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GWU/Battleground Poll: 049, M46
GWU/Battleground ^

Posted on 10/25/2008 3:04:52 PM PDT by Chet 99

GWU/Battleground Poll: 049, M46

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; battleground; gwu; mccain; obama
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Comment #21 Removed by Moderator

To: Mr.Smorch
They're trying to shape public opinion. They're not telling us how people will actually vote next month, unless they can read people's minds!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

22 posted on 10/25/2008 3:27:00 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: RoseofTexas

The Poll sunday night & through the week don’t know about the last weekend


23 posted on 10/25/2008 3:27:09 PM PDT by PaRep
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To: wolf24
But every state that goes for Obama, they will post early to create that juggernaut image they want people to have. And like in 2000, they hope GOP voters in key states get so demoralized, they give up and go home. We all remember how they called FL for Gore on the basis of completely misleading exit poll data.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

24 posted on 10/25/2008 3:29:30 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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Comment #25 Removed by Moderator

To: goldstategop
The only flaw in the ointment is the TV networks will call states early for Obama even if they are close.

Fox News won't.

26 posted on 10/25/2008 3:31:55 PM PDT by careyb
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To: careyb
Fox News won't.

Actually, not so sure about that anymore, ever since they veered far to the Left.
27 posted on 10/25/2008 3:41:48 PM PDT by jstolzen (All it takes for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing - Edmund Burke)
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To: All
I'll state the obvious again:

The “Bradley Effect” will kick in to a much more significant degree than has been anticipated.

When the earlier results of the Clinton-Obama primaries in WVa, Ky, and other “ culture-sensitive” states are closely analyzed, it becomes evident that there is a reservoir of cultural voters out in the hustings — across the country —who simply would not vote for a Black under any circumstance.

Needless to say, these same voters would never reveal their feelings to any pollster — or for that matter — to even their closest friends.

What this percentage is of the total electorate is, in my view, the 64 dollar question, in this election.

My gut tells me it may be adequate to see Detroit in flames.

28 posted on 10/25/2008 3:43:23 PM PDT by dk/coro
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To: UpstateNYConservative
This is yesterday’s poll. Battleground does not release polls on Saturdays.

Yes it is, but I don't recall seeing it posted here before, just the "Obama by 14" polls.

FWIW if "Bradley" effect is just 2, 49-2=47 O, 46+2=46 M.

29 posted on 10/25/2008 3:51:25 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: RoseofTexas

Undecideds always went to Hillary.

I think McCain will get the undecideds.

If they haven’t decided to support “The One” already they way he has been pushed down our throats, they aren’t likely to do so.


30 posted on 10/25/2008 3:52:52 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
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To: wolf24
Is all the anti-turnout propaganda going to work on the base? I don't think so. 1. this is not 2006; this is a Presidential election, and 2. I believe the base, by and large, is onto these tactics.

I believe so too but it is disconcerting when even some Freepers (who you think would know better) seemingly throw in the towel whenever a new Zogby or Rasmussen poll comes out. Conversely, though, there is talk that if Democrats feel they have it in the bag then a number of them may not bother showing up. It'll be interesting to see how it all shakes out.

As long as McCain has the BIG MO at the end (the last 3-4 days) then i feel very good about our chances. Hopefully they have a brilliant end game strategy ready to go.

31 posted on 10/25/2008 3:54:25 PM PDT by Humbug (ignore the media and the polls and keep fighting)
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To: Retired Greyhound

You are Correct


32 posted on 10/25/2008 3:57:50 PM PDT by PaRep
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To: Sooth2222
oops!

FWIW if "Bradley" effect is just 2, 49-2=47 O, 46+2=48 M.

33 posted on 10/25/2008 3:58:10 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: LS

I think some pollsters are going to stick to their inflated projections because they actually believe the electorate is going to turn out like that. So it wouldn’t surprise me to have kooky polls all the way to Election Day.


34 posted on 10/25/2008 4:00:00 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief (Russia invades Georgia? For a moment, I thought that was Red Dawn II)
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To: Humbug

Im getting in line now !!!!!


35 posted on 10/25/2008 4:10:18 PM PDT by ballplayer
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To: Sooth2222

A few weeks ago, I saw Brit Hume ask Juan Williams about the “Bradley effect”. He said the Obama campaign is estimating it to be about 5%.


36 posted on 10/25/2008 4:13:48 PM PDT by betsyross60 (God bless our troops everywhere!)
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To: betsyross60
A few weeks ago, I saw Brit Hume ask Juan Williams about the “Bradley effect”. He said the Obama campaign is estimating it to be about 5%.

How does one measure the fear of crypto-muslims effect.

37 posted on 10/25/2008 4:16:58 PM PDT by Stentor (Obama is Bill Ayers' Renfield.)
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To: wolf24
We should know about NH fairly early in the night correct? If McCain wins NH early in the night we will know it is going to be a very good night.

You are forgetting the media template my friend. When a Republican wins a state it isn't called until midnight. When a Democrat is even close to winning it is called at 7 PM!
38 posted on 10/25/2008 4:21:04 PM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: Stentor

My guess....it’s even higher! Of course the 5% could be an over estimation by their campaign.


39 posted on 10/25/2008 4:22:21 PM PDT by betsyross60 (God bless our troops everywhere!)
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Comment #40 Removed by Moderator


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