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Robert Novak: Will Newt Run? (Gingrich Waiting to See How Fred Thompson Does)
Human Events Magazine ^ | 6/30/07

Posted on 06/30/2007 1:08:23 PM PDT by hardback

Newt Gingrich is telling Republican insiders that his decision in September whether to run for president in 2008 depends on the progress of Fred Thompson's imminent candidacy.

If Thompson runs a vigorous and effective campaign, Gingrich says privately, he probably will not get in the race himself. If Thompson proves a dud, however, the former House speaker will seriously consider making a run. That implies that the others in the field look to Gingrich like losers in the general election.

A footnote: Gingrich has weighed in more heavily on the immigration issue than any of the major Republican presidential hopefuls. He has bombarded Republican Senate offices with material attacking the immigration bill backed by President Bush, even sending proposed talking points to senators about to meet with the president.

TAXES AND THOMPSON

Dropping into what will be the key state of South Carolina for his prospective presidential campaign, Fred Thompson was ambushed Wednesday by advocates of the "Fair Tax" plan to repeal the federal income tax and replace it with a national sales tax.

The former senator addressed a Republican state fund-raising luncheon in the state capital of Columbia. He appeared surprised to see more people wearing "Fair Tax" stickers than "Thompson for President" badges. He did not seem prepared to answer questions about the sweeping tax reform.

South Carolina on Feb. 2 will be the second Republican presidential primary after New Hampshire (on Jan. 22), and polls show that its GOP voters are inclined to fellow Southerner Thompson. He would need a win there after a possible win in New Hampshire by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

HILLARY MOVING RIGHT?

Sen. Hillary Clinton recently conferred with conservative health care analyst Regina Herzlinger, who advocates universal health insurance provided by the private sector and who has sharply criticized the 1994 "Hillarycare" as Mrs. Clinton's "bid for a centrally controlled system."

Herzlinger, a Harvard Business School professor, was one of several health care experts heard by Clinton during a two-hour "listening" conference call. "I was thrilled that she was sympathetic and interested in what I said," Herzlinger told me.

Although Clinton currently is sponsoring a massive expansion of SCHIP (State Children's Health Insurance Program), several conservatives speculate that she as president might take the same path to the right on health care that President Clinton did on public welfare.

PATRICK'S BILLIONAIRE

Billionaire financier Stephen Schwarzman was listed as one of the hosts of a 40th birthday party for Democratic Rep. Patrick J. Kennedy of Rhode Island Thursday night at the New York Yacht Club in Manhattan. An individual ticket cost $1,000, with $5,000 required to be a VIP.

Schwarzman, co-founder and CEO of the Blackstone Group, made newspaper front pages when it was reported he would earn $7.5 billion from the public offering of his private-equity firm. Other big money Democrats listed on the invitation included David Boies, Norman Hsu, Felix Rohatyn, Bernard Schwartz, Todd Slotkin and Kenneth I. Starr. The principal host was the congressman's father, Sen. Edward M. Kennedy.

The location of the party could be found only by phoning a Washington telephone number to R.S.V.P.

PARTY SWITCHER

John N. Kennedy, Louisiana's conservative Democratic state treasurer, is expected to change parties and run against Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu as a Republican at the urging of White House aide Karl Rove, despite harassment from the Democratic-controlled state legislature.

Kennedy long has considered changing parties, but wanted to wait until the current state legislative session ended. His switch was discussed on Mother's Day in a private lunch attended by Kennedy, Rove and David Vitter, Louisiana's Republican senator. When Vitter leaked Kennedy's intentions, the legislature began machinations to obstruct operations of the state treasurer's office.

A strong fiscal conservative, Kennedy is fighting maneuvers intended to chew up a state budget surplus, as a Republican, Rep. Bobby Jindal, is expected to be elected governor of Louisiana this year


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Illinois
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; elections; fredthompson; gingrich; newt; newt2008; novak
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To: The Pack Knight
I hate to say it, but if the “UnFair Tax Crazy Train” hitches itself to Fred’s campaign - they could destroy it.
21 posted on 06/30/2007 2:08:12 PM PDT by xcamel ("It's Thompson Time!")
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To: Beelzebubba

Um he was a Senator that puts him in the group.


22 posted on 06/30/2007 2:08:34 PM PDT by Racer1
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To: Racer1
“Um he was a Senator that puts him in the group”

So would a Congressman be better? Or do you prefer a liberal Governor or Mare?

