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What Romney Has To Do At Tonight's Debate
Captain's Quarters ^ | Jan. 30, 2008 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 01/30/2008 10:02:49 AM PST by jdm

In the wake of the loss in Florida yesterday, Mitt Romney needs to focus on tonight's debate to break out as the conservative choice for the nomination. John McCain has taken leads in significant Super Tuesday states, and tonight will be the last national audience for all of the remaining candidates before 21 states go to the polls or the caucuses. Romney has to ignite conservatives and make this a binary race across a clear ideological line.

Some feel that the moment has already passed. Writers at The Corner and Dick Morris have resigned themselves to a Romney loss before more than 10% of the necessary delegates have been won. Others, like my friend and indefatigable Romney supporter Hugh Hewitt, argue that the numbers show that no one can win next week. The truth lies in between, as Hugh has the numbers correct but avoids acknowledging the role momentum plays.

Romney has one big advantage, but it will only be an advantage this week. He has better organizational strength and more resources. He can be more places at the same time as John McCain, which makes a difference when 21 states hold their contests on the same day. He can get his message across to more people simultaneously after this debate, and do it more often. After February 5th, that becomes far less necessary as we go back to a series of one- or two-state primary dates that stretches into April, when Pennsylvania goes to the polls.

If Romney wants to build momentum and define the race in binary conservative vs moderate terms, he has to start tonight and get aggressively positive about his credentials. He has only a few days in which he can crowd McCain out of the messaging. If he can't do that tonight and for the next five days, he will have little chance of prevailing, especially if McCain takes a big delegate lead next week.

What does McCain need to do? He needs to reach out to conservatives. He started last night with a gracious victory speech, but he needs to address the real and honest concerns on policy that conservatives still have with McCain. They need to see McCain promise to go after the Democrats with the same fervor that he went after Republicans over the years, and he has to convince them that he won't go back on his word on border security and tax cuts. After this debate, he has to make a significant outreach effort, and CPAC would be the best place to do this.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: 2008election; ca2008; cnn; election2008; gopdebates; mccain; reaganlibrary; romney
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To: Sola Veritas
...The fact that I’m ready to point out Romney’s psuedo-Christian beliefs is not bigotry...it is truth.

And a good number of people actually believed that blacks were three-fifths as valuable as whites. Does that make that true, too? Bigotry is bigotry, no matter how much the bigot believes themselves to be right.

101 posted on 01/30/2008 11:00:44 AM PST by Jokelahoma (Animal testing is a bad idea. They get all nervous and give wrong answers.)
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To: DannyTN
The alternative to any Republican candidate is so much worse than Romney! I have no idea why you would choose to put the country in jeopardy by putting it in the hands of liberals! Voter pressure is how we influence a president after he is in office, remember the immigration issue? Socialist, world government is NOT the answer, and the only way Obama or Hillary will go.
102 posted on 01/30/2008 11:01:16 AM PST by Apple Blossom (...around here, city hall is something of a between meals snack.)
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To: jdm

Mitt Romney also still has the second most number of total delegates, and Mitt still has lots of his own money to spend. Like it or not, this isn’t over yet for Mitt. I would truly prefer it if Mitt decided to drop out and then give all of his delegates and all of his money to Duncan Hunter, but reality prevents that from happening.


103 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:15 AM PST by johnthebaptistmoore
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To: mainerforglobalwarming

Same back to you.


104 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:16 AM PST by G.Mason (And what is intelligence if not the craft of out-thinking our adversaries?)
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To: Sola Veritas

>Also, Huckabee doesn’t carry Romney’s (deserved) mormon stigma.

Clear example of religious bigotry.


105 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:32 AM PST by tortdog
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To: tcrlaf

Better face the heartbreaking truth.... a Republican, no matter who he is, and no matter who he runs against, will never win in November.


106 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:39 AM PST by EnquiringMind
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To: jdm

Unfortunately, for some reason, Romney doesn’t seem to have too many friends in the GOP. He isn’t well liked. I don’t get why, but he isn’t. And no, I don’t think it’s because he’s such a hard core conservative, since he isn’t. It must be a personality thing.


107 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:54 AM PST by Cinnamon Girl (OMGIIHIHOIIC ping list)
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To: DannyTN
God I hate you HuckaHillBillies.

This whole mess is all your fault!

Idiots!
108 posted on 01/30/2008 11:02:57 AM PST by teledude
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To: Diogenesis
You're wrong. McCain = Hillary.

