[MNJohnnie]

CNN says

Right now McCain has 680 Delegates.

Romney has 270

Huckabee has 176.

There are 1254 left to be awarded.

Couldn’t be the McCciniancs here are fudging their numbers could it? Seems odd how they gave more to McCain and significantly under counted Romney delegates

[Perdogg]

It looks like McCain needs about 40% of the remaining delegates to win.

It appears that Romney is just about mathematically eliminated.

[pillut48]

Go further up the forum list, and you’ll see that the MSM is already ringing Romney’s political death knoll—PULEEZE. This ain’t over til the fat lady sings, and I’m keeping my mouth shut, LOL! :-)

[uvular]

Has any reporter asked McCain, Hillary and Obama if they win their party’s nomination, will they step down from the Senate?

[NavyCanDo]

Looks like its Plan C

Plan A) Go to Feb 9th Caucus vote for Fred Thompson

Plan B) Go to Feb 9th Caucus vote for Mitt Romney

Plan C) Go Skiing

[patch789]

Bishop Willard should throw in the towel.
.....................

How many Willard-friendly states are
soon coming up on the primary calender?

Washington?
any others?

[snippy_about_it]

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/R-PU.phtml

[deport]

Delegate numbers are all over the place depending upon which source you use. I like The Green Papers as at least they allow you to look at their numbers on a state by state basis.....

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/R-PU.phtml

---

 

		Republican Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary Alphabetically by State   2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus Pledged/Unpledged delegates: 1,804 pledged, 576 unpledged. Need to nominate: 1,191.
Rank	(sort) State	Romney, M (170)		Huckabee, M (148)		McCain, J (610)		(available) (1,429)		Hunter, D (1)		Paul, R (11)		Thompson, F (11)		Allocation
		(sort) Pl (113)	(sort) Unpl (57)	(sort) Pl (125)	(sort) Unpl (23)	(sort) Pl (597)	(sort) Unpl (13)	(sort) Pl (969)	(sort) Unpl (460)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (1)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (11)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (11)	(sort) Pl	(sort) Unpl	(sort) Total
1	Alabama			20		16		9	3							45	3	48
2	Alaska		12		6			0	11								29	29
3	American Samoa							6	3							6	3	9
4	Arizona					50			3							50	3	53
5	Arkansas	1		26		1		6	0							34		34
6	California	3				146		21	3							170	3	173
7	Colorado							0	46								46	46
8	Connecticut					27			3							27	3	30
9	Delaware					18			0							18		18
10	District of Columbia							16	3							16	3	19
11	Florida					57										57		57
12	Georgia			33				39	0							72		72
13	Guam							6	3							6	3	9
14	Hawaii							20	0							20		20
15	Idaho							26	6							26	6	32
16	Illinois							57	13							57	13	70
17	Indiana							27	30							27	30	57
18	Iowa		10		13		5		3				4		5		40	40
19	Kansas							36	3							36	3	39
20	Kentucky							45	0							45		45
21	Louisiana							20	27							20	27	47
22	Maine		10		1		4	0	3				3				21	21
23	Maryland							34	3							34	3	37
24	Massachusetts	21				17		2	3							40	3	43
25	Michigan	20		3		7			0							30		30
26	Minnesota							0	41								41	41
27	Mississippi							36	3							36	3	39
28	Missouri					58			0							58		58
29	Montana	25							0							25		25
30	Nebraska							30	3							30	3	33
31	Nevada		17		3		4		3				4		3		34	34
32	New Hampshire	4		1		7			0							12		12
33	New Jersey					52			0							52		52
34	New Mexico							29	3							29	3	32
35	New York					87			14							87	14	101
36	North Carolina							69	0							69		69
37	North Dakota							26	0							26		26
38	Northern Marianas							0	9								9	9
39	Ohio							0	88								88	88
40	Oklahoma			6		29		3	3							38	3	41
41	Oregon							27	3							27	3	30
42	Pennsylvania							0	74								74	74
43	Puerto Rico							20	3							20	3	23
44	Rhode Island							17	3							17	3	20
45	South Carolina			6		18			0							24		24
46	South Dakota							24	3							24	3	27
47	Tennessee	3		12		7		30	3							52	3	55
48	Texas							137	3							137	3	140
49	Utah	36							0							36		36
50	Vermont							17	0							17		17
51	Virgin Islands							6	3							6	3	9
52	Virginia							63	0							63		63
53	Washington							19	21							19	21	40
54	West Virginia			18				9	3							27	3	30
55	Wisconsin							37	3							37	3	40
56	Wyoming		8					0	2		1				3		14	14
Convention		113	57	125	23	597	13	969	460	0	1	0	11	0	11	1,804	576	2,380

 

Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

 

---

 

Last Modified: Wed Feb 6 14:53:41 CST 2008

[dowcaet]

It’s over. Let McCain get his nomination. Let Huckabee get the VP nod, and then we’ll get a Democratic tidal wave in November.

