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Pollsters Struggle to Handicap Presidential Race
FNC ^ | October 27, 2008 | James Rosen/FNC

Posted on 10/28/2008 2:13:23 AM PDT by bluejay

... But the Democratic presidential nominee's margin has fluctuated wildly, anywhere from 1 to 13 points in the past two weeks alone. And a few recent polls are even within the margin of error, suggesting McCain could actually be leading among certain sets of voters.

...

(Excerpt) Read more at elections.foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; obama; polls

1 posted on 10/28/2008 2:13:23 AM PDT by bluejay
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To: bluejay

I’ve noticed the last few days some pollsters are having a “lets tighten them up so we don’t look stupid” phase, they know they have been shilling for bambi, now they have to watch because when McCain wins and they have been way off, i mean look at 2004 for goodness sake, they were calling him President from a week before, even on election day by midday they were saying Kerry as Mr President Elect.

Boy did i laugh that night.


2 posted on 10/28/2008 2:21:23 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

Boy did i laugh that night

Yeah, but Lurch was out & out dumb, sack of hammers dumb, Barny Frank dumb, and everyone saw through it in 10 seconds or less. But Obama’s sleezy dangerous dumb, smooth talkin dumb. Will it matter? Depends if all that media help gets him anywhere with regular folks. Most people bust their a$$s working day after day; no time or energy to think too hard about politicians. You need more than 10 seconds or 10 minutes to see through Obama’s syrupy exterior before the rotten core is revealed. What McCain needs is time. He may have just enough.


3 posted on 10/28/2008 3:55:32 AM PDT by generalhammond (Obama IS the Manchurian candidate - funded and paid for by Saudi & Soros Inc.)
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To: sunmars

I thought the press could never outdo the bias they showed in 2000 or 2004. I was wrong.


4 posted on 10/28/2008 3:58:47 AM PDT by 6SJ7 (Welcome PUMAs!)
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To: bluejay
I keep hearing there are 1 million plus NEW liberal votes/registrations provided by fruits off oak trees. Explains to me why the pollsters weight their numbers like they do. Does NOT matter how many are frauds they have their numbers and reason why Bama is suppose to win.
5 posted on 10/28/2008 4:02:43 AM PDT by Just mythoughts (Isa.3:4 And I will give children to be their princes, and babes shall rule over them.)
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To: bluejay

I did some polling years ago when I was in school. I recall that certain demographic groups — particularly women— were fairly easy to complete interviews with. Others were not, particularly certain groups of men.

Although polls typically state that their poll is based on 1000 interviews (or whatever the number is), I have yet to see a poll report how many calls it had to initiate to complete 1000 interviews. It seems that these numbers could be important. Are certain groups rebuffing interviews more so than in past elections? If so, isn’t that important and doesn’t it suggest that the polling of that demographic group (that was especially hard to get a hold of) might be more flawed?


6 posted on 10/28/2008 5:36:23 AM PDT by Rumierules
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To: bluejay

bmflr


7 posted on 10/28/2008 3:05:01 PM PDT by Kevmo (I love that sound and please let that baby keep on crying. ~Sarah Palin)
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