Lets all keep up the pressure to have Obama publicly state and prove he is a US citizen! If he can't sing the tune, get off the stage!
Posted on 10/21/2008 6:00:23 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
Obama's numbers in OH stink, and PA isn't much better. He's hurting in FL. McCain's putting on the pressure in NH, WI, MN, IA, CO, VA and rumor has it even MI again. And McCain/Palin are just now employing their ad blitz. Life is good, and barring a major October/November surprise the lightweight Marxist has been defeated.
But we still have plenty of work to do. There are a bunch of vulnerable freshmen Dem representatives in the House. The GOP has about 20 realistic pick-up opportunities. See my list below:
AL-05
AZ-05
CA-11
GA-08
IL-14
KS-02
KY-03
LA-06
MS-01
NH-01
NH-02
NY-20
PA-07
PA-08
PA-10
PA-11
TX-22
TX-23
WI-08
And my personal favorite! PA-12 (tough, but doable thanks to Murtha the Marine smearing racist)
Details on these races (website links, voting percentages, fundraising numbers, etc.) are here spread throughout this thread.
The current count is Dems 233, GOP 202. The Pubbies unfortunately do have to defend a lot of seats due to retirement. To retake the House they'd need to basically run the table on defending those seats and win about 16 of those above pick-up opportunities. Possible, but not likely. However, a solid McCain/Palin win in this anti-incumbent environment could provide enough of a push. And just cutting into the Dems' current 31-seat lead, after months of them gloating, will be very demoralizing.
If you've been thinking about donating your time and/or money, now's the time.
The only reason she won last time was because they found some 'missing' votes in New Orleans.
You have a much better attitude than I do at this point. I wish I had your positive outlook.
I am just praying to God that we keep that little marxist out of the White House.
Okay, you start!
I concur. I would strongly advise fellow Conservatives to follow the same advice, lest we count our eggs before they're hatched.
You're wrong on both counts.
I haven’t seen any polls on the Landrieu race,,have you?
How is that any different from what we've been exposed to the past two years?
JENKINS #2 FUNDRAISING IN NATION!!
2. Kansas Republican Lynn Jenkins — Since winning the Republican nomination, Jenkins has been on a fundraising tear, getting support from many who supported her GOP rival Jim Ryun. She raised over $681,000 in the past three months, more than double the total of Rep. Nancy Boyda (D-Kan.).
http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/1008/Fundraising_winners_and_losers.html
Which is exactly the opposite of what I said, gloom 'n doomer.
Bears repeating: this is a Republican straight ticket election. Let’s take back America.
The Marxist himself is a lightweight. You're right. His machine is anything but.
“You’re wrong on both counts”
Uh...no I’m not.
I get one McCain ad on the radio to every 4 of BOs. Same ratio for the past 6 weeks or so. We get BO ads every commercial break on TV - haven’t seen one for McCain in weeks. If McCain’s running ads in DC/No.VA he must be using some frequency that isn’t seen on TV, cable or heard on the radio.
As I was driving in I heard that McCain has conceded Wisconsin and about to pull back from Colorado.
As I was driving in I heard that McCain has conceded Wisconsin and about to pull back from Colorado.
That sounds oddly familiar :)
Are you doing a hurky? I bet you are.
I have to be honest: Good News/Bad News.
1.) We’re screwed in many Senate races, even if turnout gap is better for us (as I assume) than the pollsters expect. We can still hold NC, AK, and a few others, but I expect Dems to add four seats.
2.) We have maybe five real shots at House pickups, IMHO. A small loss of 9-10 net is likely.
3.) McCain is in far better shape than the loony polls are suggesting. Even with Rasmussen’s weird, insanely Pro-Democrat state numbers, McCain leads in Oh and FL. I think Obama is in FL for three days precisely because FL is coming home point by point to McCain.
4.) Every Pennsylvania poll, when corrected for realistic turnout numbers, shows McCain barely ahead. Pretty much every damn one of them. NH is looking the same way now with corrected (realistic) numbers.
It comes down to this: Unless Obama single-handedly has changed the electoral world; unless the Democrats really do experience a massive, unprecedented, illogical, enormous turnout ID gap never before seen and nearly double any previous record in our lifetime - unless this happens, this unlikely HUGE Democrat turnout gap never, ever before seen - or even anywhere near close to ever seen - on election Day, McCain likely will pull this off at the state level.
I give McCain now a 55%-60% chance of victory, and Dems a 75% chance of picking up 4-5 senate seats and 9-10 House seats.
The turnout gap - and I am more and more convinced of this - is not going to be the 6.7%-14% that these insane pollsters are working with. And the youth vote will not dominate any more than it did in 2004 - you simply cannot tell me that they adore Obama more than they hated Bush in 2004. It’s not true - they hated Bush more.
The turnout gap will be likely 2% IMHO, and no worse than 4%. If that’s true, McCain wins this election, period.
Quit listening to NPR.
That's the most important thing you can do. The next most important is stay positive. Don't accidentally talk down your friends and neighbors who could be adversely influenced by your pessimism. Anyone who is truly worried about this race should go volunteer some time at a local GOP HQ. Once you see the activity and the optimism, I bet you'll feel differently. (I've volunteered for several losing campaigns. This doesn't feel like one, not at all.)
Lets all keep up the pressure to have Obama publicly state and prove he is a US citizen! If he can't sing the tune, get off the stage!
Oh??? Do you? So we've moved from NO McCain ads in northern VA to not enough McCain ads in northern VA. Which shows you to be wrong on both counts (campaigns don't waste resources on states they've written off in close elections). Thank you very much for your assistance.
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