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CNN: Post-Biden Poll Shows Dead Heat (Obama-Biden Ticket Gets Dead Cat Bounce)
CNN ^ | Sunday, August 24, 2008 | Paul Steinhauser

Posted on 08/24/2008 5:33:40 PM PDT by kristinn

It’s a dead heat in the race for the White House. The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama publicly named Joe Biden as his running mate suggests that battle for the presidency between the Illinois senator and Republican rival John McCain is all tied up.

In a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Sunday night, 47 percent of those questioned are backing Obama with an equal amount supporting the Arizona senator.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain,” adds Holland.

So what’s the difference now?

It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Sixty-six percent of Clinton supporters, registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee, are now backing Obama. That’s down from 75 percent in the end of June. Twenty-seven percent of them now say they’ll support McCain, up from 16 percent in late June.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” says Holland.

SNIP

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted on Saturday and Sunday, with 1,023 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008polls; biden; deadcat; electionpresident; obama; obamabinbiden; tossups
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This is a brutal poll for Obama. It was taken of adult Americans. Not just registered voters or likely voters. Imagine what the numbers are for those and you can see a train wreck in the making.
1 posted on 08/24/2008 5:39:01 PM PDT by kristinn
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To: kristinn

That an utter disaster for Obama. Likely voter poll always are more Republican freindly then anyone polls. Espcially bad since CNN has a history of over sampling Dems and weekend polling usually leans left.

BAD news but McCain can still screw it up. His VP pick matters.


2 posted on 08/24/2008 5:41:03 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: kristinn

As General George S. Patton Jr. might say, “CRAP DON’T BOUNCE!!!”


3 posted on 08/24/2008 5:41:19 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (A History and Science Minute.- "Climate change" has been going on for millions of years!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
As General George S. Patton Jr. might say, “CRAP DON’T BOUNCE!!!”

It does if you eat rubber cement.

4 posted on 08/24/2008 5:42:46 PM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham (Barack Obama--the first black Jimmy Carter.)
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To: kristinn

anyone know how this compares to four years ago when kerri named breck boy???

I was going to try and research it on RCP....


5 posted on 08/24/2008 5:43:05 PM PDT by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Well, clearly Biden did not induce any excitement for the Obama-Biden ticket did he?


6 posted on 08/24/2008 5:43:10 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: kristinn
Street Thug and Butt Plug are scrambling for some good news, but I really hope they don't hear any.

I am convinced that anything bad for them is good for Americans everywhere.


7 posted on 08/24/2008 5:44:03 PM PDT by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them.)
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To: kristinn

Biden did garner 0 delegates and 2,328 Iowa votes — 1% — 5th place in his presidential run.

With numbers like that, the Obama-Biden team should be formidable. [/s]


8 posted on 08/24/2008 5:45:33 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: kristinn

A dead cat bounces more than that...


9 posted on 08/24/2008 5:46:07 PM PDT by airborne (OBAMAbinBIDEN - (copyright pending))
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To: God luvs America

Kerry selected Edwards on or around July 6th that year.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html

Just glancing at it, I’d say that Kerry got around a 5-7% bounce out of it. Bush looks to have been leading by a point or two on average the last week of June.


10 posted on 08/24/2008 5:48:25 PM PDT by VOR78
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To: kristinn
Going into the Dem convention in a year when the GOP is in bad shape, Obama should have a comfortable lead.

Obama made an audacious choice in Joe Biden and he just might pay a high price for doing so.

11 posted on 08/24/2008 5:48:56 PM PDT by Reagan Man ( McCain Wants My Vote --- this conservative is ambivalent to the "odious" Johnny Mac)
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To: airborne

Yup, this dead cat didn’t bounce. It’s just plain dead.


12 posted on 08/24/2008 5:48:58 PM PDT by Vision Thing (zerobama)
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To: kristinn
Gergen: Not much credence should be given to the latest CNN poll in light of the fact that the poll is a weekend poll and the "younger voters" for Obama aren't home.

He's got an excuse for everything........

except for the way he combs his hair.

13 posted on 08/24/2008 5:50:48 PM PDT by hole_n_one
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To: MNJohnnie

That is just amazing, there is a whole herd of fed up females who are out to open a can of whupass on Obama for knocking Hllary out of “her” turn...

Lord have mercy on Obama, there is no group that can hold a grudge like Hillary Clinton supporters...


14 posted on 08/24/2008 5:50:52 PM PDT by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Romans 10.10/Eze 11.2/Biden/Obama bye bye RTKBA)
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To: Reagan Man

“Going into the Dem convention in a year when the GOP is in bad shape, Obama should have a com”fortable lead.”

OsamaObama should be 30 points ahead of McCain, considering how bad the environment is for the GOP.


15 posted on 08/24/2008 5:53:31 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: kristinn
This is REALLY GOOD NEWS - thanks for the analysis as well! I'm so glad that it seems some people are really waking up! Looks like Obama's "hopenosis" is weakening! LOL

I only hope that Hillary doesn't pull any punches in Denver, and that he is really the one McCain will be up against.


16 posted on 08/24/2008 5:53:31 PM PDT by LibertyRocks (BLOG: http://libertyrocks.wordpress.com ~ Anti-Obama Gear: http://cafepress.com/NO_ObamaBiden08)
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To: MNJohnnie
The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.

Heck of a sampling error. Is CNN playing CYA here?

17 posted on 08/24/2008 5:54:36 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s........you weren't really there)
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To: Vision Thing

That’s because that Obama-cat was DOA!


18 posted on 08/24/2008 5:54:45 PM PDT by airborne (OBAMAbinBIDEN - (copyright pending))
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To: kristinn
ker-SPLAT!
19 posted on 08/24/2008 5:55:59 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country! What else needs said?)
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

Well it made me smile.


20 posted on 08/24/2008 5:57:13 PM PDT by Fishtalk
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