Oil at $101/bbl
Posted on 02/26/2008 6:40:53 AM PST by xzins
Dwarf psychic escapes jail !
Thats right, Small medium at large.
Thanks for the ping!
Taiwan suffering coldest winter in decades - Perdogg reports from Taiwan
Not just selling fake carbon credits.
He is apparently making tons on money through Goldman Sachs and his London-based hedge fund, Generation Investment Management.
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This is from NASA’s website: Note that as early as 2006 NASA is predicting Cycle 25 !!! to be very low (forecasting COLDER weather in 2020-2030 timeframe!) but even at that time, they “wanted” cycle 24 to very high, very rapidly peaking.
Neither (so far) has happened: Cycle 24 is very late, thus not rapidly increasing.
......
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10may_longrange.htm
Long Range Solar Forecast
05.10.2006
Solar Cycle 25 peaking around 2022 could be one of the weakest in centuries.
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May 10, 2006: The Sun’s Great Conveyor Belt has slowed to a record-low crawl, according to research by NASA solar physicist David Hathaway. “It’s off the bottom of the charts,” he says. “This has important repercussions for future solar activity.”
see captionThe Great Conveyor Belt is a massive circulating current of fire (hot plasma) within the Sun. It has two branches, north and south, each taking about 40 years to perform one complete circuit. Researchers believe the turning of the belt controls the sunspot cycle, and that’s why the slowdown is important.
Right: The sun’s “Great Conveyor Belt” in profile.
“Normally, the conveyor belt moves about 1 meter per second—walking pace,” says Hathaway. “That’s how it has been since the late 19th century.” In recent years, however, the belt has decelerated to 0.75 m/s in the north and 0.35 m/s in the south. “We’ve never seen speeds so low.”
According to theory and observation, the speed of the belt foretells the intensity of sunspot activity ~20 years in the future. A slow belt means lower solar activity; a fast belt means stronger activity. The reasons for this are explained in the Science@NASA story Solar Storm Warning.
“The slowdown we see now means that Solar Cycle 25, peaking around the year 2022, could be one of the weakest in centuries,” says Hathaway.
This is interesting news for astronauts. Solar Cycle 25 is when the Vision for Space Exploration should be in full flower, with men and women back on the Moon preparing to go to Mars. A weak solar cycle means they won’t have to worry so much about solar flares and radiation storms.
see caption
Above: In red, David Hathaway’s predictions for the next two solar cycles and, in pink, Mausumi Dikpati’s prediction for cycle 24.
On the other hand, they will have to worry more about cosmic rays. Cosmic rays are high-energy particles from deep space; they penetrate metal, plastic, flesh and bone. Astronauts exposed to cosmic rays develop an increased risk of cancer, cataracts and other maladies. Ironically, solar explosions, which produce their own deadly radiation, sweep away the even deadlier cosmic rays. As flares subside, cosmic rays intensify—yin, yang.
Hathaway’s prediction should not be confused with another recent forecast: A team led by physicist Mausumi Dikpata of NCAR has predicted that Cycle 24, peaking in 2011 or 2012, will be intense. Hathaway agrees: “Cycle 24 will be strong. Cycle 25 will be weak. Both of these predictions are based on the observed behavior of the conveyor belt.”
How do you observe a belt that plunges 200,000 km below the surface of the sun?
see caption”We do it using sunspots,” Hathaway explains. Sunspots are magnetic knots that bubble up from the base of the conveyor belt, eventually popping through the surface of the sun. Astronomers have long known that sunspots have a tendency to drift—from mid solar latitudes toward the sun’s equator. According to current thinking, this drift is caused by the motion of the conveyor belt. “By measuring the drift of sunspot groups,” says Hathaway, “we indirectly measure the speed of the belt.”
Right: Hathaway monitors the speed of the Conveyor Belt by plotting the drift of sunspot groups from high to low solar latitude. This plot is called “the Butterfly Diagram.” The tilt of the wings reveal the speed of the Conveyor Belt.
Using historical sunspot records, Hathaway has succeeded in clocking the conveyor belt as far back as 1890. The numbers are compelling: For more than a century, “the speed of the belt has been a good predictor of future solar activity.”
If the trend holds, Solar Cycle 25 in 2022 could be, like the belt itself, “off the bottom of the charts.”
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Alan Caruba is a long time friend and a very intelligent foe of the Gorebull Warming Nazis, Green Nazis and liberal Nazis like Pelosi, Reid, Obama, Clintoons and _____________
fill in the blank.
His problem and ours is the hatred the liberal nazis have for America and their new religion of Gorebull Warming designed to cripple America.
I’m no scientist...but I also recall reading articles that explained temperatures had been rising, in part because there is so much LESS smog...ie. now we have more SUNSHINE!
One need not study these forecasts to see through the clever use of modifiers in the language of the reports as they use terms such as could, ought, should, may(be) and if; The greatest emphasis as time goes by is on the long range prediction rather than the seemingly more manageable short term forecast.
This accomplishes two things: first it elevates the argument beyond specific debate, thereby freeing the soothsayers from the messy and menial work in dealing with the general public; second it places the worst effects so far into the future that the most mature of us, their audience they are trying to keep, will likely be beyond any realized effects which serves to silence the loudest of their critics.
This is the reverse of the way you sell overpriced real estate, where you talk up the future gains but never the possible losses, but it is still the way you sell that which is hard to pay for.
In Algore We Trust
Zell trumpets tearing down bureau walls (New owner Raises Zell - Dinosaur Media DeathWatch™)
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