"McCain vs. McCain"

"Tom DeLay: John McCain Has Done the Most to Hurt the GOP "

"No to McCain-Kennedy, Yes to Border Security - Newt Gingrich "


To all, Please stop McCain.
We all knew Rush would be great today. RUSH: Stop caring who the media likes. Screw them!

109 posted on 01/30/2008 11:03:07 AM PST by Yosemitest (It's simple, fight or die.)
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To: Greg F

>and I think it will hit Romney as hard and as ugly as an amnesty attack will hit McCain.

Like it or not, this argument killed Romney in Florida.


110 posted on 01/30/2008 11:03:13 AM PST by tortdog
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To: DannyTN
I wonder which is worse, Romneycare or Hillarycare?

What is worse is Dannycare political analysis on FR.
111 posted on 01/30/2008 11:04:07 AM PST by gipper81
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To: HoustonTech

Exactly. Romney is the most full-spectrum conservative. Being pro-life alone is not enough. Democrat Sen. Harry Reid is pro-life too, and he is no conservative.


112 posted on 01/30/2008 11:04:19 AM PST by redgirlinabluestate (www.MittReport.com)
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To: Apple Blossom

Don’t forget we get Bill to boot. A few more years of defiling the White House, and selling out our country at every turn is soooo much better than a Mormon./s


113 posted on 01/30/2008 11:05:02 AM PST by keepitreal
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To: jdm
"The secret of acting is sincerity. If you can fake that, you've got it made." -- George Burns

Romney has a phony problem. For all his appealing qualities and accomplishments there is a palpable undercurrent of insincerity. He must be authentic, or at least seem to be authentic if he's going to convince primary voters to turn from the known quantity that is the seriously flawed McCain. Hard to see how Romney suddenly becomes that which he has never seemed to be.

For better or worse, the reality is that McCain is largely perceived to be authentic. Many may not like him, but they at least feel they know McCain. In a field of demonstrably flawed candidates, authenticity becomes more important than ideology. Unless McCain stumbles badly and soon, the stark reality of McCain as the nominee lies ahead.

114 posted on 01/30/2008 11:05:42 AM PST by AHerald ("Be faithful to God ... do not bother about the ridicule of the foolish." - St. Pio of Pietrelcina)
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To: Diogenesis

That argument is so flawed. Romney has a 14 to 21-point spared over any other opponent in the GOP in the current polls in Massachusetts. Pointing out that most voters in Massachusetts will vote for the Democrat nominee can hardly be called evidence of insight.


115 posted on 01/30/2008 11:05:55 AM PST by tortdog
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To: Diogenesis

The majority of Republicans in Massachusetts are liberals/moderates. I know — I used to live there. Romney’s not a liberal William Weld Republican; so it stands to reason he’s unpopular with them.


116 posted on 01/30/2008 11:06:06 AM PST by tabsternager
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To: dandiegirl
We Know what we are getting with McCain.

Apparently yoiu don't know what you are getting with Romney. IMO Romney's negatives are higher than McCain's. It is amazing to me how suddenly Romney has become a conservative on this board. At least you ought to be honest with yourself and admit that whoever you vote for in November, if you vote, it will be for a liberal.

117 posted on 01/30/2008 11:06:19 AM PST by HoustonTech
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To: Son House
see Romney as the only one left that could win debates and articulate a fiscally conservative agenda.

Any of the remaining Republicans could articulate a fiscally and socially conservative agenda, but why would you trust Romney's conservative converstion any more than another's?

118 posted on 01/30/2008 11:08:13 AM PST by HoustonTech
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To: mainerforglobalwarming
All he has to do is remind voters about McCain-Kennedy, McCain-Feigngold, and that McCain voted against the tax cuts twice.

Yes, but don't ya know touting one's record is seen as "negative campaining" and a no-no? (rolleyes)

Romney's DONE all this but the sheeple don't CARE. When one's made up one's mind to vote for someone with emotion, you can't reason with that.

You also gotta realise only a small percentage of people are actually political junkies who visit sites like this and know the truth. Most people just believe what they see on the MSM and we all know the MSM are rooting for McCain!

119 posted on 01/30/2008 11:08:27 AM PST by Caravaggio
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To: AHerald

It’s easier to just look at the exit polls on why the chose McCain over Romney:

* Hispanics favored McCain on immigration
* Retired people liked McCain’s economic position better
* People thought McCain was stronger on national defense

It’s that simple. Romney can’t win on defense. But he should win on the economy and he CAN win on immigration if he sells his message and convinces Hispanics that he doesn’t hate them.


120 posted on 01/30/2008 11:08:52 AM PST by tortdog
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