[Once-Ler]

The polls mean nothing today. I'm glad they are bad for Osama, but Clinton won election with 43%. If the teaparty draws off 10% of the anti-Osama vote he will easily win re-election and history shows he is likely to win re-election regardless of todays polls. Reagan had higher unemployment at this time in his 1st term. If you look at the last 80 years of presidential elections there is a 8 year trend.

2 terms Truman(d)
2 terms Eisenhower(r)
2 terms Kennedy/Johnson(d)
2 terms Nixon(r)
1 term Carter(d) 1 term Reagan(r) the only exception and look how bad Carter was
2nd term Reagan 1 term Bush(r)
2 terms Clinton(d)
2 terms Bush(r)

Osama will have to be really bad to lose. I do not underestimate the American worker to fix the economy despite Osama.

See post 15 to see what I think of the stupid NY-23 race.

[AdvisorB]

You say the polls mean nothing, and then in the next sentence you say that you’re glad they are bad for Osama. But if the polls mean nothing, it doesn’t matter whether they’re good or bad for OsamaObama, right?

I don’t believe we have to worry about a major teaparty revolt in the 2012 general elections creating a schism in the center-right ranks, unless the GOP barons in the smoke filled room give us a Presidential standard-bearer that is as goofy and as far to the left as the Scuzzyfava was in NY-23. Since the GOP will have a bruising primary to sort things out, we don’t have to worry that elitist liberal GOP bigshots, like the liberal Republican County Chairman in NY-23 who met in the latest incarnation of the proverbial smoke filled room (Pizza Parlor) will deliver the election on a silver platter to the RATS, like they did in NY-23.

I never would underestimate the American worker, but that American worker and the capitalist system that gives him sustenance may be under seige by the Obama big spending. Spending has gotten totally out of control, and the Obama deficit may end up being greater in this fiscal year, than all the Bush deficits combined over Bush’s 8 years in office. I think the out-of-control spending is going to sink Obama, and will be a drag on the other races down ticket.

I see signs that Obama is more like Jimmy Carter, than Bill Clinton. The recent national Gallup poll had Obama lower than any other POTUS since the Gallup group began polling back in the late forties, and that poll also showed Obama ten points lower than Carter during a similar period of time during the Carter maladministration. We could be looking at a Carter administration redux on steriods, and that could be the political death knell for Pelousy and Reid leadership aspirations.