap by two has-beens who are trying to be relevant in the international scene.

Your post to me is hogwash as well and I wonder about your reading comprehension


18 posted on 03/30/2007 1:25:16 PM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's' pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: Valin

send it to obama.

and the dnc.

and biden since he evidently is so senile he can’t remember anything he said 5 years ago. And Hagel.

And make sure that Fred sees it.


19 posted on 04/14/2007 5:26:30 PM PDT by SusaninOhio
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