The (Intentionally) Misleading Mainstream Media

The Market Ticker ^ | 8/31/09 | Karl Denninger

[FromLori]

This morning I woke up to the media once again "spouting" about how the government had "made money" on the bank bailouts. MSNBC was spouting the mainstream lie, with the following from the NY Times:

Nearly a year after the federal rescue of the nation’s biggest banks, taxpayers have begun seeing profits from the hundreds of billions of dollars in aid that many critics thought might never be seen again.

The profits, collected from eight of the biggest banks that have fully repaid their obligations to the government, come to about $4 billion, or the equivalent of about 15 percent annually, according to calculations compiled for The New York Times.

The problem is that this "accounting" is terribly misleading. It ignores the more than $100 billion passed through AIG to Goldman Sachs and others, for example - money that is almost certain to never be recovered.

The government still faces potentially huge long-term losses from its bailouts of the insurance giant American International Group, the mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the automakers General Motors and Chrysler. The Treasury Department could also take a hit from its guarantees on billions of dollars of toxic mortgages.

No really? Fannie and Freddie are a potential five trillion dollar bomb that the government has refused to take on its balance sheet for fear it may detonate on the US credit rating (yes, the rating of the NATION, not of a company.) This fear is not unfounded; with some 13% of all mortgages currently "non-performing" (either in default or foreclosure), a record, and a "cure rate" down from the 40% range to 6% for prime mortgages, there is every reason to believe that many of these losses will become realized.

“The taxpayers want their money back and they want the government out of our banking system,” Representative Jeb Hensarling, a Texas Republican and a member of the Congressional Oversight Panel examining the relief program, said in an interview.

The taxpayers aren't going to get their money back, and the government has done exactly nothing to force the disclosure of losses that are currently being hidden by accounting games and even outright fraud. Indeed, if anything, the government has encouraged and made possible even more games.

What's worse is that the largest banks now are operating in direct violation of laws intended to prevent "contagion" and systemic risk! Specifically, there are now multiple violators of the 10% deposit concentration rule, yet no demand for a break-up of that concentration of risk has been made. Instead the FDIC has conspired with these huge banks to get even bigger and has ignored the proscriptions in the law preventing this sort of concentration of risk! Yet Sheila Bair still has her job. Why?

This sort of misleading "reporting" is an outrage. It is one thing to be hopeful, but it is entirely different to publish things that you either know or should have known are absolutely false in an attempt to burnish the patina of a fraud-laced pair of Administrations in Washington DC along with the agencies that are their handmaidens.

America deserves better.

More importantly, we deserve the truth. The truth about asset quality, the truth about embedded losses, the truth about The Fed's and Treasury's actions. Every loan, every penny spent, where it went, what it covered and why. Those who wrote CDS without the ability to pay deserve to be treated as the fraudsters that they were and are, and those who aided and abetted backdoor bailouts deserve ejection from public life and, if there is a law we can find that applies, an indictment.

Every federal agency and individual who has conspired with and designed programs to circumvent regulations must be expelled from the government, and those firms who are in violation must be broken up, without exception. All of the exceptions to regulations, including the myriad "23A" letters from The Fed must be unwound.

We have not, as is commonly said, avoided systemic risk - we have in fact added more systemic risk, and shortened the fuse on the nuclear financial devices, placing them ever-closer together and dramatically increasing the risk of a chain-reaction meltdown.

Amazingly enough the media continues to talk about how "we're recovering" while at the same time ignoring the fact that we have not only done nothing to address these systemic risks in our financial system we have actually made them worse and set the hair trigger ever-tighter, raising the risk of a second-level meltdown far worse than anything we have seen thus far in this crisis.

We must interrupt the building chain reaction before we get a "China Syndrome" style outcome - a potential disaster that could literally be triggered at any time by any sort of external shock (caused by, say, a meltdown in the Chinese stock market. Uh, anyone look at Shanghai last night?)

[blam]

"It has certainly alarmed US retail tycoon Howard Davidowitz. “As a country we are out of control, we’re in a death spiral,” he said."

"In the Tank Forever": U.S. Consumers, Retailers in a "Death Spiral," Davidowitz Says

[andy58-in-nh]

Karl, you magnificent bastard: you read my post!

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/1390-Impending-Crash.html

[WoofDog123]

“If you look at level 2 trading activity, you can see it’s the same old players just playing the smaller suckers in the game. short selling and buying low selling high, they got you covered in either direction.”

they are totally black-box algorhytmic vehicles now, esp, the 100M+ volume names. you can make and lose money on trends, but I think it verges on being impossible to out-scalp programs with less than 100ms latency total in trigger-to-trade.

[FromLori]

lol you should incorporate the two of them

[blam]

Impending Crash?

The Market Ticker
Monday, August 31. 2009
Posted by Karl Denninger in Editorial at 10:51

You have to wonder when you see statistics like this (through 9:30 this morning):

Remove SPY, ETFC and LEHMQ (none of which trade on the NYSE) from the list and you get 606 million shares.

How many shares have traded in total with one hour in?

1.491 billion.

Forty percent of the volume is comprised of four used dogfood stocks, just as we've seen for the last couple of weeks - all people passing shares back and forth among each other, many of it being "computer HFT games."

The other used dog-food stocks (LEHMQ and ETFC) are really no better; they just don't trade on the NYSE. Lehman is particularly ridiculous as that's a formally-bankrupt company!

Fannie and Freddie are two of the most outrageous abuses I've seen in a long time, second only to AIG. All three of these should be delisted as their equity value is quite literally bupkis.

[snip]

[blam]

The DJIA is down 91 at this posting. See here.

[NaughtiusMaximus]

But..but...but my local (heavily ‘RAT) newspaper has declared the “Recession” to be over and the economy recovering nicely due to Obama’s Largesse.

Of course, the same newspaper published an editorial in 1929 stating that the drop in stocks would only discomfit Eastern plutocrats and not the pure grassfed sons of the Praires.

[FromLori]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2328632/posts

[SunkenCiv]

...America deserves better. More importantly, we deserve the truth... Every federal agency and individual who has conspired with and designed programs to circumvent regulations must be expelled from the government, and those firms who are in violation must be broken up, without exception. All of the exceptions to regulations, including the myriad "23A" letters from The Fed must be unwound.

[Newtoidaho]

“Amazingly enough the media continues to talk about how “we’re recovering” while at the same time ignoring the fact that we have not only done nothing to address these systemic risks in our financial system we have actually made them worse and set the hair trigger ever-tighter, raising the risk of a second-level meltdown far worse than anything we have seen thus far in this crisis.”

Karl Denninger is great, and probably going to be proven 100% correct in due time, just like Schiff has been.
However, if he is waiting for the media to tell the truth, that will never happen for 2 reasons:
First, they just mouth words that are written for them by their handlers.
Second, in truth ALL media types have NO understanding of economics, finance or business. They are ALL liberals, who as we know are nothing more than drooling buffoons.

Unfortunately, the sheeple who pay attention to “the media” and form their opinions based on what they hear are even dumber than they are.
These are people who, like Obama, would say “How can I be out of money, I still have checks in my checkbook.”