23 posted on 06/30/2007 2:15:24 PM PDT by Beagle8U (FreeRepublic -- One stop shopping ....... Its the Conservative Super Walmart for news .)
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To: The Pack Knight

I like Fred but I will vote for Newt if he runs.

Just hangin’ and waitin’.........


24 posted on 06/30/2007 2:15:55 PM PDT by cowdog77 (" Are there any brave men left in Washington, or are they all cowards?")
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To: hardback

Newt better get his ass in gear if he’s going to run. Thompson has waited about a slong as he can. Any more delay and your campign has a better chance of losing.

I’d like to see Newt team up with Fred and help the election, then become chief of staff to President Thompson.


25 posted on 06/30/2007 2:18:36 PM PDT by WildWeasel
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To: hardback
Newt/Thompson or Thompson/Newt can galvanized the repubicans.. However Hitlery will still win.. It's her turn...

American women(and many men) have been generally brain washed.. Universal Health Care will be bought like a Yugo with a Candy Apple paint job.. in 2008..

26 posted on 06/30/2007 2:20:51 PM PDT by hosepipe (CAUTION: This propaganda is laced with hyperbole....)
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To: stm
"Unfortunately Newt is a non starter. His past reputation, deserved or not, would prevent him from ever being a contender. The libs would have a field day with him."

For president, possibly. But as VP he'd be great. A Thompson-Gingrich ticket could be a winner.

27 posted on 06/30/2007 2:24:55 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel-NRA)
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To: jageorge72
I heard a lot of “umm... uhh....umm... well... uhhhh”

That didn't stop Ted Kennedy from getting eight terms in the Senate.

28 posted on 06/30/2007 2:25:33 PM PDT by jdm
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To: Beelzebubba
Novak was wrong about Fred's California speech. Why am I not suprised that he got the Fair Tax facts wrong also?



Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Quick Reference

Fred Thompson FAQ: THE Fred Thompson Web Resource
29 posted on 06/30/2007 2:28:47 PM PDT by Josh Painter (Fred STRONGLY supports the "absolute right to gun ownership" - VoteMatch)
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To: hardback
Will Newt Run?

Will mold grow on the cheese in my fridge? I care more about that than I do about Newt Gingrich.

30 posted on 06/30/2007 2:34:10 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Beagle8U

Most of the congressmen voted on a bill that should have been passed last year. They seem to be a little closer to where the people are in real life. I would prefer someone not even in politics or big business.


31 posted on 06/30/2007 2:42:08 PM PDT by Racer1
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To: hardback
He has bombarded Republican Senate offices with material attacking the immigration bill backed by President Bush, even sending proposed talking points to senators about to meet with the president.

Interesting fact I didn't know.

I still don't like his attention to Hillarycare earlier and think his character is sufficiently weak that if in a prolonged spotlight he could find himself in trouble just like he did before. Maybe not the same trouble, but trouble nonetheless.

I do think he's inventive and not bad as an idea point man for conservatives, but have doubts about him as President let alone his chances of winning.

I suspected the reason he didn't announce is because of Thompson.

I do think if Thompson self destructed Newt would probably have a strong chance of getting the nomination. While I may be less then warm toward him, I know the movement would flock to him.

Loser in all of this? Romney. His hope is that Thompson flames out so conservatives have no alternative but him. Newt is all but announcing he'll make himself the alternative in that event.

John N. Kennedy, Louisiana's conservative Democratic state treasurer, is expected to change parties and run against Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu as a Republican at the urging of White House aide Karl Rove, despite harassment from the Democratic-controlled state legislature. Kennedy long has considered changing parties, but wanted to wait until the current state legislative session ended. His switch was discussed on Mother's Day in a private lunch attended by Kennedy, Rove and David Vitter, Louisiana's Republican senator.

Did Rove make him swear an amnesty oath? Hopefully Vitter hols more weight with him then Rove does. I'm wary of a Democrat turned republican. Trent is the poster child for why that's not always a good thing. Is he really a conservative, or a Rovian "compassionate conservative"? If the latter I'd rather Mary keep the seat. At least she turned down amnesty.

32 posted on 06/30/2007 2:46:55 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (MR. BUSH: GET OUT OF REAGAN'S HOUSE!!)
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To: stm

Newt is waiting to be somebody’s chief of staff.