[Salvation]

I heard (don’t know where — maybe on Brit Hume today — that McCain took 50 of the 53 districts in California. Could that be the reason the number is higher than some of it expected it to be?

[redinIllinois]

It was past my bedtime last night when I saw that someone had said that Romney had 244 to Huckabee’s 187.

I had pointed out that just that between Huck and Mitt, I’ve heard a lot of estimates that Mitt had spent about 10 times as much money, and sure didn’t have 10 times as many delegates.
(not even twice as many, not even close)

So at Romney’s 244 to Huckabee’s 187 = 57 more delegates, right?

It was past my bedtime, and my brain was doing funny things, but I tried to figure out the percentage of the spread, and it looks to me like 23% inclusive, and 30% exclusive, which are the same figures generally used for the Fair Tax, which is one of the reasons I support Huckabee (accountant’s for Fair Tax!!)

That would be a really fascinating coincidence, if my mind isn’t playing tricks on me.

1% higher makes both numbers a little too high.

But my original point was that southern conservatives don’t want to buy what Mitt is trying to sell.

People said Huckabee couldn’t even get 10%, couldn’t possibly win Iowa, couldn’t possibly do it again, couldn’t win any states yesterday. He won five states yesterday, and was ahead in Missouri for hours, until McCain finally caught up, then crept past him by one point.

So now when they say he couldn’t possibly win the nomination, I’m not buying that either.

It’s just a daydream of mine, but if Hunter would be the VP, would you believe his intentions are to do the right thing on the border?

MCCAIN IS THE FRONT RUNNER, NOT THE WINNER!!!!!!

HE ONLY HAS ABOUT HALF THE DELEGATES NEEDED TO WIN!

Huckabee won his home state by a (pardon my southern term) WHOPPING margin, while Romney barely won his home state by a 10 point margin.

Maybe some people just didn’t drink the koolaid, huh?

Who cares who wins New York, or Illinois, or the North Eastern liberal states that are DEEP BLUE, and going to vote democrap in the fall for sure anyway (barring some huge unforeseen event).

A republican president needs to win in the south to win in the fall, and people in the southern states aren’t drinking the koolaid that Rush and Sean are trying to serve, trying to pretend Romney’s a great conservative when he has been supporting abortion, supporting taxpayers funding it, campaigning on it while he’s in a blue state, then tries to to tell us he’s just started thinking about it, and changed his mind now, but his kids are great, and his hair is great, so we should vote for him.

I hope that Mitt’s conversionS are real, and if he’s the nominee, I’d take a chance on him instead of the Dems, but some of us are realistic enough to be a LITTLE skeptical that after years of supporting abortion, taxpayer funded abortion, the Brady Bill and other gun control, homosexual issues, gay judges, that he’s all of sudden conservative on ALL those issues.

Huckabee got over 60% of the vote in his home state, 2nd place was only 20% but Romney only won his home state by 51% to McCain’s 41%, and McCain got LESS than 50% in his home state.

So if you have been paying any attention to the posters on here claiming to be Arkansas republicans who claim he couldn’t even win his own state, take a deep breath, and look at the numbers. T H R E E times as many votes, and the other guys barely won their states. He won, BIG, compared to the other people they are telling us would be the winners.

Don’t let the people who say he can’t be elected give us another self fulfilling prophecy of having to settle for someone we have to HOPE will do what he says. Right now it’s just name recognition, and when most people get to know Mike Huckabee, they like him.

That is something we will really need in the fall, against either Hillary or Obama, or a ticket with both on it.

If it had been a 2 - man race (McCain and Huckabee), if Rush and Sean had supported the REAL conservative instead of the ‘Conservative if Convenient’ Huckabee would have WON Missouri’s 58 winner take all delegates.

McCain won over Huckabee by 1% because some people either believed Romney’s new position “I’m conservative pro-life and support gun rights”, or didn’t trust his recent conversions, but didn’t think Huckabee could win, because that’s what ‘the media’ kept telling them.

So my question is, when are Rush and Sean going to say, “Oh, we’re sorry folks for telling you that Romney’s a conservative, and Huckabee couldn’t win - sorry if we cost Huckabee that one percent in Missouri and gave those 58 winner take all delegates to McCain. Sorry about that, sorry it’s our fault if McCain’s going to be the nominee.”

Think they’ll take responsibility and apologize?

I’m not holding my breath.

Pointing out that Romney has spent ten times as much money to accumulate a few more delegates in states that don’t matter anyway, is not being envious, or using class warfare, or an attack on anybody.

In accounting and business, it’s called ‘return on investment’, in real life, it’s called common sense, in elections, it’s called trying to save our country.

A VOTE FOR HUCKABEE IS A VOTE AGAINST MCCAIN!!

HUCKABEE / HUNTER ‘08