Posted on 07/20/2010 4:14:21 PM PDT by gumbyandpokey
Tuesday, July 20, 2010 Crist Looking Good Thanks mostly to support from Democrats Charlie Crist is the leader in the Florida Senate race. In the most likely match up against Kendrick Meek he gets 35% to 29% for Marco Rubio and 17% for Meek. His lead expands with Jeff Greene as the Democratic nominee. In that scenario Crist gets 38% with Rubio still at 29% and Greene at only 13%.
Crist has become the de facto Democratic nominee and that's where most of his support is coming from. He's currently getting 44% of Democrats in the Meek match up, along with 40% of independents and 23% of Republicans. Crist has increased his support across the board since PPP last polled this race in early March. At that time, while still a Republican, he got just 27% to 34% for Rubio and 25% for Meek. He's now doing 12 points better with Democrats, 5 points better with independents, and somewhat surprisingly even 5 points better with Republicans.
Whether Crist can hold on to this fragile coalition through the fall remains to be seen. Right now 48% of Democrats have no opinion about Meek and 50% are ambivalent toward Greene. Will Crist continue to have such strong Democratic support after the party has a nominee who's built up their exposure during a successful primary campaign? And will he continue to hold onto more than 20% of the Republican vote as it becomes clearer and clearer that Democrats are providing the bulk of his support? What happens on those two fronts will probably determine Crist's ultimate fate.
Marco Rubio's personal favorability has taken a large hit in the four months since PPP last polled this race. In March voters were pretty evenly divided on him with 31% seeing him positively and 32% negatively. He's still at 31% with a favorable opinion of him but his negatives have swelled in the interim to 46%. Particularly troubling for Rubio is that a majority of independents now have an unfavorable opinion of him. Like Rand Paul in Kentucky, the better voters have gotten to know Rubio the less they've liked him.
The Democrats aren't doing too well on the personal favorability front either. For both Meek and Greene Republicans dislike them more than Democrats like them, and additionally independents don't like either of them. That adds up to an 18/27 favorability for Meek and a 15/26 one for Greene. The most striking thing in those numbers is that a plurality of Democrats see Greene unfavorably, 23/27. We'll have Democratic primary numbers out later this week.
A lot can happen between now and November, but there's no doubt Charlie Crist has a whole lot of momentum on his side. Whether he can sustain that on through election day we shall see.
Full results here Posted by Tom Jensen at 9:19 AM
This is example # 323875 of how the corrupt "Two-Party Cartel" gets the elite-kiss arse candidate the winner. Let's forget these polls & fraudulent voting apparatus & get the real revolution going.
Yup. Very sad because FL voters are getting screwed with 2 RINOs. I liked Rubio then AZ and then more research showed he torpedo’ed AZ-like laws when he was the head of the Florida House.
He seems like a nice enough guy and Crist is a disgusting freak. What really irks me is Rubio claiming he is a Tea Party canidate. When did the Tea Party support open-borders? Rubio reminds me of Mel Martinez and McCain.
Connie Mack 3 is even worse. I hope the people around Naples deep six that piece of crap phony frat boy living of grandpa’s name. Did his great grandpa rig baseball games back in the day?
The funny thing is Crist’s ponzi pal Scott ROthstein’s grandfather was the guy who rigged the world series with the black sox. The FL and TX GOP is infested with stinking RINOs.
Rubio can’t be pro-La Raza because La Raza is a communist organization. Freedom loving Cubans and Americans of Cuban decent despise la Raza. They hate each other.
I personally don’t think November will be as fruitful as some people are predicting...
Ditto that creepy jack a*s Connie Mack the 3rd. I really loathe that idiot. Crist is just a freak of Biblical proportions. He is a liberal Democrat opportunist weirdo.
what a frickin mess...and I live In JAX..yeesh..
Strange, have hardly seen any Rubio stickers..not Crist stickers either...guess everyone is turned off or not very thrilled.
I’m glad the Florida House told Crist where to go on his special session.
Wow! People should support Rubio because he's of Cuban descent? Are you serious?
And Crist is any better on his immigration position(s)? Hardly. Just saying, seems to me that your making excuses for Crist or a whole slew of idiotic Floridians.... =.=
Should Charlie win, who would he caucus with?
Nobody is gonna want him.
He and Liebermann can start a caucus.
Why Ya think they call it FLORI-DUH!
Rubio is NOT a LaRaza. Where are you getting that? And he sure isn’t Mel Martinez. Why, because he has an hispanic name? He’s Cuban American, not Mexican—there is a vast difference in culture, heirarchy and politics, and you should know that. So, whom are YOU working for? The fact is this polling outfit is no way professional or even accurate. Old Florida people know all about this kind of crap polling.
Sorry!, my reply was meant for GumbyandPokey not you. You have it right about Crist.
I LIVE in Florida. You are wrong. You are also very rude for using that screwing type language.
Rubio is about as perfect a candidate as one can expect. He is not la raza/amnesty guy. Yeah he split hairs a bit, that is what they do. There is no one else running I could dream of voting for.
Do your own research. Do NOT listen to frantzie. He is one of those “if you breath wrong once you are disqualified for life” types.
Rubio is NOT a LaRaza. Where are you getting that? And he sure isn’t Mel Martinez. Why, because he has an hispanic name? He’s Cuban American, not Mexican—there is a vast difference in culture, heirarchy and politics, and you should know that, and also should know that the Federal law as regards Cuban refugees is quite specific. Rubio’s “AZ like” law was nothing of the kind. The Arizona law restated Federal immigration law. Rubio’s did not. So, whom are YOU working for? The fact is this polling outfit is no way professional or even accurate. Old Florida people know all about this kind of crap polling.
I don’t think the season has really revved up yet. I think issues will out and Crist will be seen for what he is.
Sorry again, too much coffee. The reply was meant for Frantzie, and was so sent with added comments. Sorry.
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