[Para-Ord.45]

I`m forced to agree. Virtually impossible to carry almost every toss up State by McCain.

[swmopatriot]

It is important to point out that this does not reflect Rove’s analysis. He is simply assigning states based upon the poll averages.

If some of the polls which compose the averages are wrong, and there is very good reason to think they are, then these predictions are wrong.

[goldstategop]

Rove is an idiot. He's using the MSM polls to allocate EV... which are certainly way off. There's no way Obama is going to get 338 EV. Simple rule of thumb: any state Obama is up by 5 or less, he will lose simply because the actual vote is off by least 6 points. I thought Rove knew about this bias and he's not even correcting for it!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[trumandogz]

The Rove Map.

No way Obama wins Florida.

[neodad]

Well, he sure got it right in 06. /sarc

[Tench_Coxe]

You’re right. It’s time for all to give up and stay home. Surrender Dorothy.

[swmopatriot]

I forgot to add:

Either way, predictions don’t determine elections...votes do.

No matter what you hear, get out and vote tomorrow and make sure all the McCain supporters you know do too.

[Crimson Elephant]

It doesn’t take into account the party ID turnout number though. That IS accurate IF the Dem turnout is +8, if it ISN’T then we are looking at a rerun of 2004.

[WomBom]

Maybe we should just stay home and cry....NOT

NO WAY IN HELL that I will be deterred from voting tomorrow.

I suggest you do the same.

[screaminsunshine]

McClame will win Florida. Watch Pennsylvania..

[torchthemummy]

Rove bases this on a 14-day roling poll and apparently does nothing to factor in any of the multitude of reasons that the polls are skewed Democrat. Also no mention of the inaccuracy of the polls during and leading up to the 2004 election or this year’s primaries.

[Jazz1968]

So what.
I don’t think he is right and I don’t care if he is.
I don’t care if every so called expert on earth says BO will have 130 million votes and McCain will have just 10. I will be one of those ten dammit.
I will vote no matter what.

Rove is hated by the left so he is just pandering to them.

VOTE!!!!!!

[Arizona Carolyn]

Not according to the experts.

I am so over Rove, he has been a debbie downer for months.

[ncalburt]

These are rehashed RCP averages ??
Full of crappy fly by night poll groups.

[Mark]

As Rush pointed out, the undecided voters are huge. Obama supporters made up their minds a long time ago. I think McCain takes most of the undecided. I couldn’t believe there were that many who have not made their decisions by now.

[libertarian9]

NO WAY.

McCain will take FL, NV, PA and NH.

That will put him over the top.

[libertarian9]

NO WAY.

McCain will take FL, NV, PA and NH. AND VA.

That will put him over the top.