Posted on 04/17/2007 7:01:30 AM PDT by areafiftyone
(((RUDY PING))))
Huh? What area codes?
The Anti-Rudys are on another thread touting a poll that shows him losing ground. That poll must be the accurate one, don’t you think?
GOOD! Let them stay there and have fun.
Ask Rasmussen. This is not a state poll.
lol.
I've got my eyes on Romney; he's going to make a move.
I think so too. I’ve been watching him. And tomorrow when Fred Thompson is in Washington D.C. Romney will be there too with his list of Congresscritters. He’s not letting anything slide.
I’m anti-Rudy, and I expect him to lead in many polls. He’s the least conservative candidate, causing the conservative vote to split. That will probably happen in about half of the primaires, and he’ll win them with 30%-45% of the vote. During the Republican National Convention, a candidate must win the votes of the majority of delegates to receive the nomination. The majority won’t vote for a candidate who is pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, and pro-gun control.
so much for the claims Rudy is in trouble
Fred Thompson has 13% support and he hasn’t even entered the race - This will be good if does enter.
If wishes were fishes......comes to mind.
Fred Thompson has the least “definitely against” of all the republicans, at 29%, and overall the second least “definitely against”, with Bill Richardson winning that fight with 28% against.
Fred Thompson is the 3rd-best on ratio of definitely for/against, at -10, behind Rudy at -5 and Obama at 0.
But for a person with less name recognition, it’s hard to say if either number is all that interesting.
Romney has the 3rd-best “definitely against” number, at 33% (2nd best republican), matching up with Obama’s 33% against numbers, and better than Rudy’s 34% against.
I seriously believe the “definitely against” number is the most useful number to look at in a poll. It is unlikely that a person, once they are DEFINITELY AGAINST someone, will later be for that person. Because there is some REASON to be against, and that reason won’t go away.
It is more likely that a person who is “definetely for” a candidate to switch. A new fact can come to light to change the opinion, or a new candidate can win the hearts of those previously committed.
On the other hand, if you aren’t well-known, your definitely-against numbers could well go up as more people learn about you and find things they dislike.
My point being that “definitely against” is likely the FLOOR for that number for candidates, while the “definitely for” can easily move up and down.
Guiliani! Yes, I recognize that name...
Some of us cannot continue to sit here and indulge in our own personal stupidity in a public place. Rush has said, and I do not believe he says this lightly, that there is an 80% chance of Mrs. Clinton being elected president in ‘08, that Obama is no threat to her and that she is using his presence to enhance herself. And you can bet your butt that the members of the democrat party will vote for whatever is presented to them as a candidate. The sulkers and threatened voting abstainers are a real threat. ANd, please, no more twaddle about third parties. We all know how well that turns out. And if you REALLY want three parties, look north to canada and see it in action. Not good.
Many of the state delegations are made up of establishment liberals. They'll be happy to vote for Rudy.
No, he'll have to be beaten in the primaries.
Rudy is stuck below where he was 4 weeks ago 35%) before Thompson’s name was added. Oddly though, when Thompson first was added, it LOOKED like he took from McCain and Rudy. But since then, McCain and Rudy are both back up, but Thompson is unchanged.
So even if the dip in Rudy and McCain was from Thompson, the support they got back must be from undecideds or the low-level candidates.
I’m hearing that Thompson can’t get support from more people without actually running. People don’t want to support someone if they won’t commit. I guess that makes sense. If anybody is hurt now from Thompson, it’s Gingrich, and that’s in my mind a good thing.
Giuliani would easily get the delegates at the RNC.
Rush was absolutely right yesterday. He sees the writing on wall. For the others who don’t see it- it seems to be written in invisible ink!
Count me in for Fred. 13% and he is not even running yet. Once he declares and begins campaigning, watch his numbers soar. I am tired of holding my nose when I vote. Work to nominate Fred in the primaries, then everyone can decide if voting for him makes them hold their nose.
Fred Thompson is electable AND conservative, a winning combination
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