Posted on 04/17/2007 7:01:30 AM PDT by areafiftyone
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Senator John McCain both gained support this week in the race for the GOP nomination. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney held steady and remain the only other Republicans earning double digit support.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of the Republican Presidential Primary competition finds Giuliani at 33%, fourteen points ahead of McCain’s 19%. Thompson is still in third at 13% slightly ahead of Romney at 11%. For Giuliani, that’s his highest level of support in three weeks. It’s McCain’s best showing since early March. Last week, it was Giuliani 27% McCain 16% Thompson 14% and Romney 12%.
Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays. The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 824 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted April 9-12, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was consistently in third place before Thompson’s name was thrown into the ring. He is now in fifth place as and is the top choice for just 8% of those likely to vote in a Republican Primary. (More Below)
A separate survey found that 29% of all voters say they would definitely vote for Giuliani if he is on the ballot in November 2008. Thirty-four percent (34%) would definitely vote against him. Those numbers are a bit weaker for Giuliani than they were a month ago, but they are still the best of any Republican Presidential hopeful. For McCain, the numbers are 23% definitely for and 35% definitely against. Those figures have changed little over the past month.
Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) draws the best overall numbers of any candidate at this time—33% definitely for and 33% definitely against.
Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are continuously updated ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.
(((RUDY PING))))
Huh? What area codes?
The Anti-Rudys are on another thread touting a poll that shows him losing ground. That poll must be the accurate one, don’t you think?
GOOD! Let them stay there and have fun.
Ask Rasmussen. This is not a state poll.
lol.
I've got my eyes on Romney; he's going to make a move.
I think so too. I’ve been watching him. And tomorrow when Fred Thompson is in Washington D.C. Romney will be there too with his list of Congresscritters. He’s not letting anything slide.
I’m anti-Rudy, and I expect him to lead in many polls. He’s the least conservative candidate, causing the conservative vote to split. That will probably happen in about half of the primaires, and he’ll win them with 30%-45% of the vote. During the Republican National Convention, a candidate must win the votes of the majority of delegates to receive the nomination. The majority won’t vote for a candidate who is pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, and pro-gun control.
so much for the claims Rudy is in trouble
Fred Thompson has 13% support and he hasn’t even entered the race - This will be good if does enter.
If wishes were fishes......comes to mind.
Fred Thompson has the least “definitely against” of all the republicans, at 29%, and overall the second least “definitely against”, with Bill Richardson winning that fight with 28% against.
Fred Thompson is the 3rd-best on ratio of definitely for/against, at -10, behind Rudy at -5 and Obama at 0.
But for a person with less name recognition, it’s hard to say if either number is all that interesting.
Romney has the 3rd-best “definitely against” number, at 33% (2nd best republican), matching up with Obama’s 33% against numbers, and better than Rudy’s 34% against.
I seriously believe the “definitely against” number is the most useful number to look at in a poll. It is unlikely that a person, once they are DEFINITELY AGAINST someone, will later be for that person. Because there is some REASON to be against, and that reason won’t go away.
It is more likely that a person who is “definetely for” a candidate to switch. A new fact can come to light to change the opinion, or a new candidate can win the hearts of those previously committed.
On the other hand, if you aren’t well-known, your definitely-against numbers could well go up as more people learn about you and find things they dislike.
My point being that “definitely against” is likely the FLOOR for that number for candidates, while the “definitely for” can easily move up and down.
Guiliani! Yes, I recognize that name...
Some of us cannot continue to sit here and indulge in our own personal stupidity in a public place. Rush has said, and I do not believe he says this lightly, that there is an 80% chance of Mrs. Clinton being elected president in ‘08, that Obama is no threat to her and that she is using his presence to enhance herself. And you can bet your butt that the members of the democrat party will vote for whatever is presented to them as a candidate. The sulkers and threatened voting abstainers are a real threat. ANd, please, no more twaddle about third parties. We all know how well that turns out. And if you REALLY want three parties, look north to canada and see it in action. Not good.
Many of the state delegations are made up of establishment liberals. They'll be happy to vote for Rudy.
No, he'll have to be beaten in the primaries.
Rudy is stuck below where he was 4 weeks ago 35%) before Thompson’s name was added. Oddly though, when Thompson first was added, it LOOKED like he took from McCain and Rudy. But since then, McCain and Rudy are both back up, but Thompson is unchanged.
So even if the dip in Rudy and McCain was from Thompson, the support they got back must be from undecideds or the low-level candidates.
I’m hearing that Thompson can’t get support from more people without actually running. People don’t want to support someone if they won’t commit. I guess that makes sense. If anybody is hurt now from Thompson, it’s Gingrich, and that’s in my mind a good thing.
Giuliani would easily get the delegates at the RNC.
Rush was absolutely right yesterday. He sees the writing on wall. For the others who don’t see it- it seems to be written in invisible ink!
Count me in for Fred. 13% and he is not even running yet. Once he declares and begins campaigning, watch his numbers soar. I am tired of holding my nose when I vote. Work to nominate Fred in the primaries, then everyone can decide if voting for him makes them hold their nose.
Fred Thompson is electable AND conservative, a winning combination
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