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Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]
NOAA/NWS ^ | August 16 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

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Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; tropical; tsdean
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To: Rte66

freepmail a’waiting for ya


761 posted on 08/18/2007 9:43:29 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (PUT AMERICA AHEAD! VOTE FOR FRED!!)
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To: txflake

Good morning gal. We are getting any and all trucks ready for flood duty today.


762 posted on 08/18/2007 9:45:23 AM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (The measure of a country is not how many people are wanting to come in, but how many want to leave.)
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To: prairiebreeze

Wow that’s alot of rain. Thanks for the heads up on Bandara, I’ll pass that info along to my friend.


763 posted on 08/18/2007 9:45:37 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: Rte66

Houston should be ok, if you are at higher elavations, just STAY AWAY FROM DOWN TOWN (tall glass buildings)! Falling glass was a real problem during Alica and Alica was a baby huricane.


764 posted on 08/18/2007 9:46:55 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: jpsb

Yes, Alicia was a baby cane but she stalled for over 12 hours, thats why she did so much damage.


765 posted on 08/18/2007 9:49:36 AM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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To: prairiebreeze

Oh, my - the Guadalupe is a killer. I can remember seeing big old concrete picnic benches from the park in New Braunfels up in the tops of very tall trees, weeks after a particularly bad flood.

But traveling River Road is one of the great pleasures of life. And it doesn’t get any better than a meandering Saturday or Sunday afternoon from about Dripping Springs to Blanco to Devils Backbone to Wimberley to Luckenbach to Fredericksburg to Kerrville and all points in between, with no particular place to be or time to be there.

That’s heaven!


766 posted on 08/18/2007 9:52:14 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: Rte66

Oh man I miss Texas.


767 posted on 08/18/2007 9:54:01 AM PDT by I got the rope
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To: jpsb

Yeah, I didn’t live here then. In fact, I am the anti-hurricane “charm.” *more famous last words* I’ve lived here off and on most of my life and have missed the hurricanes.

However, I did get the pants scared off of me in Allison and Rita.


768 posted on 08/18/2007 9:54:52 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: eastforker

Also a direct eye wall hit on Houston/Galveston too I think. I was in Seabrook for Alicia, Seabrook was a mess.


769 posted on 08/18/2007 9:55:04 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Rte66
"I am the anti-hurricane “charm.” .

Good, stay here. LOL.

770 posted on 08/18/2007 9:57:42 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: jpsb

I’m watching the space walk on NASA TV, and they showed the astronauts’ view of the hurricane. Pretty spectacular!


771 posted on 08/18/2007 10:03:14 AM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: jpsb

If anyone needs gas cans in Houston you better go get em now, the first 2 stores I stopped at today(walmart and Lowes) were already sold out. Then I thought of a brand new walmart that just opened, one that people are not used to going to and got their last 6. While at Lowes it looked like plywood sales were at a brisk pace.


772 posted on 08/18/2007 10:04:58 AM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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To: jpsb

Looks like the U.S. is going to make it out of this one just fine.

I normally would wait to be so confident, but this storm is tracking great...

It should be one the NHC nails spot-on, and it is a Mexico storm, though S. Texas could have bad flooding.


773 posted on 08/18/2007 10:08:24 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Dick Cheney should have gone hunting with Hillary." -- Yakov Smirnoff)
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To: jpsb

Yeah, I lived in OK at that time, but my parents lived here and had a little roof damage - but my dad sent pix of the broken skyscraper windows downtown. *a real hurricane*

But did I ever send any tornado pix to him? Nooooo.

The scariest thing to me was in Allison when all the bayous were full and the rivers were running upstream. I had 36” of rain at my house in that 4-day period, about 14” of it that last morning, starting about 4:30AM, after we thought it was all gone. *wrong!*

I’ve also seen the bayou (Brays) over-top, in Oct ‘93. I’m a block from that in both directions, so that would be the only worry - and it’s the best controlled bayou in the city, so not worried at all.

Oops, hearing raindrops on front window now as I type.


774 posted on 08/18/2007 10:09:27 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: Rte66

I believe that was october of ‘94, the big flood.


775 posted on 08/18/2007 10:11:45 AM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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To: eastforker

That ONE model seems bound and determined top get US!........(and from the discussion at the NHC, IT is a most reliable model!)...........

776 posted on 08/18/2007 10:13:58 AM PDT by Red Badger (ALL that CARBON in ALL that oil & coal was once in the atmospere. We're just putting it back!)
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To: Abigail Adams

They are just getting ready to replay that video of the direct overflight of Hurrican Dean.


777 posted on 08/18/2007 10:15:35 AM PDT by Laverne
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To: sweet_diane
...and the trees that fell, fell away.

I used to have a lovely shaded back yard, cool and breezy in the evenings. Ivan took all my trees and now I have a hot sweltering yard dying from lack of water, even though we run the lawn pump.................

778 posted on 08/18/2007 10:18:38 AM PDT by Red Badger (ALL that CARBON in ALL that oil & coal was once in the atmospere. We're just putting it back!)
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To: eastforker

That’s right. I didn’t move into that house until Aug ‘94, so it had to be ‘94. I was “in it” then flew out over it, going to Santa Fe, so saw it from both views.


779 posted on 08/18/2007 10:18:57 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: Red Badger

I got a lot of funny looks from people when filling all my gas cans this morning.When Rita was getting close 2 years ago gas stations sold out and there was none to buy, no matter how much money you had.Both cars full, also the boat plus 55 in cans, no one and I mean no one, not even the NHC can be for sure where this one is going, all they have is an educated guess.


780 posted on 08/18/2007 10:23:18 AM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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