Posted on 01/28/2008 1:00:38 PM PST by GOPGuide
Remember alot of these polls were BEFORE the gov backed Mccain.. they said its worth atleast a point or two in the polls, its WAY WAY WAY too close. Besides, polls have been so off lately - I don’t know what to believe.
They also dont take into account early voting.
600,000 Republicans in Florida have already voted.
How could ANYBODY vote against that amendment? Even the democrats. It blows my mind.
Some or most polls include “already voted” people in their sample.
Even if you polled illegal aliens only, I'll bet 90% of them would agree.
Something I have not heard mentioned . . . we know there is early voting and we know the pollsters are asking about people who have already voted — and when they voted.
It would be a good test of sampling methodology to examine if there is a change in result for night to night measures of the numbers for who already voted prior to some particular date.
That parameter should be constant within MOE. If it is varying then there are methodology problems.
I read somewhere around here that Romney has a lead in the early voting.
There are few issues he ever had in common with them. For the couple he did, he simply says that he was wrong, and has figured it out, and he wishes his opponents could also come to their senses.
VISTA 500 POLL...
Romney gonna take it!
Vista 500
Mike Cover
Ex-Foist Freeper Illinois “Prez”
Now sitting by the dock in Sebastian, Fl.
....watching the returns...
Love yuz all!!!
Maybe not. Polls have been notoriously UNRELIABLE this year. One big reason is that more people than ever (including me) have NO home phone since we use only cell phones. Therefore pollsters can't call us.
According to the Rasmussen poll, 79% of McCain voters have already voted. The number for Romney is identical. So early voting may be a tie.
It will depend on the 11% who are undecided or if any supporters of Huckabee or Rudy jump ship and support either McCain or Romney.
It’s going to be a long night.
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