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Adviser: "McCain to win every red state...probably win Pennsylvania and Iowa."
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Posted on 11/02/2008 12:30:36 PM PST by Retired Greyhound

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To: bayliving
I can't wait! I can't wait!! I CAN'T WAIT!!! I it NOVEMBER 4th YET?!?! Grrrrr Come ON already!!!! I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....

I like your enthusiasm! I got so reved up, I couldn't wait 'til Nov 4 and I turned in my absentee ballot.

41 posted on 11/02/2008 12:45:04 PM PST by 6SJ7 (Welcome PUMAs!)
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To: All
As for Mr. Black...even a broken clock is right twice per day.

Here is my new sign of hope here in the liberal Virginia-D.C. suburbs:

I have two young black men in my high school age Sunday school class (here in Northern Virginia)—who were adopted by a white couple. These boys have been bigtime Bush bashers. But they were Hillary fans too. And maybe there is a factor here in the sense that their adoptive parents take in all sorts of kids of various backgrounds— including special needs kids.

Last month, the more talkative youth was all pumped up for the Sarah Palin rally down in Richmond (Columbus Day). Obviously, something had impacted them.

Today, the boys asked me who I was voting for. I balked because I try to keep partisanship out of my class. (And we have some pretty liberal folks in our church.) But I finally said, “well, I have problems with McCain... but I have a lot more problems with Obama. So I will be voting for McCain.”

The lads were ecstatic. Young Nick was excited about being close enough to touch Sen. McCain at a recent rally and worked the phone banks for 5 hours yesterday.

Something is going on here in Virginia that the MSM has completely and almost predictably has missed.

42 posted on 11/02/2008 12:45:07 PM PST by Lysandru
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To: denydenydeny

I would guess the Philly suburbs has a lot of Catholics including Italian-Americans (IA). Obama is not getting many or even any IA votes.


43 posted on 11/02/2008 12:45:08 PM PST by Frantzie
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Comment #44 Removed by Moderator

To: Retired Greyhound

The problem with these polls is they ask on one of the questions is do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush. That in its self will skew the data toward the Democrats! I believe that John McCain and Sarah Palin will win this election. I live in a Blue state and there is something weird going on. When I drive around there is hardly any Obama bumper stickers on cars. I drive through the parking lots and there isn’t any. Once in a while I see one Obama but I see McCain/Palin just as often!


45 posted on 11/02/2008 12:45:54 PM PST by tallyhoe
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Comment #46 Removed by Moderator

To: Retired Greyhound
Hate to say I told you so but . . .

"Congratulations, President . . . McCain" (Congratulations, President McCain

47 posted on 11/02/2008 12:46:17 PM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: bayliving
I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....

That is NOT the ACORN spirit!

48 posted on 11/02/2008 12:46:35 PM PST by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Kim Priestap

Often internal polls show completely opposite things, at least I recall them doing so in the past. IE......2004 kerry’s polls had him winning. Bush’s had him winning.

internal polls just show what the candidate wants to hear to a degree.

However, I do think like in 2004, the republican polls will be closer to reality this year, so we can win this.


49 posted on 11/02/2008 12:46:35 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: squidly
If PA is called for McCain at any time before 10pm, you can smile and breathe a deep sigh of relief. If will likely be close, but that alone is a good sign.

In the last two weeks, I believe several powerful trends have come together, and at just the right time for McCain and Palin. Independent voters have begun to look anew at Barack Obama, and many have decided that they do not like what they see, even if they once strongly desired to see something else.

Democrat voters include a significant number of new voters whom the polls assume will vote overwhelmingly for Obama, but include people who signed up to vote for him in the primaries as a counter to Hillary Clinton, as well as Hillary voters who cannot stand Obama, but will not admit so publicly.

Republicans are charged up and motivated - far more so than in either 2004 or 2006. This fact in and of itself is extremely vital, as it was completely unanticipated by the "prestige" polls like Gallup - who still refuse to recognize the facts on the ground that conflict with their prized methodologies.

One more thing: VOTE. Call a friend. Call a neighbor. Tell them how important you believe this election is - because it truly is.

50 posted on 11/02/2008 12:48:13 PM PST by andy58-in-nh (Somewhere in Illinois, a community is missing its organizer.)
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To: tallyhoe

same in Long Beach, CA.

Not near as much visible support for Obama as there was for Kerry.


51 posted on 11/02/2008 12:48:36 PM PST by Retired Greyhound
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To: Retired Greyhound
The Real Clear Politics average is not a good indicator. The main reason being the deliberate outlier polls by the msm skew the average. You have to throw those out. Also the more recent the poll the better the indicator.
52 posted on 11/02/2008 12:48:52 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: rwfromkansas
We need to keep in mind internal polling usually will be too positive for your candidate.

that's not true... internal polling gives the candidate as true a picture of the state of the race as possible... they want to and NEED to know how things REALLY look... that way they know where to spend money, where to rally, where to GOTV...

53 posted on 11/02/2008 12:49:11 PM PST by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: wolf24

Last time PA was called for Kerry very quickly. Then Ohio, where Bush had a much larger lead was left in the “too close to call” category until about 2AM EST. The networks wouldn’t call Ohio because it meant a Kerry loss. They couldn’t bring themselves to admit it.


54 posted on 11/02/2008 12:50:21 PM PST by Dilbert56 (Harry Reid, D-Nev.: "We're going to pick up Senate seats as a result of this war.")
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To: Lysandru

…and worked the phone banks for 5 hours

WOW, that’s inspirational. Maybe all isn’t lost on America’s youth. Thanks for that!


55 posted on 11/02/2008 12:50:28 PM PST by Big_Monkey
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To: Retired Greyhound

I wonder why?


56 posted on 11/02/2008 12:50:57 PM PST by tallyhoe
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To: Kim Priestap

I had not heard of McInturrf before, if he pulls this off he will be the new Karl Rove.


57 posted on 11/02/2008 12:50:58 PM PST by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: bayliving

“I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....”

Evidently you haven’t had any contact with an ACORN representative. :)


58 posted on 11/02/2008 12:52:05 PM PST by waus
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To: Lysandru

“Something is going on here in Virginia that the MSM has completely and almost predictably has missed”.

...I went to both Palin rallies here in Richmond. As was the one in Fairfax, packed to the gills with excitement but even better...fear and anger. Both are very good motivators. The MSM is underestimating Va. Lots les BO stickers here than Gore or Kerry had. BTW, my sister lives in Oakton and her kids went to Oakton HS. Some of the stories she told me about the policies made me sick.


59 posted on 11/02/2008 12:53:35 PM PST by albie
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To: Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; Mo1; Ciexyz; ...
Mac was at Strath Haven High School in Wallingford Pa. this morning. Strath Haven is the high school for the Wallingford-Swarthmore School District. That's Swarthmore as in Swarthmore College.

Wallingford is the postal name for most of Nether Providence Township. Both Swarthmore and Nether Providence are some of the few municipalities in Delaware County where Dems run things.

Nether and Swarthmore are filled with Obama signs.

If Mac is campaigning there he is campaigning on enemy turf far more than Obama did. It's a good sign.

Delaware County has not gone Republican for a president since 1988.

Obama's only visit to Delco was to nearly all-black Chester.

60 posted on 11/02/2008 12:53:55 PM PST by Tribune7 (Obama wants to put the same crowd that ran Fannie Mae in charge of health care)
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