I don't think that's possible, especially if the Democrats don't have to spend any dollars defending their own turf.
another possible strategy is Thompson flipping Wisconsin (10 EVs), which Bush only lost by 11,000 votes. Ohio is 20 EVs. So if we swap OH/WI, that’s a net of -10 for Thompson. Bush got 286 EVs in 2004, so that moves Thompson’s # to 276 EVs. NM with Richardson as VP is a sure loss, that’s another -5 EVs. That leaves 271 EVs for Thompson, so everything else must be held.
this is the analytical analysis I try to have on some of these Thompson threads, but the focus always turns to abortion so the discussion fritters away.
Torie, what do you think about the chances in the above states with Thompson, to make the EV number?