I wouldn’t put much stock in early head to head polls vis a vis McCain and Hillary. The media hasn’t sunk their claws into him yet.
I agree that the Senate races for the GOP are going to be a fiasco this year. We will be lucky if we only lose 5 net seats, but I don’t see how we can lose 25 seats in the House. The Rats hold many seats that went for Bush in 2004, we are bound to pick some of those up.
We did after all manage to pick up seats in 1992, which was not the best year for the Republicans.
I am expecting the onslaught. But the polling data is still a good indicator. I was always amazed how unusually high he polled in a general election state by state, even as he was almost off the radar screen in the primaries.
"I agree that the Senate races for the GOP are going to be a fiasco this year. We will be lucky if we only lose 5 net seats, but I don’t see how we can lose 25 seats in the House. The Rats hold many seats that went for Bush in 2004, we are bound to pick some of those up."
Key word is we should pick up some of those seats, but we may not this year. The party is nearly bankrupt and can't even adequately fund a lot of the contests. As it stands, we may lose AK-At Large; AZ-1; CA-4; CO-4; CT-4; DE-At Large; IL-10; IL-11; KY-2; LA-4; LA-6; MI-9; MN-3; MS-1; MO-6; MO-9; NV-3; NJ-3; NJ-7; NM-1; NM-2; NY-25; NY-29; OH-1; OH-2; OH-14; OH-15; OH-16; PA-5; PA-6; VA-11; WA-8; WV-2. So that's 33 vulnerable seats, and dependent upon the additional retirements, that could rise. Regarding 1992, that was a different situation, because with the requirement for many states to draw Black districts, it gave us added GOP seats at the expense of White Democrats. Even in places like MA, the Dems dropped from 11-0 going into that election to 8-2 afterwards. No doubt a lot of the Perot voters voted GOP downballot.