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Sarah Palin's 2012 Opportunity
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers ^
| September 28, 2010
| Paul Bedard and Caitlin Huey-Burns
Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.
The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.
TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; congress; cultofpalin; demint; gingrich; iampalinhearmeroar; iquitarod; jonestownredux; mittromney; obama; odonnell; palin; palinbotsassemble; palinkoolaidfactory; palinlovefest; pdsfoundhere; rabstrollsagain; rino; romney; romney4romney; sarahmcpalin; sarahpalin; teaparty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
WHO IS YOUR CANDIDATE FOR 2012?! I'm going with the hands-down winner;
Sarah "Barracuda" Palin, whom history will record as America's first woman and most amazingly accomplished President ever. That she will get so much vital work done for our Nation will be the uniquely unlikely combination of her own incredible abilities and the mammoth mountain of things that need doing quickly to right this badly listing ship of State.
;^D
101
posted on
09/28/2010 10:09:50 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: ansel12
Notice “the parent(s)” always show up, and now without getting pinged? That FR mail or IM must be working well because they up like clockwork...lol.
102
posted on
09/28/2010 10:10:18 PM PDT
by
onyx
(If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
To: Lakeshark
The fact is, we're not talking about Ronald Reagan, and the comparisons suggesting that Sarah Palin is anothe Reagan simply do not hold water, not in the areas of experience, not in the areas of conservative gravitas, and what Reagan may have done 34 years ago quite frankly has no relevance today.
Even IF Richard Schweiker had gone on to become Vice President in a hypothetical Reagan Administration beginning in January 1977, he would have had the responsibility of presiding over the Senate in the event of tie votes, and attending funerals of foreign leaders. There wouldn't have been much opportunity for him to do much damage so far as Reagan's conservative agenda.
103
posted on
09/28/2010 10:10:18 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
One word will answer your entire long-winded question about Sarah Palin’s support of John McCain in his latest re-election bid, and that is:
PAYBACK.
Live with it. It’s a reality in politics. It’s now done and over with.
104
posted on
09/28/2010 10:10:44 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
To: mkjessup
That post looks like a threat directed at another FReeper. Kook post of the thread.
105
posted on
09/28/2010 10:13:04 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
To: ansel12; onyx; All
That is a pretty old graphic here at freerepublic, instead of whining like a girl because you dont interpret things well, why not just turn her in to the moderators, theyll remove it and the nightmarish danger can end?
You, like Onyx are incapable of addressing legitimate questions regarding Sarah Palin's qualifications (or lack thereof) to be the GOP nominee, let alone President. You and your ilk resort to bluster, bombast and veiled threats. You can make any kind of excuse you want, the age of a graphic that may have been used before on FR has no relevance to how it was used tonight at #32 by Sarah's lead cheerleader.
If any poster had used that graphic, directing it at Sarah Palin, with a note "you're next", I guarantee that some Palinista would have been screaming murder most foul and perhaps even contacted the authorities over such a threat.
106
posted on
09/28/2010 10:15:00 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: Windflier
See #106. You would probably one of those screaming about it if it were directed at Sarah Palin, instead of at another FReeper.
107
posted on
09/28/2010 10:15:47 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: GeronL
No, he won't. There isn't another politician, either on the table for 2012, or in our great history, who are as remarkably accomplished at acheiving the impossible in record time while also running for VP, raising a family
and having a baby!
Get real... it isn't even close. Not by a Wassilla mile.
;-/
108
posted on
09/28/2010 10:16:09 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: Lakeshark
I can't wait until 2012.
109
posted on
09/28/2010 10:16:51 PM PDT
by
jy8z
(From the next to last exit before the end of the internet.)
To: mkjessup; rabscuttle385; Mojave
110
posted on
09/28/2010 10:16:55 PM PDT
by
EveningStar
(Karl Marx is not one of our Founding Fathers.)
To: mkjessup
You know, you gained some respect with post 80 as honest debate, then lost it all at 84 with inane pants wetting.
111
posted on
09/28/2010 10:17:20 PM PDT
by
Psalm 144
(Detente with the GOP nomenklatura - trust, but verify.)
To: mkjessup; onyx
Why dont you just make me get lost Onyx? That sounds like a threat on a Freeper to me.
112
posted on
09/28/2010 10:17:44 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
To: onyx
To succeed in the world it is not enough to be stupid, you must also be well-mannered.
~Voltare~
Your histrionic posts are certainly not well-mannered, and it will be up to others to determine whether or not they rise to the standard of 'stupid'.
114
posted on
09/28/2010 10:18:46 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
I know you're a tool, I just can't decide if you're a hammer or a wrench. LMAO
8^D
115
posted on
09/28/2010 10:20:08 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: Windflier
One word will answer your entire long-winded question about Sarah Palins support of John McCain in his latest re-election bid, and that is:
PAYBACK.
Live with it. Its a reality in politics. Its now done and over with.
OK, so was Sarah lying about McCain being a "real conservative", or did she really believe that he was?
116
posted on
09/28/2010 10:20:22 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: Gargantua
Try not try discussing the topic, if you’re capable of that?
117
posted on
09/28/2010 10:21:46 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
I
got it! It's the abrasiveness that gave you away...
...you're a random orbital sander!
Tool.
8^D
118
posted on
09/28/2010 10:22:44 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: Windflier; onyx
Why dont you just make me get lost Onyx?
That sounds like a threat on a Freeper to me.
Work on your comprehension skills.
119
posted on
09/28/2010 10:23:03 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: EveningStar
"If you read, Going Rogue"
SO you believe what is said in a political autobiography?
If you'd actually read "Going Rogue", you'd know that it's not a "political" biography. Good job on outing yourself.
It's pretty obvious from your posts that you've got a bug up your *** about Sarah Palin. Not once on this thread have I seen you intelligently express your basic disagreements with her.
So, what's the story? What have you got against Sarah Palin?
120
posted on
09/28/2010 10:23:19 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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