33 posted on 06/30/2007 2:49:07 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (We stand on the bridge and no one may pass. We go into the dark places....)
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To: jdm
Fred's latest appearance on Hannity's radio program was unsettling at best. I plan to actively support him if he gets in the race, but was greatly disappointed at his hestitancy, stammering and lack of preparedness on friendly turf.

Also heard of a report that Thompson staffers set up a meeting for him with conservatives in Congress last week, and they were not impressed. Not a good sign.

34 posted on 06/30/2007 3:02:32 PM PDT by Use It Or Lose It (Jon Bruning for U.S. Senate! It's time to CHUCK Hagel.)
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To: Soul Seeker

“I suspected the reason he didn’t announce is because of Thompson.”

Newt has been very clear from the very beginning about his intentions, and when he will make a decision. The problem is half the people on FR don’t even listen to what he says. He’s been very clear about this..... he is spending the year building a non-partisan grassroots movement (American Solutions) to solve the country’s problems, and offering those solutions to candidates from BOTH parties. If there is not a candidate he feels will implement the bold changes needed, he will consider running.

Anyone NOT watching what Newt has been doing should start paying attention.


35 posted on 06/30/2007 3:02:34 PM PDT by jageorge72
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To: Wonder Warthog

No argument from me there!


36 posted on 06/30/2007 3:18:31 PM PDT by stm (Fred Thompson in 08! Return our country to the era of Reagan Conservatism)
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To: jageorge72

Whatever you think about his policies, I think Gingrich would be a disaster for the Republican party because his personal character leaves so much to be desired. Which is a shame, because he’s obviously a brilliant man with a lot to offer.

Even if you don’t care about his personal life, you have to realize the Democrats are going to have an absolute field day excoriating anyone who advocates “family values” while falling so short of the mark himself.

Thompson is an infinitely better choices to provide the moral leadership many Republicans are looking for.


37 posted on 06/30/2007 3:24:52 PM PDT by honeybadger
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Comment #38 Removed by Moderator

To: jageorge72
Ah, yes, I haven't been paying attention. And Newt is a selfless Patriot only willing to offer himself as a sacrifice should conservatives need a savior. LOL Everyone and their mother knows what Newt has been up to the past few years. He partnered with Hillary on Hillarycare to attempt to gain some respect from the MSM so that he could attempt to remove from memory what led to his departure from Washington. Since then he's been flirting between Leftists (Global warming) and conservatives (everytime Republicans sneeze left he's found a way to get his opinion heard on some MSM outlet). I don't mind the latter, though its opportunistic, and dislike the former. Newt surveyed the likely field a long time ago and figured with weak conservative choices (Allen, Frist, Romney) and alternatives like Rudy and McCain that there would be a conservative void and that he could fill it. He wasn't wrong in that analysis that a conservative void would exist. I don't think he ever has intended to run a long campaign, more of a short sprint. With his glaring negatives the less time in campaign mode the better. His only problem is that otherz saw the same space, searched out an alternative, found Thompson to fill the void and he has, "unofficially", swooped in ahead of him. This is why a man that had been visiting states like N.H. and Iowa quite frequently creating a lot of buzz suddenly put out through the grapevine he was unlikely to run a couple of weeks ago. Those stories about his intent didn't pop up accidentally. So, you see, I DO follow Newt. You may not agree with my analysis of him, but I HAVE been watching. I watched him, I watched Thompson, and I am watching Gore. All three with fairly obvious intentions making their decisions based on what they perceive viabilty to be. Infact, I wouldn't be at all surprised if the reason thompson is "testing the waters" isn't only to allow past contracts to run their course, but that waiting a few months longer newt would have jumped in. So he beat him by inches.

Now Newt's only shot is if Thompson isn't as billed, or self destructs. In that instance, while I personally do not and probably will never like Newt, the majority of the movement does based on the Contract with America and the fact he'd at least give conservatives a seat at the table unlike this President who isolates them, and would corronate him their nominee swiftly to prevent a Rudy nomination.

39 posted on 06/30/2007 3:41:25 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (MR. BUSH: GET OUT OF REAGAN'S HOUSE!!)
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To: Soul Seeker

I do not want Newt, one bimbo eruption in the white house recently is enough..if newt would of had his tools clean, he could of pushed for the impeachment with more gusto, but alas he was very quite...


40 posted on 06/30/2007 3:44:37 PM PDT by JoanneSD (Illegals represented without taxation.. Citizens taxed without representation)
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