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Royal tries to woo centrist vote
Financial Times ^ | April 27 2007 | John Thornhill

Posted on 04/28/2007 1:11:07 AM PDT by Cincinna

Ségolène Royal, the Socialist challenger for the French presidency, will hold a televised debate with François Bayrou on Saturday in a desperate attempt to win over the supporters of the centrist UDF leader, who came third in last Sunday’s first round poll.

BFM TV, an independent media group, promised to broadcast the meeting live this morning after Canal+ pulled out of the debate amid accusations that the television station had been lent on by supporters of Nicolas Sarkozy, the frontrunner from the centre-right UMP party.

Ms Royal denounced the “media-financial system” behind Mr Sarkozy that she claimed had tried to suppress the debate.

“The French people do not want power to be confiscated from them by some media groups tied to financial powers and linked to a candidate,” she said. “This is not acceptable in a democracy and I believe that we must implement necessary reforms to put an end to this concentration [of power].”

Mr Bayrou had earlier accused Mr Sarkozy’s supporters of leaning on Canal+, owned by the Vivendi group. “I do not have any proof but I am certain of it,” he said.

Furiously denying the charge, Mr Sarkozy’s ­supporters accused their opponents of lies and Stalinist tactics. Canal+ said that broadcasting the debate would have fallen foul of strict rules giving Mr Sarkozy and Ms Royal equal media time.

Mr Sarkozy, who has a clear lead in the polls, ridiculed his rival’s decision to debate with Mr Bayrou, who has been eliminated from next Sunday’s run-off.

However, Ms Royal must win over most of Mr Bayrou’s voters if she is to have any chance of victory.

On paper, the electoral arithmetic is heavily against her. The total “left” vote last Sunday came to 13.2m, well short of the 16m recorded by the “right”. Mr Bayrou’s 6.8m swing voters in the middle are therefore crucial to the outcome.

Jérôme Sainte-Marie, a director of the BVA polling organisation, said the political dance between Ms Royal and Mr Bayrou this week had resembled a Marivaux comedy that might have amused people but was unlikely to have changed the dynamics of the race.

He warned that Ms Royal’s attempts to win over centrist voters might only drive away potential supporters on the extreme left.

Some Socialist party members have already cautioned Ms Royal against “hazardous gymnastics” in moving her party towards the centre.

Moreover, objectively, Mr Bayrou would appear to have little interest in helping Ms Royal win the presidency because he might then be marginalised by a resurgent Socialist party.

The UDF leader, who is creating a new party to fight the parliamentary elections in June, would benefit most from a fractured Socialist party – in the wake of a Sarkozy victory – enabling him to emerge as the leader of a social democratic opposition.

Jean-Louis Bourlanges, a UDF politician, said Mr Bayrou was intent on shattering the “false union” in the Socialist party between “Marxist palaeo­socialists” and “social democrats.”

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2007


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: bayrou; france; frenchelection; sarkozy
Bayrou is out to fracture the Socialist Party. He can then form his "centrist" Social Democrat Partyt from the ashes, leaving the traditional Socialists and their commie, Trotskyist, Green, and other far left kooks in his wake.

New polls out today will show no change with Sarko beating Royal 53-47>

1 posted on 04/28/2007 1:11:09 AM PDT by Cincinna
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To: Cincinna
Royal tries to woo centrist vote

Royal needs to hire that Democrat consultant, George Lakoff (rhymes with....) to teach her how to lie better.

2 posted on 04/28/2007 1:14:37 AM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: Cincinna; nctexan; MassachusettsGOP; paudio; ronnie raygun; Minette; WOSG; fieldmarshaldj; ...

J-8 FRENCH ELECTION UPDATE

This is an excellent analysis from the Right-leaning British newspaper, The Financial Times

3 posted on 04/28/2007 1:42:08 AM PDT by Cincinna (HILLARY & HER HINO "We are going to take things away from you for the Common Good")
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Oddly, and happily, whoever wins will be an marked improvement.


4 posted on 04/28/2007 2:48:05 AM PDT by D-fendr
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To: Cincinna; Berosus; Cincinatus' Wife; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; ...
Thanks Cincinna.
"I do not have any proof but I am certain of it,"
...a statement used by many a global warming demagogue, as well as many an opponent of the War on Terror.
5 posted on 04/28/2007 6:51:01 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (I last updated my profile on Saturday, April 28, 2007. https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Cincinna

I’m still wondering if there’s any American ‘Rat involvement in this election. Any aid and/or money from them going to Royal.


6 posted on 04/28/2007 6:53:18 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: Cincinna

Why would anyone put a loser like Bayrou on the air at all? He placed third. A debate with him is irrelevant.


7 posted on 04/28/2007 6:55:15 AM PDT by montag813
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To: Lancey Howard; All

http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2007/04/21/french_rudy/

An interesting article on this. A little dated but still insightful.


8 posted on 04/28/2007 6:58:52 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinna

Yes, clearly Bayrou is out for himself, preparing for the next elections.

Royal is flailing around desperately, making a fool of herself. “Some Socialist party members have already cautioned Ms Royal against ‘hazardous gymnastics’ in moving her party towards the centre.”

My French is rusty, but I like the picture of “Les gymnastiques hazardeux d’une gauche caviare.”


9 posted on 04/28/2007 7:09:36 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: D-fendr

Royal would be much worse than Chirac.


10 posted on 04/28/2007 7:58:44 AM PDT by You Dirty Rats (I Love Free Republic!)
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To: Cincinna

I’m curious about that equal time rule. Does this now mean that Sarko gets an hour (or whatever length of time Royal was on with Bayrou) of free air time?

This might turn out to be an advantage.


11 posted on 04/28/2007 8:02:36 AM PDT by Philistone (Your existence as a non-believer offends the Prophet(MPBUH).)
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To: Philistone

Equal time rules are only for giving socialists more access to the media.


12 posted on 04/28/2007 8:07:56 AM PDT by dfwgator (The University of Florida - Still Championship U)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Thanks for the heads up on this article.

Of course, one has to take into account that this is Salon.com. Anti-Sarko, anti-Rudy, anti- conservative, anti GOP.

For France in decline, Sarko is just what the doctor ordered. Will the French fill the prescription and swallow the truth? Stay tuned.


13 posted on 04/28/2007 11:30:34 AM PDT by Cincinna (HILLARY & HER HINO "We are going to take things away from you for the Common Good")
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To: Cincinna

Will do.


14 posted on 04/28/2007 1:12:23 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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