Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Sarah Palin's 2012 Opportunity
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers ^ | September 28, 2010 | Paul Bedard and Caitlin Huey-Burns

Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.

The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; congress; cultofpalin; demint; gingrich; iampalinhearmeroar; iquitarod; jonestownredux; mittromney; obama; odonnell; palin; palinbotsassemble; palinkoolaidfactory; palinlovefest; pdsfoundhere; rabstrollsagain; rino; romney; romney4romney; sarahmcpalin; sarahpalin; teaparty
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 381-383 next last
To: onyx

Yes, because we need more idol worship threads here on FR, especially since the fact that Bush is now gone makes the “Pray for Bush” threads even less stimulating than they were before. /sarc


21 posted on 09/28/2010 9:13:35 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Live Free or Die)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: ReneeLynn; Jemian

Looking....LOL.


22 posted on 09/28/2010 9:14:14 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: rabscuttle385

You really don’t know anything about politics do you, and how did you get “mentor” out of that?


23 posted on 09/28/2010 9:14:17 PM PDT by ansel12 ([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Its a bit early yet. Possibly Joe Arpaio.
24 posted on 09/28/2010 9:15:24 PM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet; onyx; ansel12; ReneeLynn
Getting back to the thread.

If she runs, she will move to the top. If she runs she will be elected.

Last night Rush let it be known early who he supports. None of the others will be able to catch her with that kind of endorsement.

25 posted on 09/28/2010 9:15:36 PM PDT by Lakeshark (Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: rabscuttle385

26 posted on 09/28/2010 9:15:43 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

She’s not going to run.


27 posted on 09/28/2010 9:16:13 PM PDT by EveningStar (Karl Marx is not one of our Founding Fathers.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rabscuttle385

The electoral landscape is devastatingly different than 2008.

In 2008 it was a referendum on Bush (war and financial crisis).

In 2012 it will be about the economy/deficits, the southern border, and a deceitful - socialist - and destructive - administration.

The nomination/election will be won by the candidate who the voters will ‘BELIEVE’ has the GUTS and TRACK RECORD to demonstrate they WILL FIGHT to do what is necessary to turn this country around!

There in ONLY ONE candidate who has shown they have the COJONES to FIGHT AGAINST ALL ODDS!

I don’t have to say the name because it will be patently obvious to anyone. No one else comes even close! I rest my case!


28 posted on 09/28/2010 9:16:39 PM PDT by LibFreeUSA (Show me what Obama brought that was new and there you will find things only radical and destructive.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: smoothsailing

29 posted on 09/28/2010 9:16:48 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Lakeshark
Yes, his worn-out shtick is getting old now.
30 posted on 09/28/2010 9:17:25 PM PDT by roses of sharon (I can do all things through Him who strengthens me. Philippians 4:13)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: onyx

I guess subtlety wasn’t working, eh?


31 posted on 09/28/2010 9:17:25 PM PDT by Rocky (REPEAL IT!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: rabscuttle385

32 posted on 09/28/2010 9:17:55 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Rocky

ROFL.


33 posted on 09/28/2010 9:18:37 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I have divided emotions on this.

Sadly, we need someone who can generate enthusium and attract crowds. I say sadly because it is the nature of most people to be attracted to such candidates (see BHO circa 2008). It’s often a matter style, not substance, for the electorate. Not that I don’t think Sarah has substance. She certainly does.

None of the other candidates have the “crowd generating” quality she has. I like the ideas of some, but really don’t see the charisma.

On the other hand, she maybe more valuable in the role she currently occupies. She certainly has full range to speak her mind. That would be silenced in a presidential campaign.

If I were her, or any other candidate, I wouldn’t want the job. It’s pretty well darned if you do don’t. But I’m glad some people are willing to take the abuse.

Would I vote for her...yeah. A debate between Sarah and the Won could be very interesting.


34 posted on 09/28/2010 9:19:17 PM PDT by berdie (Hey, Bill Mahr...That's Mrs. Cracker to you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EveningStar

35 posted on 09/28/2010 9:19:40 PM PDT by onyx (If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

36 posted on 09/28/2010 9:20:23 PM PDT by Zakeet (Like the wise Wee Wee said, "We can't be broke ... we still have checks in the checkbook.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Lakeshark

Of course. I mean, no one has to come out with a study or a poll for me to know who I will vote for in 2012. If Sarah is there, she gets my vote. And those idiots in the GOP better understand that right now before they even think of putting Romney up as our candidate.

But, right now, because of Rove and friends, I fear the old guard will try to give us anyone but Sarah. It’s not the Dems we have to worry about, it’s the old Republicans.


37 posted on 09/28/2010 9:20:43 PM PDT by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: ReneeLynn

Roadkill. He thinks he's clever, but he's only....................Roadkill.

38 posted on 09/28/2010 9:21:31 PM PDT by Lakeshark (Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: onyx


39 posted on 09/28/2010 9:22:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Palin/Bolton 2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: EveningStar

Ah another voice from the peanut gallery.


40 posted on 09/28/2010 9:22:15 PM PDT by Clyde5445 (Gov. Sarah Palin: :"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 381-383 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson