(Liberal Quinnipiac University poll finds) Specter tied with Toomey in Senate race

Reuters ^ | December 18, 2009

[Once-Ler]

I wrote the polls mean nothing TODAY. You missed a word.

Scuzzy and NY-23 were an exception where there wasn’t time to do a primary. You seem to say the same thing, yet you blame the GOP for picking a RINO candidate to replace a RINO, instead of a rotten spokesman from outside the district whose ideology was at odds with the district, but more in tune with Rush and Freepers(Hoffman)...whatever, I made my point. The overwhelming majority of GOP candidates will be picked by primary voters in 2010. Few will be authentic conservatives by FR standards. Squishy RINOs like Christie can replace Corzines in liberal and moderate states. Lonegans will get dropped by RINO voters. Don’t be shocked.

I’ve given up pretending to be an economist, but spending is not neccessarily a good indicator of future economic rune. Spending went through the roof during Reagans 2 terms. The economy thrived.

[Once-Ler]

Are my posts cautioning against assuming all voters think like you, interfering with your echo-chamber at FR? So sorry. Let not your sleep be troubled my friend. You saw the tea party marches and the long lines at Palin book signings. Just forget about the 10 years of my posts here at FR and assume I’m another enemy. Why bother thinking for yourself when Rush, Beck, and Savage will do that for you. Sweet dreams Tailback.

[AdvisorB]

The polls mean nothing TODAY? Tell that to Virginia Governor elect McDonnell, Lieutenant Governor Elect Bill Bolling, Attorney General Elect Ken Cuccinelli, and the handful of new Republican Virginia House of Delegates victors that are now replacing RAT incumbent House members. I suspect they would disagree with your characterization vehemently.

While all the GOP candidates were qualified in their own right, looking at the Virginia poll numbers from the beginning of July to the beginning of November of this year, one can’t help but be struck by the similarities between Obama’s tanking numbers and the upswing in Virginia Voter’s support for the Virginia GOP’s Statewide Candidates. For instance, the Public Policy Polling firm from Raleigh, North Carolina polled a Virginia voter sample on June 30th to July 2, and McDonnell was up 49 to 43, Bolling was up 46 to 40, and Cuccinelli was up 48 to 38. Juxtoposing that poll with the Rasmussen polling on July 1, shows Obama’s approval/disapproval at 54 to 45.

By election time, Obama’s approval/disapproval numbers had tanked to 46 to 52. An 8 point drop in Obama likely voter approval numbers in 4 months! Meanwhile, the Virginia GOP Statewide Candidates polling numbers were almost exactly in inverse to Obama’s plunging putrid polling numbers, with McDonnell’s approval rising 7 points, Bollings approvals up 8 points, and Cuccinellis’ approvals up 7.

Yes, tell Creigh Deeds, Jody Wagner, and Steve Shelton that Obama’s downward spiral from July 1 to November 1 “means nothing.” I’m sure it meant nothing to Jon Corzine as well.

Listen, McHugh was left-of-center, no question. But the Scuzzball was a committed leftist. McHugh had a lifetime ACU (American Conservative Union) rating of 71.5, and a lifetime Chamber of Commerce rating of 82. Do you really believe that the Scuzz could have even come close to those numbers had she got the nod from the NY District 23 voters?
While we will probably never know the answer, I would sooner have put my bet on the snowball in hell, than on the Scuzz maintaining McHugh’s percentages.

If the GOP establishment, or liberal Republican primary voters are going to give us a turkey like Charles Goodell in the 1970 NY Senatorial elections, the Conservative Party in NY will be there to give us a James Buckley. Without the forerunners of the TeaParty Movement, in the form of the NY Conservative Party, NY and American itself, would have been stuck with a 1970s version of the Scuzzball, Scuzzyfava, as one of NY’s two US Senators sent to the US Senate.

I’m not an economist either, but I know a sinking economy when I see one, and this economy is anemic and probably heading for a double dip recession, especially after the “Anointed” one raises taxes on the American people (in 2010 the Bush Tax Cuts expire). I don’t thing the Reagan anology holds at all, because Reagan cut taxes across the board 25% over a three year period, while reducing onerous regulations and redtape on small, medium, and big business. Obama is doing quite the opposite, re-regulating the economy and raising taxes and fees wherever he can. No, obama’s spending is far greater in absolute numbers and will likely devestate the American economy for years to come. Obama think Hoover, Reagan think Coolidge and JFK.

[Once-Ler]

We are going to disagree on Scuzzy, but you are probably right about the economy tanking. I’m just not betting on it. You made good arguements and backed them up with facts. I learned somethings fom reading your posts. Thanx for your replies.

[Once-Ler]

but you are probably right about the economy tanking.

edit for clarity
but you are probably right about the economy continuing to tank.

[AdvisorB]

Reading your homepage, I think we agree on a lot. I also agree with you that we have to be very careful that we don’t cause a schism in the center-right coalition allowing the RATs to insinuate themselves into whatever the public position. 3rd party movements (on the right side of the spectrum) scare the h*ll out of me, and that’s the only thing that can save the Obammunists, a splintered Conservative response.

Wishing you and your family a very Merry Christmas, and a Happy New Year.

[Sun]

I’ll never forget in NYS when Quinnipiac had conservative Republican John Faso behind by 15 points in the Comptroller’s. While Faso lost, he only lost by 3 points. I often wonder if that poll caused some conservatives to stay home (who liked Faso) thinking he had no chance to win.

I wish I could tell the PA voters about this.

Quinnipiac canNOT be trusted.